NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	95		Excitement	3.5 [1076]		MVP	Troy Murphy (GSW): +7.7%
Golden State Warriors	108		Comeback	1.1 [642]		LVP	Scott Padgett (UTA): -5.2%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeShawn Stevenson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	6	50%	0.01	2	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Carlos Arroyo	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	10	60%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
John Stockton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	8	65%	0.05	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Greg Ostertag	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
John Amaechi	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	8	44%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.01	0.03	14	53%	-0.04	0	0.00	10	80%	0.00
Karl Malone	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	18	53%	-0.00	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Scott Padgett	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	7	28%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.00	9	78%	0.10	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.00	0.02	19	64%	0.10	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	21	58%	0.07	3	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	5	64%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.02	-0.03	14	47%	0.03	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.03	3	33%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	2.4	28.4	17.4	23.5	1.7	28.4	123.2
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +41.0%

UTA -1.2%

GSW +5.8%

GSW +1.7%

GSW +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	GSW	NBA	UTA	GSW	NBA
this game	15.8	14.5	15.5	100.0	113.7	101.6
season	16.3	14.6		103.1	105.3
opponent	15.1	15.3		106.8	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	17.5	15.1	17.4	13.4	15.8
GSW	13.0	16.2	13.3	15.4	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carlos Arroyo	6	7	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-15	17	11.3	16.1	-4.79	12.9	14.6	-1.77
Scott Padgett	31	32	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.33	10	-23	33	14.0	16.7	-2.75	15.1	14.2	0.86
Greg Ostertag	21	21	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	-10	7	18.8	15.0	3.78	15.4	14.2	1.20
DeShawn Stevenson	27	26	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.22	5	-18	23	12.8	17.0	-4.25	15.6	14.1	1.49
John Amaechi	19	19	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-12	11	16.4	15.7	0.75	13.8	14.7	-0.88
Mark Jackson	41	42	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.15	0	-13	13	15.5	16.1	-0.54	13.5	15.3	-1.74
Tony Massenburg	27	28	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.04	-5	-8	3	15.3	16.0	-0.73	12.7	15.2	-2.52
Andrei Kirilenko	52	50	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.15	-3	-10	7	15.0	16.9	-1.90	14.4	14.6	-0.28
Calbert Cheaney	56	58	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.06	-13	0	-13	17.3	13.7	3.65	14.9	13.9	1.03
John Stockton	54	53	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.03	-13	0	-13	16.1	15.5	0.54	15.3	13.5	1.74
Matt Harpring	68	66	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.22	-24	11	-35	16.4	14.5	1.87	14.5	14.6	-0.13
Karl Malone	73	73	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	0.09	-20	7	-27	16.3	14.4	1.90	14.4	14.7	-0.30

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Richardson	78	78	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.03	19	-6	25	14.4	15.0	-0.62	15.6	16.8	-1.15
Troy Murphy	61	62	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.06	18	-5	23	13.9	15.6	-1.70	16.6	14.3	2.33
Gilbert Arenas	68	68	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.10	18	-5	23	14.0	15.8	-1.79	15.9	15.7	0.11
Antawn Jamison	83	82	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.09	10	3	7	14.6	14.0	0.57	16.4	12.1	4.34
Erick Dampier	40	40	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.02	9	4	5	14.6	14.4	0.22	17.8	14.4	3.37
Adonal Foyle	55	54	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.11	4	9	-5	14.4	14.6	-0.22	14.7	17.3	-2.67
Bob Sura	37	36	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.11	1	12	-11	15.9	13.6	2.29	14.3	16.7	-2.40
Earl Boykins	32	34	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.24	-6	19	-25	15.0	14.3	0.71	14.7	16.4	-1.69
Mike Dunleavy	21	21	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.21	-8	21	-29	14.9	14.4	0.47	15.3	16.0	-0.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.72,0.77,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.87,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 75, DEN 102	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.85,0.78,0.84,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
LAL 117, OKC 127	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.71,0.76,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.67,0.72,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.83,0.82,0.88,0.88,0.84,0.8,0.78,0.84,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
DET 87, POR 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.72,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.86,0.8,0.82,0.88,0.89,0.86,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.95,0.99,1,1,1	96.4%