NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	111		Excitement	8.1 [237]		MVP	Jason Terry (ATL): +24.9%
Cleveland Cavaliers	105		Comeback	3.0 [436]		LVP	Darius Miles (CLE): -17.2%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0.25	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.25,0.25	0.10	0.17	0.02	12	80%	0.32	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08	0.09	-0.01	0.01	16	62%	0.08	0	0.00	5	100%	0.06
Ira Newble	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	5	67%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Glenn Robinson	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.02	17	62%	0.11	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.02
Dan Dickau	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Dion Glover	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.17,-0.17,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	9	65%	0.12	5	-0.19	8	100%	0.05
Alan Henderson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	9	37%	-0.10	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Boozer	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.10	0.11	-0.00	9	75%	0.21	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Stewart	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tierre Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	-0.00	6	42%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	8	41%	-0.05	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Dajuan Wagner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	9	41%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	0.01	-0.02	11	27%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	0.02	-0.10	0.02	21	57%	0.05	3	-0.15	5	100%	0.04
Smush Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.08	-0.12	-0.04	9	48%	-0.05	3	-0.12	5	100%	0.03
Darius Miles	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.03,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.10	-0.08	-0.00	16	41%	-0.11	3	-0.06	2	0%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.8	2.4	30.4	14.8	31.1	1.7	33.3	141.4
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +51.1%

ATL +3.6%

CLE -2.7%

CLE -6.5%

ATL +4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	CLE	NBA	ATL	CLE	NBA
this game	14.4	15.1	15.5	113.3	108.2	101.6
season	15.1	15.1		99.5	94.6
opponent	14.9	15.7		104.3	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	13.2	13.6	14.7	16.3	14.4
CLE	15.1	15.8	14.1	15.7	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Glenn Robinson	82	79	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.32	14	-8	22	13.9	16.8	-2.89	15.4	14.0	1.41
Dion Glover	69	68	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.29	14	-8	22	15.4	11.9	3.50	15.4	14.6	0.75
Theo Ratliff	60	58	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.35	10	-4	14	15.6	12.5	3.06	15.8	14.2	1.57
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	83	82	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.30	11	-5	16	14.9	11.7	3.15	15.5	13.3	2.14
Jason Terry	98	97	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.32	6	0	6	14.4	0.0	14.40	15.1	0.0	15.14
Nazr Mohammed	16	16	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	-0.02	-2	8	-10	12.9	14.7	-1.75	15.9	15.0	0.87
Dan Dickau	2	4	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.08	-2	8	-10	13.0	14.4	-1.43	3.7	15.6	-11.88
Alan Henderson	23	24	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.03	-6	12	-18	12.7	14.9	-2.17	13.7	15.6	-1.96
Darvin Ham	22	22	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.05	-7	13	-20	12.1	15.1	-2.92	14.0	15.5	-1.54
Ira Newble	35	35	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.06	-8	14	-22	13.5	14.9	-1.33	15.0	15.2	-0.18

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darius Miles	56	55	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.02	2	-8	10	13.8	16.9	-3.09	15.3	13.2	2.12
Chris Mihm	43	43	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.06	-4	-2	-2	14.9	15.4	-0.47	13.7	15.0	-1.33
Dajuan Wagner	53	54	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.15	3	-9	12	15.6	14.6	1.01	14.8	13.9	0.93
DeSagana Diop	16	15	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.05	-4	-2	-2	17.5	14.7	2.82	12.2	14.8	-2.60
Smush Parker	40	40	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.27	5	-11	16	15.0	15.3	-0.29	15.0	14.0	1.02
Milt Palacio	38	39	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-3	0	14.5	15.6	-1.10	15.9	13.4	2.45
Tierre Brown	7	7	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.07	-8	2	-10	20.3	14.7	5.54	9.7	14.8	-5.04
Carlos Boozer	71	72	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.41	3	-9	12	14.7	16.2	-1.48	14.4	14.4	0.02
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	62	64	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.36	-3	-3	0	15.1	15.3	-0.18	15.4	12.6	2.82
Ricky Davis	63	64	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.28	-9	3	-12	15.4	14.7	0.68	13.2	16.7	-3.58
Jumaine Jones	36	37	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.26	-10	4	-14	16.1	14.6	1.58	13.3	15.1	-1.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.59,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.71,0.75,0.67,0.61,0.59,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.46,0.43,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.67,0.31,0.36,0.22,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 98, SEA 96	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.54,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.33,0.32,0.37,0.38,0.48,0.6,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.31,0.64,0.31,0.17,0	92.1%
SAC 109, VAN 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.48,0.34,0.33,0.48,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.49,0.64,0.54,0.46,0.32,0.28,0.33,0.01,0	91.6%
ORL 104, LAL 97	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.46,0.27,0.21,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.57,0.57,0.43,0.42,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.47,0.36,0.09,0.01,0	91.3%