inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 104 Excitement8.8 [128] MVPKeyon Dooling (ORL): +14.6%
Los Angeles Lakers 97 Comeback2.5 [359] LVPJameer Nelson (ORL): -28.8%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Keyon Dooling0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.150.030.08-0.031164%0.172-0.0300%0.00
JJ Redick0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.050.07-0.00567%0.1100.002100%0.02
Dwight Howard0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0.06,0.06,0.060.040.020.001157%0.101-0.04862%-0.02
Adonal Foyle0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.010.014100%0.101-0.0400%0.00
Rashard Lewis0.000,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,00.07-0.07-0.001262%0.122-0.125100%0.06
Brian Cook-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.01350%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Hedo Turkoglu-0.020,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02-0.050.03-0.011250%0.084-0.104100%0.02
Maurice Evans-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.02-0.06-0.001045%-0.021-0.0500%0.00
Keith Bogans-0.110,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.01-0.090.011146%-0.021-0.092100%0.00
Jameer Nelson-0.290,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29-0.17-0.120.00911%-0.203-0.0900%0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Sasha Vujacic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.010.07-0.01545%0.0900.001100%0.01
Ronny Turiaf0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.00-0.00456%0.0300.001100%0.00
Andrew Bynum0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.00-0.00956%0.052-0.0500%0.00
Derek Fisher0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.02-0.01-0.021045%0.031-0.0400%0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.06-0.03-0.00939%-0.022-0.0600%0.00
Chris Mihm0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.07-0.02-0.00333%-0.003-0.0900%0.00
Luke Walton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.05-0.070.00743%0.012-0.1300%0.00
Lamar Odom0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.12-0.12-0.03-0.090.001753%-0.004-0.122100%0.01
Kobe Bryant0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,0.04,-0.03,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.150.00-0.150.002650%0.054-0.204100%0.02
Jordan Farmar0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.20-0.10-0.10-0.01737%-0.034-0.17250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.12.530.215.828.62.035.2139.4
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +11.3%
ORL +15.1%
LAL -4.6%
ORL +27.6%
ORL +0.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLLALNBAORLLALNBA
this game13.713.715.498.193.3105.7
season15.114.6109.9110.6
opponent15.215.6104.1104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL11.713.116.314.113.7
LAL12.714.014.913.613.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Keyon Dooling43420.83-0.331.170.3118-112912.114.8-2.6813.513.9-0.33
Hedo Turkoglu80800.62-0.120.730.3210-31313.215.3-2.1713.813.50.29
Dwight Howard79760.430.070.350.198-1913.913.00.9014.611.53.09
Rashard Lewis81790.410.090.310.2361514.012.81.1413.713.8-0.10
Maurice Evans45440.360.140.23-0.1417-102713.913.60.3214.313.31.07
Keith Bogans66630.220.28-0.060.40-613-1913.813.60.1314.013.40.59
Adonal Foyle27280.070.43-0.350.10-18-913.013.9-0.9011.514.6-3.09
JJ Redick24250.010.49-0.490.0107-714.913.41.5113.613.8-0.16
Brian Cook2221-0.110.61-0.730.06-613-1912.913.9-1.0611.714.2-2.51
Jameer Nelson6362-0.330.83-1.17-0.01-1118-2914.812.12.6813.913.50.33

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Mihm24230.06-0.560.62-0.033-101312.214.2-2.0213.013.9-0.96
Sasha Vujacic23240.06-0.560.61-0.064-111513.513.8-0.3114.713.41.29
Derek Fisher60620.01-0.510.52-0.114-111513.414.2-0.8013.813.50.32
Ronny Turiaf1922-0.10-0.400.30-0.07-1-6514.213.60.6013.413.8-0.38
Luke Walton3939-0.25-0.250.010.02-92-1114.313.40.9812.814.2-1.44
Vladimir Radmanovic6971-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.32-2-5313.314.5-1.2413.514.2-0.74
Lamar Odom9093-0.42-0.08-0.35-0.28-5-2-313.713.60.1713.813.20.54
Andrew Bynum6160-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.20-92-1114.213.11.1114.312.91.37
Kobe Bryant9192-0.510.01-0.51-0.24-92-1113.813.10.7413.812.90.90
Jordan Farmar4444-0.510.01-0.52-0.19-114-1514.213.40.8013.513.8-0.32


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.46,0.27,0.21,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.57,0.57,0.43,0.42,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.47,0.36,0.09,0.01,0
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 111, CLE 1050.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.59,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.71,0.75,0.67,0.61,0.59,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.46,0.43,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.67,0.31,0.36,0.22,0.04,091.3%
SAC 109, VAN 1010.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.48,0.34,0.33,0.48,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.49,0.64,0.54,0.46,0.32,0.28,0.33,0.01,090.6%
CLE 111, WAS 1080.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.66,0.62,0.55,0.62,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.26,0.31,0.39,0.37,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.32,0.38,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.36,0.47,0.46,0.61,0.21,0.14,0.01,090.4%