NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	112		Excitement	4.3 [954]		MVP	Bradley Beal (WAS): +22.0%
Philadelphia 76ers	120		Comeback	1.2 [297]		LVP	Marcin Gortat (WAS): -12.8%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bradley Beal	0.22	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.21,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.23	0.01	0.02	25	67%	0.24	1	-0.02	10	80%	0.00
Jason Smith	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Burke	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Otto Porter Jr.	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	9	39%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	5	30%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	0	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.04
Bojan Bogdanovic	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	21	52%	0.05	6	-0.10	14	93%	0.04
Markieff Morris	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.01	-0.01	0.08	10	64%	-0.01	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.02	0.01	10	39%	-0.05	3	-0.08	8	62%	-0.02

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robert Covington	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.18	0.00	0.04	14	83%	0.19	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.01	-0.03	14	56%	0.12	1	-0.02	8	87%	-0.00
Dario Saric	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	-0.04	19	53%	0.10	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Richaun Holmes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.00	0.02	9	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nik Stauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.01	0.02	7	61%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Jahlil Okafor	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.01	-0.07	6	55%	0.04	3	-0.01	8	62%	-0.01
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.02	3	90%	0.05	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
T.J. McConnell	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	8	50%	0.03	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.00
Sergio Rodriguez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	7	14%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	2.4	30.8	15.0	27.3	2.3	44.9	149.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +45.8%

WAS -4.1%

PHI +2.5%

PHI +8.0%

WAS -2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	PHI	NBA	WAS	PHI	NBA
this game	12.1	14.3	14.8	102.8	110.1	107.7
season	14.4	14.5		109.9	101.9
opponent	14.4	14.9		107.6	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	10.6	14.6	12.6	11.0	12.1
PHI	14.8	13.7	15.6	13.4	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Smith	9	9	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.07	-4	-4	0	15.0	11.8	3.18	12.4	14.5	-2.07
Trey Burke	20	19	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.01	-3	-5	2	14.5	11.5	2.96	15.5	14.1	1.37
Ian Mahinmi	15	15	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.07	-7	-1	-6	12.8	12.0	0.83	16.4	14.0	2.39
Markieff Morris	65	66	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.28	3	-11	14	10.8	14.0	-3.22	14.8	13.6	1.18
Bojan Bogdanovic	39	39	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.16	-14	6	-20	13.6	11.2	2.39	13.6	14.7	-1.13
Kelly Oubre Jr.	44	43	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.04	-12	4	-16	13.8	10.9	2.87	12.9	15.3	-2.40
Marcin Gortat	81	81	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.44	4	-12	16	11.9	12.5	-0.56	14.6	13.6	1.03
Otto Porter Jr.	83	84	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.26	-3	-5	2	11.4	14.3	-2.92	14.5	13.9	0.60
Bradley Beal	96	95	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.43	1	-9	10	11.8	14.2	-2.44	14.3	14.4	-0.10
John Wall	93	94	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.26	-5	-3	-2	11.7	14.5	-2.83	14.3	14.8	-0.53

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Covington	90	89	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.26	5	3	2	14.2	15.1	-0.86	12.0	12.4	-0.45
Richaun Holmes	62	60	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.09	11	-3	14	12.8	16.4	-3.59	13.2	10.8	2.41
Dario Saric	75	77	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.26	4	4	0	14.4	14.2	0.24	11.6	13.1	-1.48
T.J. McConnell	70	70	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.33	1	7	-6	14.5	14.0	0.49	11.2	13.6	-2.35
Gerald Henderson	73	73	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.05	10	-2	12	13.7	15.6	-1.94	11.9	12.4	-0.46
Nik Stauskas	51	52	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.24	16	-8	24	14.4	14.3	0.10	12.9	11.4	1.50
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	39	38	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.30	-5	13	-18	15.5	13.7	1.75	12.1	12.1	0.08
Sergio Rodriguez	39	39	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.06	7	1	6	14.0	14.5	-0.49	13.6	11.2	2.35
Jahlil Okafor	46	47	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.34	-9	17	-26	16.6	12.7	3.93	10.9	13.0	-2.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.66,0.56,0.66,0.64,0.72,0.82,0.82,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.9,0.98,1,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 85, SAC 107	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.91,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
TOR 75, NYK 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.77,0.84,0.84,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.87,0.89,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
DAL 74, TOR 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.76,0.75,0.7,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.92,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%