NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	98		Excitement	8.5 [197]		MVP	Evan Fournier (ORL): +39.3%
Orlando Magic	100		Comeback	3.0 [352]		LVP	Dewayne Dedmon (ATL): -23.7%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Taurean Prince	0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.17	0.10	0.12	0.05	12	73%	0.21	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.03
Tyler Dorsey	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.04	-0.00	9	58%	0.10	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Malcolm Delaney	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	6	79%	0.15	1	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Miles Plumlee	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Collins	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.02,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.02	0.05	-0.03	9	50%	0.21	2	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Mike Muscala	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	45%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Isaiah Taylor	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	12%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ersan Ilyasova	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Dennis Schroder	-0.14	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.02	-0.09	0.04	15	50%	-0.07	3	-0.08	8	87%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	-0.23	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.14,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.15	-0.09	-0.01	11	27%	-0.08	4	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Dewayne Dedmon	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.24	-0.07	-0.14	0.03	11	36%	-0.11	2	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Evan Fournier	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.34,0.34,0.39	0.39	0.13	0.27	0.00	14	65%	0.43	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.05
D.J. Augustin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.06	0.03	14	53%	0.09	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Jonathon Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.06	0.02	11	54%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	-0.01	-0.00	11	64%	0.13	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Wes Iwundu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	5	40%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	10	41%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.04
Khem Birch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mario Hezonja	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	7	40%	-0.01	3	-0.10	6	67%	-0.01
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.05	0.02	9	56%	0.04	4	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.3	26.3	14.8	23.5	2.4	36.2	130.9
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +19.9%

ORL +17.1%

ATL -7.9%

ORL +20.3%

ORL +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	ORL	NBA	ATL	ORL	NBA
this game	14.5	15.0	14.7	100.0	103.1	107.5
season	14.6	14.6		104.2	104.2
opponent	14.5	14.4		109.1	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	13.6	14.5	17.7	12.8	14.5
ORL	13.0	16.8	15.0	15.5	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malcolm Delaney	38	36	0.29	-0.79	1.08	0.23	2	-4	6	16.1	13.5	2.59	16.4	14.2	2.18
Kent Bazemore	50	52	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.03	-1	-1	0	13.8	15.3	-1.55	15.3	14.7	0.58
Isaiah Taylor	27	25	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.02	-3	1	-4	13.8	14.8	-1.03	18.2	13.9	4.28
Mike Muscala	27	25	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.09	-2	0	-2	14.0	14.7	-0.72	15.4	14.9	0.51
Dewayne Dedmon	46	46	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.41	9	-11	20	15.0	14.1	0.90	15.8	14.3	1.57
Ersan Ilyasova	33	34	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.03	-7	5	-12	14.2	14.7	-0.42	14.3	15.4	-1.16
John Collins	51	52	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.39	7	-9	16	14.4	14.6	-0.19	15.1	14.9	0.25
Miles Plumlee	39	37	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.01	-11	9	-20	14.7	14.4	0.24	14.3	15.5	-1.21
Dennis Schroder	65	65	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.44	1	-3	4	14.6	14.3	0.28	14.0	17.2	-3.23
Tyler Dorsey	50	50	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.63	2	-4	6	14.2	14.9	-0.74	14.6	15.4	-0.79
Taurean Prince	64	63	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.45	-7	5	-12	14.7	14.2	0.44	14.2	16.6	-2.46

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bismack Biyombo	59	58	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.55	6	-4	10	13.2	17.8	-4.55	15.2	13.6	1.60
Mario Hezonja	60	60	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.55	5	-3	8	13.6	17.3	-3.64	15.0	13.8	1.19
Jonathon Simmons	71	70	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.53	0	2	-2	14.6	16.1	-1.44	14.6	14.4	0.13
D.J. Augustin	73	74	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.43	3	-1	4	14.9	15.4	-0.47	14.3	15.3	-1.08
Evan Fournier	68	68	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.50	-2	4	-6	14.1	17.3	-3.22	14.6	14.3	0.37
Arron Afflalo	13	12	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.00	1	1	0	15.9	14.9	1.04	14.2	14.6	-0.31
Shelvin Mack	41	42	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.04	0	2	-2	16.6	13.8	2.79	14.3	14.7	-0.33
Wes Iwundu	30	32	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.04	0	2	-2	16.4	14.4	2.05	14.5	14.5	-0.08
Marreese Speights	32	34	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	-0.16	1	1	0	17.0	14.0	3.00	14.4	14.6	-0.26
Khem Birch	38	40	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	-0.11	-4	6	-10	17.8	13.2	4.55	13.6	15.2	-1.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.6,0.54,0.55,0.64,0.55,0.48,0.59,0.59,0.44,0.48,0.32,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.29,0.54,0.9,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 104, MIA 113	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.77,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.63,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.38,0.64,0.91,0.99,1	92.7%
ORL 110, BKN 114	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.71,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.48,0.43,0.52,0.56,0.44,0.62,0.57,0.33,0.37,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.63,0.77,0.92,1	92.3%
DEN 72, MEM 81	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.6,0.44,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.6,0.46,0.78,0.97,1,1	91.7%