NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	101		Excitement	10.3 [53]		MVP	Elden Campbell (SEA): +13.2%
Chicago Bulls	94		Comeback	4.5 [307]		LVP	Vladimir Radmanovic (SEA): -32.2%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elden Campbell	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.00	0.13	0.00	2	50%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.09	0.03	0.07	0.01	9	60%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.05
Reggie Evans	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calvin Booth	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.11,-0.08,0.01,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	17	53%	0.00	1	-0.03	15	67%	-0.01
Predrag Drobnjak	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	6	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jerome James	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	7	62%	0.08	4	-0.15	2	100%	0.01
Ray Allen	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0,0.26,0.16,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.06	-0.02	23	50%	0.04	3	-0.12	6	100%	0.04
Kevin Ollie	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.00	-0.09	-0.00	6	46%	-0.09	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.32	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32	-0.12	-0.20	0.00	15	33%	-0.29	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddy Curry	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.09	0.01	16	65%	0.17	2	-0.05	11	36%	-0.12
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jay Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	4	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Lonny Baxter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	0.03	15	48%	0.00	3	-0.09	1	0%	-0.02
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,0,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.14,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13	-0.13	-0.04	-0.13	-0.04	27	42%	-0.13	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.04
Eddie Robinson	0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.10	-0.06	-0.01	6	17%	-0.12	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.06,0.05,-0.06,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32	-0.32	-0.18	-0.20	-0.05	20	33%	-0.23	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	21.4	2.6	30.2	16.3	22.5	2.4	31.5	1.5	17.1	145.5
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	1.9	17.2	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +7.8%

SEA +32.7%

SEA +23.0%

CHI -8.4%

CHI -5.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	CHI	NBA	SEA	CHI	NBA
this game	16.6	14.9	15.5	100.0	93.1	101.6
season	16.5	15.0		101.7	98.3
opponent	15.1	15.6		103.3	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
SEA	16.3	16.3	17.6	16.4	16.0	16.6
CHI	13.7	16.5	13.2	17.9	12.4	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elden Campbell	32	32	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.15	18	-11	29	15.3	17.1	-1.80	15.1	14.8	0.22
Brent Barry	83	85	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.13	17	-10	27	17.0	14.8	2.19	15.4	12.2	3.24
Rashard Lewis	83	82	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.42	6	1	5	16.4	17.5	-1.13	15.0	14.3	0.73
Ray Allen	93	94	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.21	9	-2	11	16.3	19.6	-3.31	14.5	20.0	-5.47
Vladimir Radmanovic	68	67	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.04	8	-1	9	16.4	16.9	-0.54	14.9	14.9	-0.05
Predrag Drobnjak	27	27	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.17	-3	10	-13	17.2	16.4	0.83	14.6	15.0	-0.48
Reggie Evans	40	40	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.30	-10	17	-27	17.4	16.0	1.45	13.6	15.8	-2.17
Calvin Booth	10	9	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	6	-5	17.9	16.4	1.47	18.9	14.5	4.37
Kevin Ollie	41	40	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.17	-6	13	-19	16.4	16.7	-0.23	15.3	14.6	0.73
Jerome James	28	29	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	-0.01	-5	12	-17	16.6	16.6	0.05	14.4	15.1	-0.70

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trenton Hassell	50	45	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.23	-6	-1	-5	15.5	14.4	1.09	16.8	16.4	0.49
Corie Blount	4	5	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.05	3	-10	13	17.2	14.8	2.44	20.6	16.4	4.24
Roger Mason Jr.	8	7	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.02	-2	-5	3	18.1	14.6	3.49	17.9	16.5	1.38
Lonny Baxter	16	14	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.12	-6	-1	-5	15.2	14.8	0.40	16.4	16.6	-0.17
Jay Williams	18	18	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.11	-9	2	-11	16.8	14.5	2.34	17.3	16.4	0.92
Jamal Crawford	83	83	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.40	2	-9	11	14.5	16.8	-2.34	16.4	17.3	-0.92
Donyell Marshall	93	92	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.37	-2	-5	3	14.9	15.1	-0.23	16.5	17.3	-0.83
Jalen Rose	93	94	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.32	-5	-2	-3	14.6	18.1	-3.49	16.5	17.9	-1.38
Eddie Robinson	51	56	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.47	-1	-6	5	14.4	15.5	-1.09	16.4	16.8	-0.49
Eddy Curry	89	91	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.34	-9	2	-11	14.8	16.0	-1.24	16.5	17.7	-1.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.72,0.71,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.37,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.16,0.13,0.22,0.16,0.2,0.26,0.28,0.26,0.3,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.24,0.33,0.38,0.72,0.57,0.74,0.46,0.62,0.36,0.31,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 92, IND 89	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.54,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.43,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.29,0.22,0.24,0.14,0.19,0.15,0.19,0.3,0.43,0.38,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.32,0.36,0.45,0.26,0.46,0.45,0.28,0.23,0.17,0	87.5%
DEN 108, PHI 104	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.75,0.69,0.66,0.61,0.49,0.46,0.33,0.35,0.4,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.34,0.4,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.14,0.09,0.27,0.47,0.53,0.61,0.47,0.72,0.66,0.73,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.57,0.47,0	87.4%
TOR 128, PHI 123	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.44,0.46,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.17,0.09,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.16,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.31,0.29,0.39,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.5,0.31,0.37,0.43,0.28,0	87.3%