NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	107		Excitement	5.9 [655]		MVP	Arron Afflalo (NYK): +13.1%
Atlanta Hawks	101		Comeback	1.1 [309]		LVP	Dennis Schroder (ATL): -9.0%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Arron Afflalo	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13	0.11	0.02	-0.00	16	64%	0.16	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Derrick Williams	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.11	0.01	0.01	6	75%	0.12	0	0.00	8	100%	0.04
Jose Calderon	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07	-0.00	0.07	-0.01	7	50%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kristaps Porzingis	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06	0.07	-0.00	0.01	12	63%	0.09	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.03
Langston Galloway	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Thomas	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	70%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jerian Grant	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	11	39%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03	-0.07	0.03	-0.01	22	44%	0.03	3	-0.06	8	87%	0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.00	4	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.05	-0.00	13	46%	0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	9	76%	0.15	4	-0.11	3	100%	0.01
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.08	-0.03	0.02	11	68%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Walter Tavares	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	62%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.01	5	45%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Paul Millsap	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	17	49%	0.03	4	-0.09	5	100%	0.03
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	14	39%	-0.05	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	8	37%	-0.03	3	-0.06	3	33%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.5	34.2	15.4	27.7	1.8	41.5	147.3
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +10.7%

NYK +15.2%

NYK +14.6%

NYK +11.4%

ATL -1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	ATL	NBA	NYK	ATL	NBA
this game	16.2	15.5	14.9	116.3	112.2	105.1
season	15.6	14.2		103.5	104.1
opponent	15.1	14.8		100.3	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.2	15.0	17.1	17.4	16.2
ATL	15.5	15.6	15.6	15.2	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Arron Afflalo	70	70	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.20	16	-10	26	16.5	15.0	1.45	15.1	16.8	-1.69
Carmelo Anthony	77	75	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.25	10	-4	14	16.5	14.3	2.17	15.1	17.2	-2.05
Robin Lopez	68	65	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.19	9	-3	12	16.8	14.2	2.63	14.8	17.2	-2.37
Jose Calderon	68	68	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.20	8	-2	10	16.7	14.7	1.95	14.9	17.4	-2.54
Kristaps Porzingis	57	61	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.26	2	4	-2	17.2	14.4	2.83	15.6	15.3	0.26
Derrick Williams	30	29	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.17	-2	8	-10	14.6	16.9	-2.25	17.1	14.7	2.33
Lance Thomas	38	35	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.13	-2	8	-10	14.3	17.5	-3.22	15.9	15.2	0.65
Jerian Grant	20	18	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.11	-3	9	-12	15.6	16.3	-0.64	17.2	15.1	2.17
Langston Galloway	32	29	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.12	-8	14	-22	14.1	17.3	-3.20	16.9	14.8	2.08

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Hardaway Jr.	22	24	0.16	-0.66	0.83	-0.19	12	-18	30	16.5	15.2	1.28	15.8	16.3	-0.43
Mike Scott	26	25	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.05	1	-7	8	16.2	15.2	0.94	15.4	16.4	-1.09
Walter Tavares	25	23	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.05	-6	0	-6	15.8	15.4	0.43	15.7	16.3	-0.55
Dennis Schroder	46	47	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.23	0	-6	6	15.8	15.1	0.73	16.7	15.6	1.04
Jeff Teague	44	45	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.10	-6	0	-6	15.1	15.8	-0.73	15.6	16.7	-1.04
Thabo Sefolosha	43	43	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.01	-10	4	-14	15.0	15.9	-0.89	16.5	15.9	0.63
Kyle Korver	61	62	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.24	-5	-1	-4	15.3	16.0	-0.70	17.1	14.1	3.00
Paul Millsap	67	71	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.32	-3	-3	0	15.3	16.2	-0.92	16.6	14.5	2.11
Al Horford	62	65	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.33	-4	-2	-2	15.3	15.8	-0.48	16.1	16.3	-0.26
Kent Bazemore	54	55	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.21	-9	3	-12	15.7	15.1	0.58	14.9	18.0	-3.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.35,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.37,0.29,0.2,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.07,0.06,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 89, DET 83	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.5,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.26,0.18,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.16,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.17,0.1,0.04,0.03,0.01,0	95.5%
SAS 74, IND 55	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.39,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.21,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.18,0.19,0.17,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.3%
LAC 118, LAL 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.32,0.26,0.27,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.03,0,0,0,0	94.9%