NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	103		Excitement	7.4 [317]		MVP	Jermaine O'Neal (IND): +34.0%
Chicago Bulls	115		Comeback	5.0 [149]		LVP	Jamaal Tinsley (IND): -23.0%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jermaine O'Neal	0.34	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.33,0.38,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.21	0.13	-0.00	22	75%	0.39	1	-0.05	7	86%	0.03
Brad Miller	0.02	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.04	10	60%	0.06	2	-0.04	10	60%	-0.00
Austin Croshere	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	57%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Reggie Miller	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	12	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Jonathan Bender	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Erick Strickland	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	5	30%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	12	41%	-0.05	3	-0.07	5	80%	0.02
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.23	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.14	-0.10	-0.01	7	36%	-0.01	6	-0.22	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.24,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.12	0.23	0.02	20	65%	0.35	1	-0.02	11	91%	0.01
Lonny Baxter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.06	0.00	4	78%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Eddie Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	8	62%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddy Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.05	-0.01	9	65%	0.13	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.05
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jay Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.04	7	36%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.02	-0.04	0.02	5	67%	0.01	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.14,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.05	-0.07	0.02	21	55%	-0.02	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.02
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	7	21%	-0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	530.1	2.7	27.5	16.3	24.5	1.7	37.0	639.8
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +15.1%

CHI +0.9%

CHI +3.5%

CHI +25.9%

CHI +4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CHI	NBA	IND	CHI	NBA
this game	14.7	15.8	15.5	108.4	122.3	101.6
season	15.4	15.0		102.2	98.3
opponent	15.1	15.5		103.3	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.6	13.1	16.5	14.4	14.7
CHI	16.0	16.2	13.5	17.7	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Austin Croshere	20	20	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.05	2	-14	16	13.1	15.1	-1.92	16.1	15.7	0.36
Al Harrington	33	32	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.08	-5	-7	2	14.5	14.8	-0.27	18.3	14.5	3.78
Erick Strickland	22	20	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.00	-3	-9	6	16.0	14.3	1.74	16.0	15.8	0.29
Jonathan Bender	33	32	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.10	-10	-2	-8	14.3	14.9	-0.55	17.4	15.0	2.41
Metta World Peace	77	76	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.20	-4	-8	4	15.0	13.2	1.85	15.8	16.1	-0.29
Jamaal Tinsley	73	74	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.15	-9	-3	-6	14.3	16.0	-1.74	15.8	16.0	-0.29
Brad Miller	70	69	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.04	-14	2	-16	15.0	13.8	1.12	15.3	17.3	-1.99
Reggie Miller	60	60	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.31	-6	-6	0	15.2	13.7	1.46	14.5	18.1	-3.65
Jermaine O'Neal	87	87	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.17	-11	-1	-10	14.3	18.6	-4.33	15.6	18.1	-2.51

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Crawford	61	62	0.85	-0.35	1.20	0.18	23	-11	34	14.8	17.6	-2.80	15.1	13.8	1.34
Corie Blount	55	54	0.84	-0.34	1.17	0.22	21	-9	30	15.6	16.1	-0.48	15.4	13.7	1.72
Eddy Curry	52	54	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.13	13	-1	14	15.1	16.8	-1.70	13.6	16.1	-2.52
Jalen Rose	88	88	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.13	12	0	12	16.0	13.2	2.83	14.9	11.3	3.65
Trenton Hassell	13	13	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.01	1	11	-10	16.5	15.7	0.75	11.5	15.2	-3.71
Eddie Robinson	65	66	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	13	-14	14.8	18.1	-3.25	15.0	13.8	1.20
Donyell Marshall	39	39	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	-0.14	4	8	-4	16.9	15.0	1.93	14.1	15.1	-1.04
Lonny Baxter	21	21	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.01	-2	14	-16	16.0	15.8	0.17	15.8	14.4	1.41
Tyson Chandler	21	22	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	0.08	-12	24	-36	16.0	15.8	0.23	15.5	14.4	1.15
Jay Williams	33	33	-0.35	0.85	-1.20	-0.03	-11	23	-34	17.6	14.8	2.80	13.8	15.1	-1.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.59,0.61,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.63,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.33,0.36,0.5,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.21,0.24,0.33,0.38,0.78,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 116, CHA 119	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.75,0.72,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.5,0.54,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.48,0.55,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.3,0.33,0.28,0.35,0.21,0.35,0.22,0.38,0.78,0.77,0.85,1	92.3%
NOH 89, OKC 95	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.36,0.4,0.41,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.36,0.42,0.34,0.38,0.2,0.23,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.45,0.71,0.89,1,1	92.1%
HOU 104, MIA 113	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.77,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.63,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.38,0.64,0.91,0.99,1	91.6%