NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	93		Excitement	7.1 [404]		MVP	Brandon Roy (POR): +34.5%
Portland Trail Blazers	95		Comeback	1.5 [1129]		LVP	Mike Miller (MIN): -8.8%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Gomes	0.26	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.26	0.17	0.10	0.01	19	70%	0.28	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Craig Smith	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.06	0.10	-0.00	9	58%	0.15	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Sebastian Telfair	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.01	-0.04	13	60%	0.13	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Shelden Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Brown	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.1,-0.07	0.06	-0.13	0.00	14	61%	0.01	2	-0.08	10	100%	0.09
Kevin Love	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	8	37%	-0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Carney	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	2	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	5	70%	0.04	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Roy	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.16,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.38,0.35	0.34	0.18	0.18	0.01	19	74%	0.41	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.04	0.01	7	67%	0.11	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.02	-0.01	4	60%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	15	47%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Fernandez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	0.00	5	50%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sergio Rodriguez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.06	-0.00	8	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	3	33%	0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	14	37%	-0.04	1	-0.04	12	92%	0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	1.7	30.2	14.8	27.1	1.7	34.0	134.3
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +20.6%

MIN -0.7%

POR +19.9%

POR +10.7%

MIN -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	POR	NBA	MIN	POR	NBA
this game	17.5	16.6	15.5	110.7	111.8	106.4
season	15.8	16.7		104.3	111.0
opponent	16.0	15.1		105.8	109.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	17.6	16.8	18.3	17.5	17.5
POR	16.7	15.3	17.7	16.8	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shelden Williams	13	12	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.02	2	-4	6	14.6	18.0	-3.43	12.6	17.2	-4.65
Jason Collins	42	41	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-3	4	17.7	17.3	0.40	17.7	15.6	2.09
Bobby Brown	15	15	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-2	2	15.8	17.9	-2.08	12.4	17.5	-5.07
Sebastian Telfair	52	54	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.28	4	-6	10	18.2	16.4	1.79	17.7	14.6	3.09
Randy Foye	54	56	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.31	3	-5	8	17.3	18.0	-0.71	17.1	15.6	1.50
Craig Smith	36	36	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.13	-4	2	-6	17.1	17.8	-0.70	15.2	17.6	-2.30
Ryan Gomes	56	59	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.34	2	-4	6	17.5	17.6	-0.09	17.9	13.7	4.21
Mike Miller	68	67	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.37	2	-4	6	18.0	15.5	2.49	17.1	14.8	2.28
Kevin Ollie	16	16	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.15	-6	4	-10	17.6	17.5	0.14	16.7	16.6	0.14
Rodney Carney	24	25	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.16	-9	7	-16	16.9	17.7	-0.83	14.5	17.4	-2.97
Kevin Love	44	44	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.42	-5	3	-8	18.2	16.8	1.41	15.8	17.4	-1.57

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Blake	61	59	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.44	7	-5	12	17.2	14.9	2.31	17.9	16.6	1.24
Travis Outlaw	53	54	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.35	7	-5	12	16.7	16.3	0.42	17.3	17.9	-0.66
Brandon Roy	66	63	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.44	4	-2	6	16.7	16.3	0.34	18.5	14.7	3.79
LaMarcus Aldridge	68	69	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.33	3	-1	4	17.4	13.2	4.25	17.4	17.9	-0.43
Rudy Fernandez	44	45	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.24	0	2	-2	15.1	18.1	-3.03	17.6	17.4	0.24
Nicolas Batum	40	38	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.20	-2	4	-6	17.6	15.7	1.89	17.2	17.7	-0.50
Channing Frye	29	30	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.04	4	-2	6	15.9	16.9	-1.08	16.8	17.9	-1.06
Joel Przybilla	41	38	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.21	-8	10	-18	15.6	17.5	-1.96	17.3	17.7	-0.45
Sergio Rodriguez	12	13	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	4	-6	12.6	17.2	-4.65	14.6	18.0	-3.43
Jerryd Bayless	11	11	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.02	-3	5	-8	18.7	16.3	2.47	18.4	17.4	0.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.81,0.91,0.89,0.84,0.71,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 88, MIL 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.5,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.63,0.83,0.85,0.91,0.86,0.89,0.95,1,1	93.6%
NJN 87, BOS 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.57,0.73,0.79,0.84,0.93,0.93,0.79,0.99,0.99,1	93.2%
MIA 73, SAS 80	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.59,0.58,0.48,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.69,0.58,0.67,0.61,0.62,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.71,0.72,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.85,0.88,0.68,0.92,1	92.8%