NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	100		Excitement	4.8 [854]		MVP	Tony Parker (SAS): +7.8%
San Antonio Spurs	108		Comeback	1.1 [911]		LVP	Mike Bibby (SAC): -10.2%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Jackson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.01	-0.05	19	50%	0.10	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.08	-0.03	0.06	26	67%	0.11	6	-0.13	2	50%	-0.01
Jim Jackson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	7	43%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Peja Stojakovic	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	0.01	0.06	16	53%	-0.02	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
Keon Clark	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	6	44%	-0.03	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Vlade Divac	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	5	54%	0.01	4	-0.09	3	100%	0.01
Mike Bibby	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.00	-0.01	9	22%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Parker	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.01	0.03	18	73%	0.14	4	-0.06	8	87%	0.02
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	3	87%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	7	44%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	4	60%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	11	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	15	50%	0.01	3	-0.05	6	67%	0.01
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.10	0.00	-0.04	9	50%	0.02	5	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
David Robinson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	9	36%	-0.05	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.5	30.3	17.5	26.4	3.4	34.5	140.8
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +17.7%

SAS +5.8%

SAS +9.9%

SAS +15.5%

SAS +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	SAS	NBA	SAC	SAS	NBA
this game	13.7	15.7	15.5	102.0	110.2	101.6
season	14.0	15.7		104.4	102.5
opponent	15.4	15.7		96.9	98.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	12.5	13.0	15.3	14.3	13.7
SAS	14.1	15.2	17.4	16.3	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hedo Turkoglu	23	24	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.26	5	-13	18	13.2	13.9	-0.69	13.5	16.4	-2.95
Jim Jackson	46	45	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.20	0	-8	8	13.7	13.7	-0.10	15.2	16.1	-0.98
Mike Bibby	46	46	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.06	-5	-3	-2	13.5	13.9	-0.38	16.3	15.1	1.25
Doug Christie	61	63	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.24	0	-8	8	13.9	13.4	0.48	17.2	12.9	4.26
Keon Clark	41	41	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.04	-11	3	-14	14.8	12.9	1.93	15.8	15.6	0.21
Vlade Divac	58	57	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.03	-10	2	-12	13.5	14.0	-0.46	15.9	15.3	0.63
Peja Stojakovic	69	68	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.16	-6	-2	-4	13.1	15.2	-2.09	15.1	17.0	-1.90
Chris Webber	90	90	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.30	-3	-5	2	13.6	14.7	-1.14	15.7	15.0	0.74
Bobby Jackson	56	56	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.13	-10	2	-12	14.2	13.0	1.19	15.1	16.5	-1.47

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Parker	85	85	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.18	11	-3	14	15.1	19.4	-4.27	13.6	14.7	-1.14
Manu Ginobili	60	59	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.21	8	0	8	15.6	15.8	-0.17	13.7	13.6	0.10
David Robinson	52	54	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.01	14	-6	20	15.8	15.5	0.31	14.9	12.2	2.72
Stephen Jackson	75	77	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.17	7	1	6	15.1	17.5	-2.40	13.6	14.1	-0.50
Malik Rose	59	56	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.22	2	6	-4	15.4	16.1	-0.61	12.0	15.9	-3.89
Tim Duncan	62	62	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.27	0	8	-8	16.4	14.5	1.83	14.7	11.9	2.83
Bruce Bowen	60	59	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.22	-1	9	-10	16.7	14.1	2.66	13.9	13.4	0.53
Kevin Willis	23	24	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.04	0	8	-8	14.2	16.1	-1.97	12.2	14.2	-2.04
Steve Kerr	14	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	9	-10	18.0	15.3	2.70	14.1	13.6	0.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.66,0.65,0.72,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.73,0.81,0.76,0.84,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.82,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.92,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.8,0.86,0.85,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.89,0.92,0.83,0.94,0.9,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 81, DAL 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.83,0.89,0.86,0.84,0.82,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.82,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.79,0.89,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1	96.1%
UTA 110, LAL 120	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.77,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.88,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.79,0.84,0.91,0.97,0.98,1,1,1	95.9%
NJN 84, ORL 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.5,0.56,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.8,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.8,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.91,0.92,0.82,0.89,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	95.6%