inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Houston Rockets 104 Excitement7.8 [282] MVPRay Allen (MIA): +50.6%
Miami Heat 113 Comeback3.1 [532] LVPMario Chalmers (MIA): -15.3%


Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
James Harden0.140,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.25,0.21,0.17,0.27,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.14,0.140.120.030.001668%0.294-0.161292%0.04
Dwight Howard0.130,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.090.060.011270%0.182-0.05650%-0.02
Terrence Jones0.080,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.090.010.02780%0.101-0.021100%0.01
Omer Asik0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.000.03-0.00350%0.0400.0020%-0.03
Donatas Motiejunas0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.010.00570%0.091-0.0500%0.00
Patrick Beverley0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.01,0.01-0.020.060.021447%0.112-0.094100%0.01
Jordan Hamilton-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Chandler Parsons-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.01945%0.002-0.04250%-0.01
Jeremy Lin-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.06-0.07-0.02740%-0.063-0.051100%0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ray Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.35,0.51,0.51,0.510.510.200.310.001186%0.5100.007100%0.05
Dwyane Wade0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.16,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.280.280.120.200.041565%0.321-0.04757%-0.02
Chris Bosh0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.12,0.120.120.100.020.011269%0.141-0.032100%0.01
Norris Cole0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.08-0.000.07-0.02642%0.0800.0000%0.00
Chris Andersen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.000.00375%0.0500.002100%0.01
Shane Battier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.05-0.010.01271%0.0300.00367%-0.01
Toney Douglas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Greg Oden0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.0120%-0.031-0.0100%0.00
LeBron James0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.02-0.08-0.001757%0.055-0.15887%0.00
Mario Chalmers0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.14-0.02-0.01933%-0.035-0.1200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.23.537.318.429.43.435.6153.8
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +33.7%
MIA +4.1%
HOU -8.2%
MIA +9.4%
MIA +11.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsHOUMIANBAHOUMIANBA
this game15.016.415.1114.3122.8105.2
season14.315.6109.5109.7
opponent15.815.2105.1105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
HOU14.715.013.817.115.0
MIA16.016.315.618.016.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Donatas Motiejunas29300.16-0.660.820.073-121518.113.64.5417.116.10.95
Terrence Jones52520.10-0.600.700.042-111313.117.7-4.5915.317.8-2.48
Omer Asik1617-0.12-0.380.250.02-5-4-119.514.15.4117.816.11.64
Jordan Hamilton1312-0.14-0.360.220.06-7-2-519.214.44.7916.616.40.18
Chandler Parsons7374-0.26-0.24-0.01-0.260-9914.617.0-2.4416.615.80.80
Dwight Howard7575-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.26-4-5114.119.5-5.4116.117.8-1.64
Patrick Beverley7171-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.32-5-4-114.118.3-4.2416.316.7-0.38
James Harden8284-0.510.01-0.52-0.30-7-2-514.717.8-3.0316.218.5-2.27
Jeremy Lin4445-0.890.39-1.28-0.24-2213-3517.013.23.7417.415.42.00

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dwyane Wade67660.72-0.220.930.2217-82516.316.8-0.5214.616.2-1.59
LeBron James83820.68-0.180.860.3611-21316.317.2-0.8814.718.0-3.28
Chris Bosh69660.53-0.030.560.2981716.217.2-1.0613.718.6-4.90
Ray Allen51490.420.080.330.2172517.515.02.4816.513.33.22
Norris Cole45440.400.100.310.2072517.415.51.8716.713.43.30
Mario Chalmers39400.200.30-0.100.0845-115.417.2-1.7213.316.4-3.11
Greg Oden27280.120.38-0.250.0918-714.417.2-2.8013.215.9-2.69
Toney Douglas33-0.050.55-0.610.01-211-1319.016.32.6614.315.1-0.73
Shane Battier3739-0.160.66-0.83-0.08-312-1516.316.5-0.1716.314.12.12
Chris Andersen3938-0.350.85-1.20-0.20-514-1917.016.01.0417.013.73.31


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.77,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.63,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.38,0.64,0.91,0.99,1
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 99, MIL 1040.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.69,0.58,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.34,0.29,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.27,0.52,0.45,0.91,0.99,192.8%
ATL 98, ORL 1000.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.6,0.54,0.55,0.64,0.55,0.48,0.59,0.59,0.44,0.48,0.32,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.29,0.54,0.9,0.91,192.7%
ORL 110, BKN 1140.5,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.71,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.48,0.43,0.52,0.56,0.44,0.62,0.57,0.33,0.37,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.63,0.77,0.92,192.4%