NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	109		Excitement	4.3 [983]		MVP	Ian Clark (NOP): +17.9%
Miami Heat	94		Comeback	1.5 [874]		LVP	Josh Richardson (MIA): -11.2%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ian Clark	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.04	0.04	11	86%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.02	-0.02	12	62%	0.10	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miller	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.13	0.00	0.08	5	92%	0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	-0.00
Jameer Nelson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.03	6	58%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.03	4	62%	0.05	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	7	80%	0.13	5	-0.12	6	83%	0.01
Anthony Davis	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.00	0.03	11	57%	0.03	1	-0.02	8	75%	0.00
Charles Cooke	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cheick Diallo	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	13	46%	-0.00	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Rajon Rondo	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	3	83%	0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.02	0.00	3	117%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Johnson	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	17	59%	0.08	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Walton Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.04	2	75%	0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bam Adebayo	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	7	56%	0.01	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Matt Williams Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	0.01	0.04	8	56%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.06	12	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Udonis Haslem	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	15	38%	0.00	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Jordan Mickey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.02	0.04	5	50%	-0.03	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Josh Richardson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.03	0.06	14	41%	-0.09	1	-0.03	1	100%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	1.7	24.4	15.3	27.5	1.7	26.2	122.3
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +46.0%

NOP +7.8%

MIA -5.8%

MIA -1.4%

NOP +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	MIA	NBA	NOP	MIA	NBA
this game	15.1	16.9	14.7	121.1	104.4	107.5
season	13.6	15.1		108.0	105.4
opponent	14.6	14.6		105.8	107.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	11.8	14.6	16.5	18.2	15.1
MIA	16.5	16.0	18.6	16.9	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ian Clark	41	41	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.05	16	-1	17	15.5	14.7	0.86	16.7	17.1	-0.37
DeMarcus Cousins	52	55	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.14	19	-4	23	15.2	14.9	0.21	17.4	16.2	1.20
Dante Cunningham	50	49	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.19	17	-2	19	14.2	16.2	-1.99	17.5	16.3	1.22
Jrue Holiday	59	59	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.03	9	6	3	14.9	15.3	-0.34	17.3	16.2	1.08
Anthony Davis	60	60	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.10	6	9	-3	14.6	16.0	-1.45	16.9	17.1	-0.20
Darius Miller	38	39	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.20	16	-1	17	14.6	15.4	-0.84	17.2	16.7	0.52
Jameer Nelson	38	38	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.06	5	10	-5	16.2	14.2	1.98	15.8	17.8	-2.03
Rajon Rondo	43	44	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.04	5	10	-5	15.1	15.0	0.14	17.3	16.5	0.80
E'Twaun Moore	53	51	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.17	-5	20	-25	14.5	15.9	-1.45	16.9	16.9	0.02
Charles Cooke	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	22	-29	18.7	14.8	3.96	13.0	17.2	-4.21
Cheick Diallo	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	21	-27	18.9	14.6	4.25	13.9	17.2	-3.36

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Williams Jr.	6	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-22	29	13.0	17.2	-4.21	18.7	14.8	3.96
James Johnson	17	17	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-14	13	16.6	17.0	-0.35	11.6	15.9	-4.22
Udonis Haslem	23	23	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.16	4	-19	23	16.5	17.1	-0.61	17.9	14.1	3.77
Josh Richardson	69	70	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.07	-6	-9	3	17.3	15.7	1.59	14.5	17.1	-2.68
Derrick Walton Jr.	21	21	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.11	-2	-13	11	15.9	17.3	-1.40	15.9	14.8	1.09
Kelly Olynyk	45	48	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.18	-14	-1	-13	18.0	15.8	2.22	15.3	14.8	0.48
Jordan Mickey	38	36	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.20	-2	-13	11	15.5	18.0	-2.53	15.0	15.1	-0.11
Goran Dragic	55	54	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.13	-14	-1	-13	17.3	16.3	1.06	15.8	14.0	1.78
Wayne Ellington	66	65	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.04	-15	0	-15	16.4	18.5	-2.14	15.2	14.8	0.31
Bam Adebayo	57	56	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.06	-17	2	-19	17.3	16.3	1.00	14.8	15.5	-0.70
Tyler Johnson	53	53	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.09	-15	0	-15	17.6	16.0	1.63	14.2	16.3	-2.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.2,0.08,0.05,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 104, UTA 94	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.41,0.5,0.51,0.4,0.42,0.33,0.27,0.29,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0	95.4%
MIA 91, CLE 79	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.4,0.32,0.26,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0,0	95.0%
IND 97, BOS 70	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.26,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%