NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	81		Excitement	4.6 [883]		MVP	Marvin Williams (CHA): +11.2%
Dallas Mavericks	92		Comeback	1.2 [1211]		LVP	Cody Zeller (CHA): -13.0%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marvin Williams	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.15	0.01	0.04	8	83%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	0.01
Jason Maxiell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.00	2	40%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Troy Daniels	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Taylor	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	13	54%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Mo Williams	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	20	52%	0.06	5	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Brian Roberts	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	15	37%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	0.00	6	29%	-0.04	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Al Jefferson	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.15	0.00	-0.02	16	25%	-0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Cody Zeller	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.02	0.01	6	100%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.02	8	70%	0.14	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	7	37%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	5	67%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.01	8	56%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.01	7	47%	0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Monta Ellis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	0.03	21	48%	0.02	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	8	50%	0.04	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	5	30%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.4	27.9	17.0	26.2	2.4	30.6	129.0
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +48.8%

DAL +0.5%

CHA -1.2%

CHA -1.3%

DAL +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	DAL	NBA	CHA	DAL	NBA
this game	15.1	14.6	15.1	82.7	95.8	104.2
season	15.6	14.6		98.9	107.6
opponent	15.0	15.1		105.0	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	17.9	14.8	13.3	14.9	15.1
DAL	16.3	14.0	13.9	14.5	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Troy Daniels	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-11	11	10.0	15.1	-5.13	5.0	14.7	-9.71
Gerald Henderson	53	51	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.15	1	-12	13	15.3	14.9	0.40	14.5	14.7	-0.20
Jeff Taylor	12	12	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.04	-7	-4	-3	16.5	14.9	1.62	13.3	14.8	-1.45
Jason Maxiell	15	13	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.09	-9	-2	-7	16.9	14.8	2.11	14.8	14.6	0.19
Brian Roberts	28	26	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.02	-7	-4	-3	16.3	14.6	1.69	14.9	14.5	0.44
Cody Zeller	57	55	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.07	-5	-6	1	15.7	14.2	1.44	14.5	14.7	-0.22
Al Jefferson	66	65	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.23	0	-11	11	14.3	16.6	-2.29	14.5	14.8	-0.25
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	63	62	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.16	-4	-7	3	14.5	16.1	-1.65	15.1	13.7	1.39
Lance Stephenson	60	60	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.13	-8	-3	-5	14.9	15.3	-0.38	14.5	14.8	-0.32
Marvin Williams	58	59	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.15	-8	-3	-5	14.9	15.4	-0.50	14.7	14.4	0.37
Mo Williams	77	76	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.15	-8	-3	-5	15.0	15.5	-0.56	14.6	14.7	-0.12

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Jefferson	66	68	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.03	16	-5	21	14.7	14.4	0.25	15.3	14.6	0.74
Rajon Rondo	52	55	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.05	13	-2	15	15.8	13.2	2.54	15.0	15.2	-0.27
Monta Ellis	72	75	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.06	11	0	11	14.9	13.7	1.14	15.3	14.4	0.90
Tyson Chandler	65	66	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.13	5	6	-1	15.1	13.5	1.65	15.0	15.3	-0.34
Charlie Villanueva	37	37	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.10	5	6	-1	14.5	14.7	-0.19	14.9	15.2	-0.35
Dirk Nowitzki	48	50	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.06	5	6	-1	15.0	14.2	0.71	15.3	14.9	0.45
Amar'e Stoudemire	22	22	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.03	6	5	1	14.8	14.5	0.28	15.9	14.8	1.07
Jose Juan Barea	24	23	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.12	0	11	-11	13.7	14.9	-1.14	14.4	15.3	-0.90
Devin Harris	44	43	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.13	-2	13	-15	13.2	15.8	-2.54	15.2	15.0	0.27
Al-Farouq Aminu	50	51	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.18	-4	15	-19	13.5	15.8	-2.39	14.5	15.7	-1.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.83,0.89,0.86,0.84,0.82,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.82,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.79,0.89,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 100, SAS 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.66,0.65,0.72,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.73,0.81,0.76,0.84,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.82,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.92,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.8,0.86,0.85,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.89,0.92,0.83,0.94,0.9,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.1%
SEA 104, SAC 116	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.77,0.78,0.83,0.89,0.89,0.84,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.9,0.85,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
SAC 96, DAL 104	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.83,0.82,0.75,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.78,0.73,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.82,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.98,1,0.99,1,0.95,1	95.8%