NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	110		Excitement	4.9 [822]		MVP	Derek Fisher (LAL): +22.6%
Los Angeles Lakers	120		Comeback	1.1 [1082]		LVP	Matt Harpring (UTA): -11.0%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Millsap	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	-0.01	0.02	13	57%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Ronnie Brewer	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.01	0.02	10	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.01	9	53%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Mehmet Okur	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.04	13	57%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
CJ Miles	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.02	13	48%	0.01	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Jarron Collins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.11	-0.02	0.13	17	69%	0.05	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Carlos Boozer	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	10	42%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Matt Harpring	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	9	22%	-0.08	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Fisher	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.21	0.02	0.01	10	92%	0.23	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.13	0.02	0.01	18	71%	0.22	5	-0.08	12	92%	0.01
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.03	0.04	5	75%	0.09	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.03	10	70%	0.13	3	-0.08	7	71%	-0.01
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	11	59%	0.06	2	-0.05	12	67%	-0.02
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	6	42%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.3	3.3	30.5	20.5	27.5	3.6	40.2	154.9
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +62.9%

LAL +6.7%

UTA -11.1%

UTA -9.6%

LAL +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	LAL	NBA	UTA	LAL	NBA
this game	15.4	13.9	15.4	111.1	122.4	105.7
season	15.5	14.6		111.2	110.6
opponent	15.2	15.0		104.1	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.1	16.3	14.1	14.9	15.4
LAL	10.9	15.0	14.7	15.1	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronnie Price	15	15	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.08	4	-14	18	15.0	15.4	-0.42	15.0	13.7	1.33
CJ Miles	3	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-9	8	5.0	15.7	-10.68	1.5	14.1	-12.64
Jarron Collins	21	21	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.14	3	-13	16	17.1	14.9	2.21	14.5	13.7	0.82
Kyle Korver	48	48	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.24	1	-11	12	15.3	15.4	-0.08	14.9	12.9	2.04
Carlos Boozer	51	52	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.16	-3	-7	4	15.1	15.7	-0.61	13.9	13.9	0.02
Matt Harpring	39	39	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.11	-5	-5	0	17.3	14.1	3.14	14.9	13.2	1.65
Mehmet Okur	60	59	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.06	-7	-3	-4	15.1	15.7	-0.52	13.7	14.1	-0.33
Ronnie Brewer	51	50	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.03	-11	1	-12	15.4	15.3	0.08	12.9	14.9	-2.04
Paul Millsap	57	56	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.13	-7	-3	-4	15.7	14.9	0.78	14.4	13.1	1.33
Andrei Kirilenko	66	65	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.05	-10	0	-10	14.3	17.5	-3.24	13.1	15.5	-2.38
Deron Williams	84	83	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.13	-14	4	-18	15.4	15.0	0.42	13.7	15.0	-1.33

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Fisher	75	77	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.05	18	-8	26	13.4	15.4	-2.03	14.9	17.0	-2.06
Lamar Odom	85	86	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.06	17	-7	24	13.4	16.8	-3.33	14.9	18.4	-3.49
Kobe Bryant	78	80	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.02	18	-8	26	13.4	15.6	-2.16	14.8	17.6	-2.82
Pau Gasol	88	88	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.23	7	3	4	14.2	11.1	3.09	15.8	11.5	4.28
Vladimir Radmanovic	40	40	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.09	14	-4	18	12.3	15.0	-2.71	16.8	14.4	2.39
Sasha Vujacic	42	41	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.30	-7	17	-24	14.7	13.2	1.46	14.6	15.9	-1.23
Luke Walton	36	37	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.19	-5	15	-20	15.6	12.9	2.78	15.8	15.1	0.69
Ronny Turiaf	23	24	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.12	-4	14	-18	14.3	13.7	0.56	15.2	15.4	-0.14
Jordan Farmar	23	22	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.15	-8	18	-26	15.4	13.4	2.03	17.0	14.9	2.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.77,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.88,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.79,0.84,0.91,0.97,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 100, SAS 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.66,0.65,0.72,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.73,0.81,0.76,0.84,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.82,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.92,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.8,0.86,0.85,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.89,0.92,0.83,0.94,0.9,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.9%
SAC 96, DAL 104	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.83,0.82,0.75,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.78,0.73,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.82,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.98,1,0.99,1,0.95,1	95.5%
POR 80, PHI 97	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.74,0.79,0.77,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.81,0.87,0.8,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.79,0.84,0.83,0.89,0.93,0.89,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.88,0.9,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.3%