NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	84		Excitement	4.1 [1003]		MVP	Dwight Howard (ORL): +9.2%
Orlando Magic	101		Comeback	1.0 [1264]		LVP	Keyon Dooling (NJN): -17.4%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brook Lopez	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.01	15	59%	0.07	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Josh Boone	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	3	71%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jarvis Hayes	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.01	15	42%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Devin Harris	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	25	47%	0.03	3	-0.04	10	70%	-0.02
Ryan Anderson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	5	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.00	0.04	7	57%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Douglas-Roberts	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	5	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Sean Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.19	-0.01	-0.02	7	0%	-0.12	3	-0.05	1	0%	-0.02

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwight Howard	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.16	0.01	0.08	13	68%	0.13	2	-0.04	18	67%	-0.03
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.12	0.00	0.03	10	74%	0.11	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	0	100%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rashard Lewis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	-0.00	-0.02	12	48%	0.03	1	-0.01	5	80%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	10	62%	0.07	4	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	6	33%	0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	0.00	8	37%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.11	-0.00	-0.03	5	20%	-0.03	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.5	31.6	15.8	27.3	2.4	30.6	135.6
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +31.0%

ORL +10.5%

ORL +5.3%

ORL +1.3%

ORL +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	ORL	NBA	NJN	ORL	NBA
this game	17.1	14.9	15.5	93.3	112.2	106.4
season	16.0	15.3		106.5	107.3
opponent	15.8	15.5		101.4	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	17.4	17.5	17.2	16.3	17.1
ORL	12.6	14.5	15.5	17.1	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Anderson	37	39	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.04	-3	-14	11	15.7	18.1	-2.46	15.5	14.4	1.03
Sean Williams	17	19	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.00	-5	-12	7	17.2	17.1	0.07	15.8	14.6	1.22
Josh Boone	20	18	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.01	-5	-12	7	17.6	17.0	0.68	13.1	15.3	-2.21
Chris Douglas-Roberts	27	27	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.02	-6	-11	5	15.9	17.7	-1.81	14.1	15.2	-1.10
Brook Lopez	64	65	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.01	-9	-8	-1	17.1	17.2	-0.15	15.2	14.1	1.05
Devin Harris	76	76	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.03	-12	-5	-7	17.4	15.4	2.01	15.2	13.0	2.22
Jarvis Hayes	76	76	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.01	-14	-3	-11	17.5	15.0	2.51	15.2	13.0	2.22
Trenton Hassell	71	70	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.14	-19	2	-21	17.3	16.5	0.76	14.7	15.5	-0.80
Keyon Dooling	62	60	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.11	-12	-5	-7	17.4	16.6	0.75	14.1	16.5	-2.38

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Courtney Lee	50	49	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.11	19	-2	21	13.8	16.2	-2.47	17.2	17.0	0.22
Rashard Lewis	66	66	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.15	19	-2	21	14.2	16.7	-2.50	16.8	18.0	-1.25
Hedo Turkoglu	74	76	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.15	18	-1	19	14.7	15.6	-0.83	17.2	16.4	0.82
Dwight Howard	67	67	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.08	14	3	11	14.9	14.8	0.07	16.8	18.2	-1.41
Mickael Pietrus	62	63	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.05	11	6	5	15.0	14.6	0.44	16.9	17.6	-0.67
Anthony Johnson	48	48	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.07	5	12	-7	15.6	14.0	1.65	17.6	16.5	1.08
JJ Redick	43	42	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.21	0	17	-17	15.7	14.2	1.48	16.9	17.3	-0.45
Marcin Gortat	23	23	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.08	3	14	-11	14.8	14.9	-0.07	18.2	16.8	1.41
Tony Battie	24	24	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.15	-2	19	-21	16.7	14.2	2.50	18.0	16.8	1.25
Tyronn Lue	4	4	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.07	-3	20	-23	15.0	14.9	0.13	12.5	17.3	-4.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.5,0.56,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.8,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.8,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.91,0.92,0.82,0.89,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 71, PHX 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.96,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
IND 91, CHI 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.63,0.65,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.82,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.1%
LAL 80, ORL 92	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.88,0.88,0.82,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.92,0.91,0.86,0.84,0.8,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.95,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%