NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	107		Excitement	6.8 [439]		MVP	Mike Miller (ORL): +33.1%
Philadelphia 76ers	105		Comeback	7.3 [78]		LVP	Aaron McKie (PHI): -17.3%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Miller	0.33	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.13,0.24,0.24,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.13	0.21	0.01	20	64%	0.35	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Tracy McGrady	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.14,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.11	0.02	0.07	-0.03	19	63%	0.22	4	-0.11	16	81%	0.04
Pat Garrity	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	8	81%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jeryl Sasser	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Burke	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	8	53%	0.06	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.05	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	7	52%	-0.03	3	-0.08	11	64%	-0.03
Andrew DeClercq	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.04	-0.08	0.00	3	56%	-0.05	2	-0.07	3	33%	-0.05

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.00	-0.03	12	70%	0.17	4	-0.11	3	100%	0.02
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.00	3	87%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	9	63%	0.10	3	-0.07	1	0%	-0.01
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	3	100%	0.11	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02
Efthimios Rentzias	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Satterfield	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Todd MacCulloch	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	2	100%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.05	0.02	12	65%	0.08	6	-0.18	2	100%	0.01
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.09,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.16	-0.16	-0.05	-0.09	0.02	24	53%	0.01	4	-0.17	12	83%	0.02
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	3	33%	-0.03	3	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.0	31.2	15.4	25.2	2.0	39.3	139.7
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +18.1%

ORL +11.0%

PHI -15.3%

ORL +36.0%

ORL +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	PHI	NBA	ORL	PHI	NBA
this game	13.7	15.7	15.5	109.2	107.1	101.6
season	14.6	15.3		102.7	102.1
opponent	15.5	15.8		99.9	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	14.2	13.2	13.5	13.7	13.7
PHI	16.4	14.5	18.3	14.0	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew DeClercq	42	43	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.57	4	-2	6	13.9	13.5	0.32	14.3	16.8	-2.52
Jacque Vaughn	81	82	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.38	10	-8	18	13.8	13.3	0.46	16.0	14.1	1.90
Tracy McGrady	82	84	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.45	6	-4	10	13.5	14.4	-0.84	15.4	17.6	-2.25
Mike Miller	90	89	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.40	4	-2	6	13.6	14.5	-0.90	15.8	14.9	0.91
Darrell Armstrong	70	68	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.51	-3	5	-8	13.7	13.6	0.09	15.1	17.1	-2.00
Pat Burke	9	9	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.02	-3	5	-8	11.0	13.9	-2.94	17.3	15.6	1.78
Jeryl Sasser	11	10	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.06	-5	7	-12	11.4	14.0	-2.60	15.9	15.7	0.21
Shawn Kemp	54	55	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	-0.13	0	2	-2	14.0	13.3	0.64	16.8	14.3	2.52
Pat Garrity	51	50	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.05	-3	5	-8	14.4	12.9	1.46	16.1	15.3	0.79

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Salmons	28	29	0.23	-0.73	0.96	0.03	7	-9	16	16.4	15.4	0.95	12.9	14.0	-1.15
Derrick Coleman	19	19	0.21	-0.71	0.91	0.00	7	-9	16	14.9	15.9	-0.95	13.3	13.8	-0.44
Kenny Satterfield	7	7	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.08	3	-5	8	13.9	15.9	-2.00	11.7	13.8	-2.11
Efthimios Rentzias	1	1	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.07	2	-4	6	7.0	15.8	-8.80	1.0	13.8	-12.80
Brian Skinner	26	26	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.02	-2	0	-2	17.7	15.0	2.69	12.4	14.1	-1.70
Todd MacCulloch	35	35	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.00	-6	4	-10	16.3	15.4	0.98	15.1	12.9	2.24
Kenny Thomas	45	44	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.42	4	-6	10	13.8	17.3	-3.50	13.5	13.8	-0.31
Eric Snow	83	83	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.41	-4	2	-6	16.3	12.6	3.68	14.2	11.0	3.16
Allen Iverson	91	93	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.46	-4	2	-6	15.3	20.7	-5.38	13.4	18.6	-5.19
Keith Van Horn	79	79	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.52	-4	2	-6	15.8	15.2	0.62	14.0	12.2	1.81
Aaron McKie	76	74	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.29	-13	11	-24	15.8	15.4	0.45	13.7	13.5	0.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.56,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.78,0.76,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.35,0.22,0.25,0.15,0.04,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 108, ORL 101	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.61,0.66,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.82,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.73,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.8,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.66,0.72,0.53,0.53,0.34,0.46,0.31,0.29,0.15,0.08,0	92.8%
POR 95, HOU 89	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.7,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.75,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.41,0.27,0.2,0.11,0.04,0.01,0	92.4%
NJN 95, CLE 87	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.4,0.47,0.31,0.16,0.01,0.09,0	92.2%