inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 76 Excitement2.7 [1200] MVPBruce Bowen (SAS): +9.4%
San Antonio Spurs 101 Comeback1.1 [1251] LVPChris Whitney (DEN): -9.8%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nene0.030,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.060.000.03786%0.032-0.0000%0.00
Marcus Camby0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.01-0.00-0.01444%0.0100.0010%-0.01
Mark Blount0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01450%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ryan Bowen-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01371%-0.0010.001100%0.00
Rodney White-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.100.00-0.0740%-0.012-0.0200%0.00
Juwan Howard-0.050,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.010.001752%0.003-0.05683%-0.00
Nikoloz Tskitishvili-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.09-0.00-0.04818%-0.0500.001100%0.00
Chris Andersen-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.08-0.00-0.02825%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Vincent Yarbrough-0.070,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.03-0.000.03967%0.035-0.1000%0.00
Donnell Harvey-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.01540%-0.013-0.0600%0.00
Junior Harrington-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.09-0.01-0.02937%-0.063-0.021100%0.00
Chris Whitney-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.14-0.01-0.0560%-0.052-0.0500%0.00

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bruce Bowen0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.150.010.071090%0.101-0.0100%0.00
Kevin Willis0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.050.000.01667%0.0400.0000%0.00
Steve Kerr0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.05-0.000.04667%0.0100.0000%0.00
Stephen Jackson0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021064%0.052-0.042100%0.00
Speedy Claxton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.060.00-0.06647%0.0020.00333%0.00
Steven Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02750%0.0000.0000%0.00
Danny Ferry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.03-0.000.04462%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Tony Parker0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.000.02380%0.022-0.044100%0.02
Tim Duncan0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.06-0.00-0.03469%0.014-0.04887%0.01
Malik Rose0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.150.00-0.121224%-0.011-0.02560%-0.02
Manu Ginobili0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.08-0.00-0.03550%-0.013-0.05633%-0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.22.628.217.724.32.625.4125.0
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +35.7%
SAS +7.5%
DEN -2.6%
SAS +11.9%
DEN -2.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENSASNBADENSASNBA
this game16.114.915.582.6107.4101.6
season15.715.790.4102.5
opponent15.415.396.999.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN17.016.018.513.116.1
SAS13.715.315.015.714.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mark Blount1919-0.00-0.500.50-0.000-252512.017.1-5.1115.114.90.16
Ryan Bowen2525-0.00-0.500.49-0.031-262713.117.1-4.0315.714.71.03
Vincent Yarbrough4346-0.14-0.360.220.06-7-181116.216.00.2014.515.3-0.79
Marcus Camby3031-0.15-0.350.200.14-10-15518.015.12.9413.915.4-1.57
Nene4041-0.20-0.300.110.04-8-17916.116.00.1215.714.31.34
Chris Whitney5254-0.21-0.290.080.17-13-12-116.715.21.5614.915.0-0.13
Nikoloz Tskitishvili2728-0.22-0.280.06-0.07-5-201516.016.1-0.0215.214.80.46
Donnell Harvey5354-0.28-0.22-0.060.25-18-7-1117.014.82.2314.815.1-0.35
Rodney White2121-0.31-0.19-0.130.18-17-8-915.316.3-0.9315.214.80.40
Chris Andersen3434-0.32-0.18-0.130.09-14-11-314.916.7-1.8115.714.51.22
Junior Harrington5554-0.33-0.17-0.170.14-16-9-716.016.1-0.0414.815.0-0.22
Juwan Howard6163-0.34-0.16-0.170.19-18-7-1116.914.32.6114.515.8-1.31

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bruce Bowen54540.53-0.030.55-0.3530-53515.414.31.1317.613.83.77
Tim Duncan61590.350.150.19-0.242051514.515.7-1.1417.313.83.58
Kevin Willis39380.320.180.14-0.18178916.014.21.8417.615.02.55
Tony Parker48480.300.200.10-0.292051514.315.5-1.2117.414.62.80
Manu Ginobili38360.300.200.09-0.031114-315.114.80.2117.315.22.10
Malik Rose59570.230.27-0.04-0.03916-714.216.2-2.0315.317.2-1.90
Steve Kerr35340.200.30-0.11-0.01718-1115.214.70.4814.716.9-2.19
Stephen Jackson46450.170.33-0.15-0.151114-313.816.0-2.1516.715.41.24
Danny Ferry29300.100.40-0.29-0.01421-1715.914.51.3513.017.5-4.53
Steven Smith31300.010.49-0.490.06-227-2915.514.70.8313.317.4-4.04
Speedy Claxton30290.000.50-0.490.06-227-2915.614.60.9912.817.6-4.76


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.8,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
ORL 80, DAL 1020.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.76,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.3%
TOR 103, POR 1250.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.52,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.76,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.1%
CHA 80, PHI 1120.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.69,0.82,0.84,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.86,0.86,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.9%