NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	91		Excitement	9.4 [58]		MVP	Doug Christie (TOR): +9.5%
Toronto Raptors	90		Comeback	1.6 [294]		LVP	Vince Carter (TOR): -81.1%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mitchell Butler	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.00	0.06	-0.01	11	54%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Danny Ferry	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	1	120%	0.07	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Johnny Newman	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	6	43%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bob Sura	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Henderson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	0.01	0.03	11	57%	0.02	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Andrew DeClercq	-0.06	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	6	50%	-0.03	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Wesley Person	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1	-0.01	-0.11	-0.01	11	54%	0.07	2	-0.17	2	0%	-0.07
Shawn Kemp	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.26,-0.26,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.16	-0.11	-0.04	22	43%	-0.13	4	-0.10	10	70%	-0.01
Brevin Knight	-0.30	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.3,-0.3	-0.12	-0.19	-0.01	7	33%	-0.22	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Doug Christie	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.04	-0.01	13	69%	0.16	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.02
John Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Willis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	8	61%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.04
Michael Stewart	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	10	64%	0.07	3	-0.10	5	80%	-0.00
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	5	60%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	10	40%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dee Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	0.03	0.00	8	19%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	4	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.34,-0.4,-0.44,-0.44,-0.44,-0.81	-0.81	-0.16	-0.65	0.00	20	37%	-0.54	3	-0.27	6	83%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.2	1.7	30.2	15.5	32.6	2.4	32.4	1.6	20.7	159.3
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	1.7	18.8	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +11.5%

CLE +7.5%

CLE +2.4%

CLE +8.4%

CLE +20.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	TOR	NBA	CLE	TOR	NBA
this game	17.0	15.7	15.8	91.9	94.7	99.6
season	16.3	15.6		97.3	99.0
opponent	15.9	16.2		101.2	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CLE	14.1	15.0	16.3	23.1	19.0	17.0
TOR	17.2	16.4	15.0	14.8	14.3	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Kemp	84	81	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.48	5	-4	9	16.6	19.3	-2.74	15.9	15.0	0.88
Brevin Knight	75	72	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.34	8	-7	15	15.8	20.8	-4.99	15.0	18.0	-2.97
Andrew DeClercq	80	77	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.42	4	-3	7	17.0	17.2	-0.18	15.7	16.1	-0.45
Mitchell Butler	42	42	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.52	-2	3	-5	18.7	15.7	3.00	15.7	15.8	-0.02
Wesley Person	68	63	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.32	4	-3	7	16.1	19.0	-2.85	15.3	16.6	-1.28
Cedric Henderson	69	68	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.02	4	-3	7	15.9	19.5	-3.57	15.3	17.0	-1.70
Johnny Newman	20	18	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.09	-4	5	-9	20.0	16.3	3.75	19.7	14.8	4.90
Bob Sura	25	23	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.14	-9	10	-19	20.0	16.0	4.05	18.0	15.0	2.97
Danny Ferry	32	31	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.03	-5	6	-11	18.7	16.2	2.57	15.3	16.0	-0.73

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Thomas	11	12	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.01	-1	0	-1	13.7	16.0	-2.28	16.5	17.1	-0.58
John Wallace	57	59	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.42	12	-13	25	13.9	18.6	-4.68	18.0	15.5	2.53
Michael Stewart	8	6	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.01	-3	2	-5	13.4	16.0	-2.59	17.0	17.0	-0.01
Alvin Williams	27	29	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.10	-1	0	-1	18.6	14.6	3.92	16.1	17.4	-1.33
Dee Brown	64	67	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.37	6	-7	13	15.2	16.9	-1.72	17.6	15.7	1.95
Vince Carter	72	74	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.45	8	-9	17	15.4	16.9	-1.54	17.4	15.7	1.73
Tracy McGrady	34	36	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.01	-11	10	-21	19.1	13.9	5.25	14.6	18.4	-3.73
Charles Oakley	64	70	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.19	-6	5	-11	15.9	15.5	0.34	17.0	16.9	0.11
Doug Christie	83	86	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.48	1	-2	3	14.8	22.6	-7.82	17.4	14.3	3.11
Kevin Willis	55	56	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.37	-10	9	-19	17.5	13.4	4.10	16.1	18.3	-2.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.22,0.27,0.19,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.38,0.25,0.24,0.29,0.17,0.24,0.17,0.2,0.16,0.15,0.27,0.46,0.31,0.15,0.16,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 103, PHI 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.17,0.16,0.23,0.25,0.16,0.12,0.22,0.18,0.22,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.42,0.17,0.15,0.22,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.46,0.45,0.28,0.16,0.02,0	91.0%
LAL 98, HOU 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.4,0.41,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.18,0.2,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.25,0.2,0.32,0.3,0.35,0.29,0.39,0.28,0.33,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.21,0.22,0.37,0	90.2%
MIA 93, SAC 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.39,0.34,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.29,0.34,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.21,0.19,0.26,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.17,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.46,0.31,0.15,0.08,0.08,0	90.1%