NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	105		Excitement	7.0 [408]		MVP	Allan Houston (NYK): +42.5%
San Antonio Spurs	97		Comeback	9.1 [40]		LVP	Tony Parker (SAS): -20.0%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allan Houston	0.43	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.36,0.34,0.43,0.43	0.24	0.19	0.01	22	78%	0.49	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Michael Doleac	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.08	0.05	-0.00	9	78%	0.15	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	3	75%	0.06	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Clar. Weatherspoon	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.06	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	11	52%	0.04	2	-0.10	3	100%	0.00
Howard Eisley	-0.08	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	10	40%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.01	14	47%	-0.04	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.01
Charlie Ward	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	7	36%	-0.01	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	1	150%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	8	63%	0.03	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.03
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	12	46%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	2	62%	-0.02	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	18	53%	-0.03	2	-0.04	15	60%	-0.04
Malik Rose	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	12	41%	-0.08	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.10	-0.13	-0.03	17	52%	-0.06	6	-0.14	6	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.4	26.3	15.7	26.3	2.4	34.4	131.0
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +70.0%

SAS -11.5%

SAS -7.0%

SAS -10.3%

NYK +8.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	SAS	NBA	NYK	SAS	NBA
this game	15.5	15.4	15.5	112.9	104.3	101.6
season	15.6	15.7		102.6	102.5
opponent	15.4	15.5		96.9	104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.4	18.1	16.8	13.2	15.5
SAS	16.3	14.0	15.2	16.2	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charlie Ward	43	43	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.29	16	-8	24	14.7	16.3	-1.59	15.8	15.1	0.69
Allan Houston	85	85	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.25	11	-3	14	15.3	18.0	-2.71	15.7	13.1	2.53
Clar. Weatherspoon	42	41	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.27	7	1	6	15.2	15.8	-0.61	14.3	16.3	-1.97
Shandon Anderson	27	27	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.17	9	-1	10	16.9	15.0	1.87	17.8	14.5	3.35
Kurt Thomas	39	39	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.21	5	3	2	14.8	16.0	-1.17	15.1	15.7	-0.58
Michael Doleac	52	53	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.06	7	1	6	15.3	15.8	-0.45	16.3	14.3	1.96
Latrell Sprewell	74	74	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.11	-4	12	-16	15.3	16.4	-1.06	14.3	19.8	-5.47
Othella Harrington	53	53	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.02	-3	11	-14	16.5	14.2	2.24	15.7	15.1	0.60
Howard Eisley	50	50	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	-0.03	-8	16	-24	16.3	14.7	1.59	15.1	15.8	-0.69

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Kerr	7	7	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.00	1	-9	10	19.0	15.2	3.85	18.6	15.3	3.29
Steven Smith	3	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-7	6	7.0	15.7	-8.72	9.0	15.7	-6.74
Manu Ginobili	59	57	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.30	10	-18	28	14.7	16.6	-1.90	15.7	15.2	0.45
Speedy Claxton	6	5	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.08	0	-8	8	21.0	15.1	5.94	17.0	15.4	1.56
Bruce Bowen	75	74	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.04	-7	-1	-6	15.2	16.6	-1.45	15.9	14.1	1.85
Kevin Willis	30	30	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.16	-1	-7	6	15.7	15.3	0.38	16.1	15.3	0.85
Malik Rose	71	71	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.24	-2	-6	4	15.0	16.9	-1.86	15.1	16.8	-1.69
Tony Parker	80	81	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.19	-9	1	-10	14.7	19.9	-5.21	15.2	17.9	-2.74
Tim Duncan	85	85	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.14	-13	5	-18	15.7	12.5	3.22	15.7	14.1	1.53
Stephen Jackson	49	52	-0.83	0.33	-1.15	-0.30	-18	10	-28	17.2	13.5	3.77	15.2	16.0	-0.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.75,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.81,0.74,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.72,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.26,0.05,0.06,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 94, SAC 86	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.7,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.32,0.29,0.24,0.02,0	92.2%
ORL 107, PHI 105	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.56,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.78,0.76,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.35,0.22,0.25,0.15,0.04,0.05,0	92.2%
MIA 108, ORL 101	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.61,0.66,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.82,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.73,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.8,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.66,0.72,0.53,0.53,0.34,0.46,0.31,0.29,0.15,0.08,0	92.0%