inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 103 Excitement5.9 [609] MVPStephen Jackson (SAS): +11.8%
Los Angeles Lakers 95 Comeback1.2 [347] LVPKobe Bryant (LAL): -23.4%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Stephen Jackson0.120,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.010.02889%0.151-0.032100%0.01
Bruce Bowen0.010,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.030.02-0.01940%0.0100.00250%-0.00
Steve Kerr0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.00-0.00350%0.0100.0000%0.00
Kevin Willis0.000,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.02-0.00-0.031041%0.0000.00250%-0.01
Malik Rose-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.01-0.00744%-0.0000.00250%-0.01
Danny Ferry-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Manu Ginobili-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.080.03-0.04640%0.001-0.02850%-0.01
Tony Parker-0.030,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.010.011663%0.085-0.11667%-0.04
Tim Duncan-0.110,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.18,-0.21,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11-0.130.01-0.012349%0.026-0.131191%0.02

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Derek Fisher0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.090.010.05779%0.0500.0000%0.00
Devean George0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.040.03-0.03941%0.0200.00475%0.00
Mark Madsen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.000.00050%-0.0100.00250%-0.01
Kareem Rush0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Robert Horry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.020.01642%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Samaki Walker0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.01450%0.002-0.0400%0.00
Shaquille O'Neal0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.020.011946%-0.0600.00837%-0.06
Rick Fox0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.10-0.050.0040%-0.102-0.0500%0.00
Kobe Bryant0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.24,-0.23-0.23-0.09-0.090.054150%-0.077-0.16667%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.33.229.117.829.53.043.8147.8
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +42.1%
SAS +6.5%
SAS +0.7%
LAL -0.9%
SAS +1.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASLALNBASASLALNBA
this game16.014.015.5107.399.0101.6
season15.715.4102.5105.0
opponent15.115.4102.896.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS17.516.715.514.716.0
LAL16.014.015.211.414.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tony Parker73730.52-0.020.540.269-11015.816.7-0.8713.216.7-3.47
Bruce Bowen79770.51-0.010.510.3362415.617.6-1.9413.715.2-1.43
Tim Duncan81810.490.010.480.2010-21215.916.3-0.4114.014.1-0.07
Stephen Jackson60600.350.150.200.0610-21216.215.60.6914.513.21.31
Kevin Willis56550.260.240.020.0671616.515.21.3114.812.91.89
Malik Rose55550.180.32-0.150.26-311-1415.516.6-1.0813.514.7-1.26
Manu Ginobili44450.140.36-0.220.23-311-1416.215.80.4813.514.4-0.90
Steve Kerr23240.060.44-0.39-0.0335-216.715.80.8716.013.42.60
Danny Ferry9100.000.50-0.49-0.0217-616.016.00.0115.413.81.55

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mark Madsen550.10-0.600.71-0.014-121615.213.91.2519.815.84.02
Samaki Walker4848-0.21-0.290.07-0.04-6-2-414.913.11.7716.515.50.98
Kareem Rush2119-0.23-0.270.04-0.08-5-3-214.114.00.1115.216.2-1.04
Devean George4848-0.24-0.260.02-0.18-2-6413.314.7-1.4815.816.1-0.31
Rick Fox4848-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.08-6-2-414.713.31.4816.115.80.31
Robert Horry5656-0.33-0.17-0.15-0.24-3-5213.414.9-1.5715.916.2-0.32
Derek Fisher8484-0.40-0.10-0.29-0.22-6-2-413.815.4-1.6116.016.2-0.20
Kobe Bryant9090-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.27-6-2-413.916.0-2.1216.015.50.52
Shaquille O'Neal8082-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.20-102-1214.213.11.1415.717.4-1.68


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.31,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.18,0.12,0.13,0.18,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.15,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.14,0.11,0.01,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
OKC 104, UTA 940.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.41,0.5,0.51,0.4,0.42,0.33,0.27,0.29,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,094.1%
TOR 93, CHA 760.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.37,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.39,0.4,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.1,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,094.0%
PHX 137, MEM 1220.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.46,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.39,0.3,0.27,0.23,0.17,0.21,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.05,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,094.0%