NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	103		Excitement	2.4 [1230]		MVP	Zach Randolph (POR): +9.6%
Portland Trail Blazers	125		Comeback	1.0 [1153]		LVP	Antonio Davis (TOR): -5.9%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.11	-0.00	0.05	13	72%	0.05	1	-0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Rafer Alston	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	10	43%	0.01	1	-0.00	1	100%	-0.00
Voshon Lenard	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	0.01	0.06	15	58%	0.00	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Mamadou N'diaye	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.08	0.00	0.08	5	91%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Chris Jefferies	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	4	70%	-0.00	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Morris Peterson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	6	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Michael Bradley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.03	8	70%	0.01	2	-0.02	4	0%	-0.03
Alvin Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	7	37%	-0.02	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Jelani McCoy	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	-0.06	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.01	11	36%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.03	-0.00	8	79%	0.12	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.00	-0.01	10	65%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	4	90%	0.07	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.14	0.00	0.08	10	87%	0.08	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.10	0.00	0.06	13	69%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	4	82%	0.05	2	-0.01	9	67%	-0.01
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	0.00	0.05	6	85%	0.02	1	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Qyntel Woods	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.02	6	58%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	3	37%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Dale Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.05	0.00	0.06	6	67%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	8	39%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.5	25.3	15.7	23.0	1.8	26.0	119.4
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +43.5%

POR +2.3%

POR +4.0%

POR +1.0%

TOR -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	POR	NBA	TOR	POR	NBA
this game	16.8	15.7	15.5	117.0	140.4	101.6
season	16.2	16.0		98.8	104.3
opponent	15.7	15.3		101.8	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	17.7	19.9	19.6	11.2	16.8
POR	16.6	12.8	15.7	17.6	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mamadou N'diaye	25	25	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.35	12	-34	46	11.2	19.0	-7.89	17.6	15.0	2.64
Chris Jefferies	25	25	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.35	12	-34	46	11.2	19.0	-7.89	17.6	15.0	2.64
Rafer Alston	46	48	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.15	-1	-21	20	15.0	18.8	-3.79	15.7	15.7	0.02
Michael Bradley	48	49	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.13	-2	-20	18	15.0	18.9	-3.93	15.2	16.3	-1.11
Voshon Lenard	50	52	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.16	-2	-20	18	15.3	18.8	-3.44	15.3	16.4	-1.04
Alvin Williams	42	41	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.30	-21	-1	-20	18.8	15.0	3.79	15.7	15.7	-0.02
Morris Peterson	42	42	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.33	-24	2	-26	18.9	14.9	4.01	15.9	15.6	0.26
Jelani McCoy	52	52	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.31	-24	2	-26	18.4	14.6	3.81	15.5	16.0	-0.49
Antonio Davis	51	52	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.47	-30	8	-38	19.7	12.9	6.80	15.5	16.1	-0.58
Vince Carter	59	59	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.47	-30	8	-38	19.0	12.4	6.55	15.2	16.8	-1.55

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Anderson	46	45	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.52	30	-8	38	15.7	15.8	-0.19	19.0	14.6	4.40
Arvydas Sabonis	37	37	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.01	11	11	0	15.5	15.9	-0.39	16.6	16.9	-0.27
Jeff McInnis	23	23	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.19	4	18	-14	14.4	16.2	-1.76	17.6	16.5	1.03
Zach Randolph	49	46	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.32	-1	23	-24	15.0	16.7	-1.70	14.8	19.0	-4.10
Ruben Patterson	42	41	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.30	19	3	16	15.8	15.7	0.17	17.6	16.1	1.41
Rasheed Wallace	40	42	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.46	23	-1	24	16.7	15.0	1.70	19.0	14.8	4.10
Dale Davis	50	49	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.23	15	7	8	16.2	15.2	1.00	17.1	16.5	0.57
Damon Stoudamire	66	65	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.34	18	4	14	16.2	14.4	1.76	16.5	17.6	-1.03
Bonzi Wells	33	33	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.16	0	22	-22	14.5	16.5	-2.00	17.8	16.2	1.57
Antonio Daniels	40	40	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.36	-7	29	-36	15.8	15.7	0.15	14.9	18.4	-3.40
Qyntel Woods	19	19	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.09	-2	24	-26	17.1	15.4	1.67	11.9	18.1	-6.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.52,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.76,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 73, UTA 108	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.76,0.74,0.81,0.8,0.86,0.85,0.89,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
CHI 90, BOS 118	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.69,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
CHA 92, MIN 119	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.83,0.85,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%