NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	108		Excitement	8.7 [159]		MVP	Andre Miller (LAC): +21.6%
Memphis Grizzlies	111		Comeback	2.0 [662]		LVP	Corey Maggette (LAC): -23.5%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Miller	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.22	0.10	0.12	0.00	10	74%	0.22	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Eric Piatkowski	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.24,0.09	0.02	0.07	-0.00	7	67%	0.16	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.09
Chris Wilcox	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	13	67%	0.14	5	-0.13	4	100%	0.02
Quentin Richardson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Melvin Ely	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	6	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.06	0.00	4	20%	-0.08	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Elton Brand	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.16	-0.08	-0.10	-0.02	17	49%	-0.10	3	-0.06	9	56%	-0.05
Corey Maggette	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.24	-0.01	-0.20	0.03	14	63%	-0.10	4	-0.14	7	71%	-0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Williams	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.21,0.17	0.17	0.07	0.10	0.01	17	62%	0.22	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.03
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.05	-0.01	4	75%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Batiste	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	0.01	9	58%	0.03	0	0.00	8	87%	0.02
Pau Gasol	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,0.03	0.03	-0.05	0.06	-0.02	18	51%	0.07	2	-0.04	13	85%	0.06
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.02	0.02	10	68%	0.05	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
Ryan Humphrey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	3	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Robert Archibald	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	6	31%	-0.04	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	8	44%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Wesley Person	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	-0.00	10	40%	0.00	4	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.7	28.3	15.6	30.4	1.6	38.0	140.1
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC -4.5%

MEM +20.5%

MEM +27.9%

MEM +6.7%

LAC -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	MEM	NBA	LAC	MEM	NBA
this game	14.0	15.1	15.5	109.1	112.1	101.6
season	15.4	15.3		100.2	101.8
opponent	15.2	15.4		105.1	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	12.0	13.2	15.8	15.4	14.0
MEM	15.7	14.5	16.2	14.0	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Melvin Ely	32	31	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	0	-3	17.5	12.4	5.17	15.4	14.9	0.52
Eric Piatkowski	40	40	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.27	4	-7	11	14.4	13.8	0.62	14.4	15.5	-1.15
Chris Wilcox	27	28	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.09	-2	-1	-1	17.9	12.6	5.25	15.8	14.8	1.01
Andre Miller	79	78	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.35	6	-9	15	12.9	18.4	-5.48	15.3	14.2	1.10
Quentin Richardson	22	22	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.04	-7	4	-11	18.6	12.7	5.92	14.8	15.1	-0.37
Lamar Odom	71	72	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.41	5	-8	13	12.9	16.9	-3.94	15.3	14.4	0.95
Sean Rooks	59	59	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.20	-4	1	-5	12.8	15.8	-3.01	15.2	14.9	0.31
Keyon Dooling	20	21	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.07	-9	6	-15	18.4	12.9	5.48	14.2	15.3	-1.10
Elton Brand	72	72	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.37	-1	-2	1	12.6	17.9	-5.25	14.9	15.6	-0.68
Corey Maggette	73	72	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.29	-4	1	-5	13.0	17.0	-4.03	14.9	15.4	-0.53

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brevin Knight	38	37	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.21	11	-8	19	14.0	15.7	-1.76	16.5	12.5	4.01
Mike Batiste	73	71	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.35	6	-3	9	14.7	16.1	-1.38	14.2	13.7	0.44
Shane Battier	77	78	0.39	0.12	0.27	0.36	1	2	-1	14.8	16.1	-1.32	12.9	18.1	-5.22
Wesley Person	62	62	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.35	1	2	-1	14.7	15.7	-1.03	12.1	17.2	-5.04
Robert Archibald	9	7	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.15	4	-1	5	15.3	15.0	0.30	20.0	13.6	6.42
Pau Gasol	81	83	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.32	-2	5	-7	15.0	15.3	-0.27	13.3	17.8	-4.51
Earl Watson	37	37	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.06	2	1	1	15.7	14.7	1.03	17.2	12.1	5.04
Ryan Humphrey	22	21	0.12	0.39	-0.27	0.06	2	1	1	16.1	14.8	1.32	18.1	12.9	5.22
Jason Williams	61	62	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.21	-8	11	-19	15.7	14.0	1.76	12.5	16.5	-4.01
Stromile Swift	35	37	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.00	-2	5	-7	15.9	14.6	1.23	14.3	13.9	0.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.68,0.64,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.7,0.58,0.71,0.62,0.55,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.7,0.88,0.87,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 104, DAL 106	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.52,0.67,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.86,0.76,0.87,0.95,0.85,0.94,0.85,1	92.4%
MIN 93, POR 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.81,0.91,0.89,0.84,0.71,0.92,1	92.3%
WAS 92, BOS 100	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.57,0.65,0.62,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.46,0.5,0.43,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.58,0.69,0.88,0.82,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.98,1	92.0%