NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	92		Excitement	11.1 [33]		MVP	James Jones (IND): +11.6%
Indiana Pacers	89		Comeback	2.3 [241]		LVP	Jermaine O'Neal (IND): -45.9%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	-0.05	-0.00	12	67%	0.13	1	-0.11	6	100%	0.03
Tony Allen	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Reed	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	-0.01	0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01	-0.15	0.11	-0.03	26	46%	0.28	8	-0.29	0	0%	0.00
Delonte West	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Marcus Banks	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	12	44%	-0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Raef LaFrentz	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	8	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	15	58%	0.09	5	-0.20	8	87%	0.02
Gary Payton	-0.19	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19	-0.08	-0.11	-0.00	13	31%	-0.16	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.03	-0.18	0.00	0	0%	-0.21	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.21

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.05	-0.00	4	89%	0.12	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.05	-0.01	3	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	10	50%	0.04	2	-0.10	4	100%	0.31
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.06	-0.00	6	72%	0.03	3	-0.10	6	67%	-0.09
Dale Davis	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.09	-0.15	-0.00	5	36%	-0.17	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.36,-0.36,-0.33	-0.33	-0.13	-0.21	-0.01	11	27%	-0.25	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.24,-0.34,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36	-0.36	-0.12	-0.24	-0.00	15	41%	-0.18	4	-0.17	4	75%	-0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.3,-0.46	-0.46	-0.09	-0.38	-0.01	19	46%	-0.44	1	-0.02	18	78%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	29.3	3.5	34.8	19.8	27.5	3.6	43.2	2.4	19.9	183.9
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	1.9	17.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +113.2%

IND -59.1%

BOS +2.0%

IND -14.1%

BOS +8.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	IND	NBA	BOS	IND	NBA
this game	16.2	16.4	15.5	94.8	90.8	104.0
season	14.4	16.8		104.7	101.9
opponent	15.5	16.0		101.6	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
BOS	16.7	12.4	18.5	17.6	17.0	16.2
IND	15.3	16.4	15.8	18.4	16.3	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ricky Davis	76	76	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.26	15	-12	27	16.3	15.8	0.48	16.9	14.9	2.02
Gary Payton	72	72	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.49	7	-4	11	15.9	17.1	-1.20	16.7	15.6	1.16
Antoine Walker	92	92	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.41	3	0	3	16.2	15.8	0.41	16.5	16.0	0.46
Al Jefferson	55	54	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.16	16	-13	29	15.7	16.8	-1.10	16.4	16.5	-0.05
Paul Pierce	80	82	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.42	-4	7	-11	16.3	15.8	0.51	16.6	15.4	1.18
Marcus Banks	31	32	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.23	-2	5	-7	16.9	15.8	1.10	15.2	17.0	-1.80
Raef LaFrentz	47	49	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.35	-8	11	-19	17.0	15.4	1.58	16.7	16.1	0.61
Tony Allen	2	2	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	6	-9	14.5	16.2	-1.72	14.0	16.5	-2.48
Delonte West	30	31	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.01	-9	12	-21	15.3	16.6	-1.28	15.0	17.1	-2.14
Kendrick Perkins	20	20	-0.31	0.81	-1.13	-0.08	-8	11	-19	17.6	15.8	1.84	18.3	15.9	2.41

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Fred Jones	22	21	0.07	-0.57	0.63	0.07	0	-3	3	14.8	16.9	-2.08	17.3	15.9	1.46
Scot Pollard	6	7	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.07	-5	2	-7	14.8	16.5	-1.70	16.3	16.2	0.11
Dale Davis	67	67	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.15	1	-4	5	16.8	15.6	1.19	15.9	16.8	-0.84
Jeff Foster	21	22	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.04	-6	3	-9	15.2	16.8	-1.58	15.2	16.5	-1.24
Anthony Johnson	42	43	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.18	-2	-1	-1	16.6	16.3	0.25	16.0	16.4	-0.42
James Jones	34	32	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.22	-2	-1	-1	15.0	17.2	-2.23	15.7	16.4	-0.70
Jamaal Tinsley	57	54	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.25	-2	-1	-1	16.0	17.0	-0.94	16.4	16.0	0.42
Stephen Jackson	87	86	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.49	2	-5	7	16.4	16.3	0.18	16.2	16.2	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	86	84	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.49	1	-4	5	16.8	13.7	3.15	16.3	15.5	0.84
Reggie Miller	68	69	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.45	-2	-1	-1	17.6	13.9	3.69	16.5	15.5	0.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.54,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.43,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.29,0.22,0.24,0.14,0.19,0.15,0.19,0.3,0.43,0.38,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.32,0.36,0.45,0.26,0.46,0.45,0.28,0.23,0.17,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 110, WAS 104	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.38,0.34,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.48,0.4,0.24,0.16,0.17,0.08,0.05,0.11,0.21,0.55,0.42,0.54,0.54,0.45,0.22,0.07,0	88.5%
NJN 110, IND 102	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.32,0.29,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.19,0.14,0.19,0.28,0.16,0.15,0.46,0.46,0.21,0.09,0,0	88.5%
CLE 91, TOR 90	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.22,0.27,0.19,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.38,0.25,0.24,0.29,0.17,0.24,0.17,0.2,0.16,0.15,0.27,0.46,0.31,0.15,0.16,0.27,0	88.3%