NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	80		Excitement	3.0 [1211]		MVP	Samuel Dalembert (PHI): +8.3%
Philadelphia 76ers	112		Comeback	1.1 [1176]		LVP	Melvin Ely (CHA): -9.7%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bernard Robinson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	5	70%	0.05	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	15	53%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Malik Allen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.04	10	60%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Alexander	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	-0.00	-0.05	5	42%	-0.01	2	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Matt Carroll	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.11	-0.00	-0.06	9	32%	-0.03	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Theron Smith	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Primoz Brezec	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	-0.03	9	33%	-0.03	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kapono	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	13	36%	-0.07	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jason Hart	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.01	8	56%	-0.01	4	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Melvin Ely	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	-0.00	-0.02	7	22%	-0.07	1	-0.02	4	0%	-0.05

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.00	-0.01	10	71%	0.10	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.09	0.00	0.06	11	65%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	6	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	8	44%	0.00	2	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.03	14	53%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	0.03	5	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Marc Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	7	50%	-0.01	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	18	54%	0.02	4	-0.07	10	90%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	1.7	29.2	15.7	23.3	1.6	24.0	122.7
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +24.0%

PHI +18.3%

CHA -3.6%

PHI +12.7%

CHA -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	PHI	NBA	CHA	PHI	NBA
this game	16.1	12.7	15.5	80.0	112.0	104.0
season	15.5	13.9		99.0	101.1
opponent	15.8	15.1		101.9	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	15.2	17.2	16.0	16.0	16.1
PHI	13.0	12.3	11.7	14.0	12.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cory Alexander	56	55	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.34	-15	-17	2	15.4	17.0	-1.60	12.7	12.8	-0.06
Matt Carroll	51	50	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.32	-15	-17	2	16.0	16.1	-0.12	12.6	12.9	-0.32
Malik Allen	48	47	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.23	-12	-20	8	16.2	16.0	0.21	13.1	12.4	0.77
Theron Smith	29	28	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.13	-10	-22	12	16.2	16.0	0.13	12.0	13.0	-0.95
Jason Kapono	46	48	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.01	-7	-25	18	15.1	16.9	-1.76	13.6	11.9	1.78
Bernard Robinson	45	46	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.42	-21	-11	-10	16.7	15.6	1.07	12.1	13.3	-1.17
Primoz Brezec	34	35	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.10	-11	-21	10	15.6	16.3	-0.75	12.9	12.6	0.21
Melvin Ely	46	45	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.12	-12	-20	8	16.7	15.6	1.14	12.6	12.8	-0.22
Keith Bogans	39	39	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.09	-14	-18	4	15.8	16.3	-0.51	13.4	12.3	1.09
Jason Hart	44	45	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.10	-17	-15	-2	17.0	15.4	1.60	12.8	12.7	0.06
Emeka Okafor	62	62	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.34	-26	-6	-20	16.3	15.7	0.55	12.2	13.6	-1.39

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Korver	75	76	0.52	-0.02	0.53	-0.60	38	-6	44	12.1	14.7	-2.67	16.7	14.0	2.79
Allen Iverson	74	74	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.41	31	1	30	12.4	13.7	-1.37	16.2	15.8	0.32
Chris Webber	55	54	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.21	22	10	12	12.5	13.0	-0.43	15.6	16.7	-1.10
John Salmons	69	69	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.25	20	12	8	13.1	12.0	1.09	15.9	16.5	-0.54
Samuel Dalembert	50	49	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.19	15	17	-2	12.0	13.4	-1.36	15.2	16.9	-1.76
Marc Jackson	50	51	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.25	17	15	2	13.4	12.0	1.36	16.9	15.2	1.76
Andre Iguodala	46	46	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.07	8	24	-16	13.0	12.5	0.56	16.2	16.0	0.13
Rodney Rogers	39	39	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.25	10	22	-12	12.2	13.0	-0.80	17.4	15.3	2.10
Willie Green	26	26	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	31	-30	13.7	12.4	1.37	15.8	16.2	-0.32
Kevin Ollie	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	33	-34	15.4	12.5	2.89	12.0	16.4	-4.43
Josh Davis	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	33	-34	15.4	12.5	2.89	12.0	16.4	-4.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.69,0.82,0.84,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.86,0.86,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 76, SAS 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.8,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
CHI 90, BOS 118	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.69,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
TOR 103, POR 125	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.52,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.76,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%