NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	101		Excitement	9.0 [128]		MVP	Cuttino Mobley (HOU): +46.5%
Boston Celtics	95		Comeback	66.6 [6]		LVP	J.R. Bremer (BOS): -35.0%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cuttino Mobley	0.46	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.02,0.11,0.34,0.2,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.46,0.46	0.13	0.33	-0.00	20	70%	0.62	3	-0.15	4	100%	0.03
Yao Ming	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.05	0.00	2	90%	0.11	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.04
Moochie Norris	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Steve Francis	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01	0.11	-0.06	0.06	18	69%	0.05	2	-0.06	12	83%	0.04
Glen Rice	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	62%	0.05	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.02	-0.03	3	25%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
James Posey	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	11	42%	-0.05	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Eddie Griffin	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	10	45%	-0.01	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Terence Morris	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Battie	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.03	-0.00	15	67%	0.14	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	6	58%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Long	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	9	46%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.01	-0.03	8	19%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kedrick Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	20	46%	-0.08	2	-0.07	8	62%	-0.02
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,0.01,-0.06,-0.31,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2	-0.20	-0.10	-0.10	0.01	18	49%	-0.06	4	-0.15	9	78%	0.00
J.R. Bremer	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.24,-0.31,-0.31,-0.35	-0.35	-0.07	-0.27	0.01	9	33%	-0.26	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.2	2.4	28.5	15.8	25.2	3.3	29.5	1.5	14.4	143.7
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	1.9	17.2	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +85.0%

HOU +21.0%

BOS -13.6%

BOS -42.1%

BOS -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	BOS	NBA	HOU	BOS	NBA
this game	16.1	16.5	15.5	103.1	97.9	101.6
season	16.3	15.6		101.7	99.3
opponent	15.5	15.4		99.9	100.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
HOU	18.3	18.0	15.4	14.0	13.1	16.1
BOS	14.4	15.5	14.0	21.4	19.5	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Yao Ming	74	73	0.85	-0.35	1.20	0.44	14	-8	22	15.6	17.9	-2.31	17.1	14.5	2.58
James Posey	62	63	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.33	14	-8	22	15.4	17.5	-2.12	17.2	15.1	2.06
Eddie Griffin	69	68	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.38	9	-3	12	15.6	17.3	-1.67	16.5	16.4	0.05
Cuttino Mobley	91	90	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.37	7	-1	8	16.0	17.4	-1.40	16.5	16.7	-0.25
Steve Francis	89	89	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.28	9	-3	12	15.7	20.2	-4.50	16.7	13.6	3.12
Kelvin Cato	13	12	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.01	-1	7	-8	18.5	15.8	2.69	13.2	16.9	-3.69
Moochie Norris	16	15	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.00	-4	10	-14	19.0	15.6	3.43	15.1	16.7	-1.68
Maurice Taylor	18	18	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	-0.08	-4	10	-14	17.9	15.7	2.15	16.6	16.5	0.16
Glen Rice	36	34	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	-0.00	-8	14	-22	17.5	15.4	2.12	15.1	17.2	-2.06
Terence Morris	22	23	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	-0.09	-6	12	-18	16.8	15.9	0.83	16.0	16.6	-0.64

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Walter McCarty	47	48	0.18	-0.68	0.86	0.30	-4	-2	-2	16.0	17.0	-1.02	15.9	16.4	-0.55
Tony Delk	44	45	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.18	-2	-4	2	16.2	16.8	-0.60	16.1	16.2	-0.12
Kedrick Brown	17	17	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.01	2	-8	10	15.8	16.6	-0.87	17.5	15.9	1.62
Grant Long	7	9	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	-3	0	13.6	16.7	-3.14	17.7	16.0	1.69
Mark Blount	19	18	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.03	-4	-2	-2	15.5	16.7	-1.26	16.2	16.1	0.11
Eric Williams	66	67	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.50	8	-14	22	16.8	15.9	0.90	16.6	15.2	1.37
Antoine Walker	90	89	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.35	-3	-3	0	16.7	13.6	3.14	16.0	17.7	-1.69
Paul Pierce	77	77	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.33	-7	1	-8	16.9	14.8	2.12	15.8	17.2	-1.35
J.R. Bremer	56	57	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.48	-5	-1	-4	16.4	16.7	-0.30	16.2	16.1	0.10
Tony Battie	62	63	-0.83	0.33	-1.16	-0.48	-12	6	-18	16.9	15.8	1.12	15.9	16.6	-0.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.69,0.65,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.69,0.72,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.63,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.99,0.97,0.87,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.58,0.54,0.76,0.64,0.45,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 92, MIA 85	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.74,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.42,0.51,0.55,0.65,0.69,0.83,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.79,0.67,0.85,0.7,0.81,0.82,0.92,0.93,0.68,0.84,0.46,0.47,0.64,0.24,0.17,0	88.5%
SAC 118, NYK 114	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.7,0.75,0.69,0.65,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.77,0.82,0.87,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.94,0.97,0.85,0.93,0.96,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.54,0.53,0.46,0.22,0.08,0	88.5%
DEN 121, HOU 113	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.74,0.77,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.63,0.54,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.85,0.91,0.91,0.83,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.87,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.59,0.54,0.55,0.29,0.23,0,0	88.2%