inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 89 Excitement4.5 [895] MVPSpeedy Claxton (SAS): +10.6%
Detroit Pistons 83 Comeback1.1 [857] LVPRichard Hamilton (DET): -21.3%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Speedy Claxton0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.100.010.011080%0.131-0.0200%0.00
Tony Parker0.070,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.070.050.020.001659%0.092-0.0200%0.00
Bruce Bowen0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.001150%0.0400.0000%0.00
Steven Smith0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Danny Ferry0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kevin Willis-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.02520%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Malik Rose-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.080.02-0.021147%0.012-0.05875%0.01
Stephen Jackson-0.060,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.08-0.01-0.021232%-0.041-0.0210%-0.00
Manu Ginobili-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.10-0.01-0.0330%-0.061-0.0120%-0.01
Tim Duncan-0.080,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,-0.08,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.05-0.03-0.012248%-0.042-0.04862%-0.02

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jon Barry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.100.010.021075%0.101-0.0100%0.00
Michael Curry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.04-0.000.01475%0.0300.0000%0.00
Danny Manning0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.00-0.01450%0.0100.00250%0.00
Tayshaun Prince0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.01-0.010.00862%0.052-0.0500%0.00
Mehmet Okur0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.02-0.020.00955%-0.0000.004100%0.03
Corliss Williamson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0-0.000.02-0.000.021352%-0.0000.003100%0.01
Hubert Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.00-0.01333%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Ben Wallace0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.000.01350%-0.0100.002100%0.01
Clifford Robinson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.18-0.17-0.03-0.0267%-0.093-0.09250%-0.01
Richard Hamilton0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21-0.21-0.21-0.04-0.031731%-0.143-0.07887%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.71.427.516.521.52.635.4129.6
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +26.7%
DET -4.9%
SAS +20.5%
SAS +7.5%
SAS +0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASDETNBASASDETNBA
this game17.317.615.5107.2101.2101.6
season15.716.8102.5101.7
opponent15.615.497.896.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS15.616.918.818.217.3
DET18.717.419.115.217.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Stephen Jackson60600.52-0.020.530.0815-92416.320.0-3.6217.916.61.28
Tim Duncan75730.51-0.010.510.307-1817.516.21.2017.518.1-0.60
Tony Parker52490.450.050.400.1610-41418.415.52.9618.416.32.13
Bruce Bowen55550.400.100.290.2260618.814.54.2818.316.02.35
Malik Rose62610.380.120.260.2933017.417.10.2618.714.24.55
Kevin Willis28290.130.37-0.240.0142216.617.7-1.0515.318.8-3.45
Manu Ginobili30290.110.39-0.270.14-17-817.817.10.7216.018.4-2.43
Speedy Claxton31330.050.45-0.400.17-410-1415.518.4-2.9616.318.4-2.13
Danny Ferry11-0.020.52-0.540.04-28-1024.017.36.7416.017.6-1.59
Steven Smith2120-0.030.53-0.550.21-814-2215.817.9-2.1116.717.9-1.15

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Danny Manning10100.06-0.560.61-0.157-132015.817.8-2.0218.617.21.44
Hubert Davis2021-0.02-0.480.46-0.082-81019.916.83.0815.817.9-2.11
Ben Wallace3232-0.04-0.460.42-0.01-1-5417.617.50.0816.218.0-1.77
Jon Barry3941-0.12-0.380.26-0.296-121815.619.3-3.7316.618.1-1.53
Corliss Williamson5252-0.25-0.250.01-0.281-7815.620.9-5.3017.217.5-0.23
Tayshaun Prince4040-0.30-0.20-0.09-0.09-71-818.217.01.2217.816.90.89
Mehmet Okur6062-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.402-81016.719.8-3.0717.516.80.71
Michael Curry3433-0.37-0.13-0.240.01-137-2020.115.84.3517.817.00.80
Clifford Robinson5859-0.560.06-0.62-0.15-148-2218.914.24.7017.616.70.88
Richard Hamilton6565-0.570.07-0.63-0.18-137-2017.617.30.3517.815.62.20


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.5,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.26,0.18,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.16,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.17,0.1,0.04,0.03,0.01,0
GameSimilarity Score
NYK 107, ATL 1010.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.35,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.37,0.29,0.2,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.07,0.06,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,095.5%
SAS 74, IND 550.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.39,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.21,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.18,0.19,0.17,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,095.1%
SAS 96, SAC 930.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.2,0.07,0.04,0.05,095.0%