inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 104 Excitement4.3 [933] MVPKevin Durant (OKC): +12.4%
Utah Jazz 94 Comeback1.6 [262] LVPDeron Williams (UTA): -16.2%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Durant0.120,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.120.080.04-0.002258%0.162-0.034100%0.02
James Harden0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.100.010.00591%0.1100.001100%0.00
Jeff Green0.090,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.050.02-0.031363%0.133-0.044100%0.01
Serge Ibaka0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.040.01-0.00470%0.0600.00250%-0.00
Kyle Weaver0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.020.000.01387%0.032-0.022100%0.00
Etan Thomas0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00367%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Russell Westbrook-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.01-0.021057%0.055-0.081080%-0.02
Thabo Sefolosha-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.040.000.02629%-0.0500.002100%0.00
Nenad Krstic-0.050,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.08-0.02-0.051040%-0.013-0.0500%0.00

Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Carlos Boozer0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.090.000.051576%0.145-0.104100%0.02
Paul Millsap0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.000.021176%0.115-0.083100%0.01
Kyrylo Fesenko00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Wesley Matthews0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.01458%0.022-0.02475%0.01
Andrei Kirilenko0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.04-0.000.051061%0.022-0.033100%0.00
Eric Maynor0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.06-0.00-0.0340%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Ronnie Brewer0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.02-0.00642%-0.011-0.0300%0.00
Mehmet Okur0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.020.011346%-0.012-0.052100%0.01
Deron Williams0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.21-0.04-0.091433%-0.047-0.1220%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.61.829.115.725.01.833.2132.1
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +35.1%
UTA -4.3%
UTA -1.3%
OKC +18.8%
OKC +1.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCUTANBAOKCUTANBA
this game14.515.015.3107.295.9106.0
season15.015.3106.2109.5
opponent15.015.5104.5103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC13.114.814.715.414.5
UTA15.715.816.612.315.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jeff Green77790.64-0.140.770.1417-72414.614.00.6415.015.2-0.22
Kevin Durant86860.450.050.390.2473414.315.9-1.5815.114.70.32
Russell Westbrook70690.390.110.270.2455014.015.8-1.7614.616.0-1.33
Thabo Sefolosha75750.310.190.120.1946-214.116.0-1.8714.516.6-2.06
Nenad Krstic51530.270.230.030.0964214.714.30.3815.414.60.80
Serge Ibaka44420.180.32-0.140.24-212-1414.214.7-0.5114.915.2-0.30
James Harden38390.160.34-0.19-0.0264215.314.01.2915.714.61.10
Kyle Weaver27290.110.39-0.27-0.0355015.814.01.7616.014.61.33
Etan Thomas17180.010.49-0.49-0.0528-615.114.40.7414.915.0-0.11

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Eric Maynor3634-0.04-0.460.42-0.164-141813.715.8-2.1615.414.01.35
Kyrylo Fesenko44-0.12-0.380.250.02-5-5019.014.94.1414.514.5-0.01
Paul Millsap7067-0.15-0.350.21-0.181-111214.516.3-1.8114.614.30.35
Mehmet Okur5657-0.20-0.300.10-0.05-5-5016.013.82.2213.815.5-1.78
Andrei Kirilenko7271-0.26-0.24-0.03-0.18-3-7414.317.0-2.6314.913.51.32
Wesley Matthews4141-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.10-9-1-816.314.12.2113.715.1-1.47
Ronnie Brewer6767-0.37-0.13-0.250.04-144-1816.212.53.6814.614.30.30
Deron Williams7878-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.23-8-2-614.616.6-1.9714.215.9-1.73
Carlos Boozer6666-0.530.03-0.56-0.21-111-1214.516.1-1.5315.013.41.64


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.41,0.5,0.51,0.4,0.42,0.33,0.27,0.29,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
NOP 109, MIA 940.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.2,0.08,0.05,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.4%
NOK 87, HOU 740.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.46,0.4,0.32,0.36,0.27,0.21,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,095.1%
MIL 109, NYK 950.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.49,0.48,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.41,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.15,0.16,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,094.9%