NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	75		Excitement	3.4 [1124]		MVP	Nene (DEN): +13.6%
Denver Nuggets	102		Comeback	1.1 [1153]		LVP	Voshon Lenard (DEN): -15.5%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mikki Moore	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Arroyo	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	10	59%	0.07	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Greg Ostertag	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	5	42%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jarron Collins	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Sasha Pavlovic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	5	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	8	50%	-0.01
Tom Gugliotta	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	8	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Raul Lopez	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.09	0.00	-0.07	10	33%	-0.02	2	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Michael Ruffin	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	0	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	4	50%	0.00
Gordan Giricek	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	10	44%	-0.03	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Raja Bell	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.12	-0.01	-0.04	10	10%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	-0.02	4	25%	-0.06	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Mo Williams	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.18	-0.02	-0.08	12	42%	0.02	8	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.01	-0.01	10	77%	0.14	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	8	62%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	11	69%	0.08	4	-0.06	13	92%	0.05
Francisco Elson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	33%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Rodney White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	6	58%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.11	0.00	-0.07	8	25%	-0.04	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	0.00	-0.00	20	48%	-0.03	3	-0.04	8	75%	-0.00
Voshon Lenard	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.18	-0.00	-0.02	9	0%	-0.13	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	3.3	31.4	15.5	28.8	1.8	29.3	135.6
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +13.0%

DEN +12.3%

DEN +0.3%

DEN +20.3%

DEN +4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	DEN	NBA	UTA	DEN	NBA
this game	16.9	13.4	15.7	79.8	106.2	100.5
season	17.2	14.9		99.4	101.6
opponent	15.4	15.2		101.1	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	17.8	15.9	15.8	18.3	16.9
DEN	13.5	14.8	11.8	13.8	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sasha Pavlovic	29	31	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.18	-7	-20	13	18.5	16.2	2.28	14.8	12.8	2.05
Jarron Collins	26	26	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	-24	21	15.1	17.6	-2.53	14.5	13.1	1.39
Michael Ruffin	32	32	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.02	-4	-23	19	16.1	17.3	-1.18	15.0	12.7	2.33
Mikki Moore	36	37	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.07	-7	-20	13	17.1	16.8	0.25	13.7	13.3	0.37
Mo Williams	47	48	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.15	-10	-17	7	16.7	17.1	-0.49	13.5	13.4	0.06
Raul Lopez	40	41	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.29	-16	-11	-5	19.2	15.2	4.04	13.9	13.1	0.79
Carlos Arroyo	35	36	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.06	-9	-18	9	15.6	17.7	-2.12	12.9	13.8	-0.85
Raja Bell	36	37	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.01	-8	-19	11	16.4	17.2	-0.88	13.1	13.7	-0.64
Greg Ostertag	44	46	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.35	-21	-6	-15	18.9	15.1	3.77	12.2	14.6	-2.45
Tom Gugliotta	45	45	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.05	-12	-15	3	16.0	17.7	-1.65	13.7	13.2	0.50
Gordan Giricek	45	46	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.14	-18	-9	-9	16.7	17.1	-0.37	12.6	14.2	-1.57
Andrei Kirilenko	55	55	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.19	-20	-7	-13	16.3	17.8	-1.52	12.9	14.2	-1.26

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carmelo Anthony	70	69	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.22	24	3	21	12.9	15.0	-2.13	16.4	18.2	-1.77
Marcus Camby	62	61	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.29	26	1	25	13.2	14.0	-0.81	16.3	18.1	-1.78
Andre Miller	76	74	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.26	25	2	23	12.9	15.5	-2.59	16.1	19.8	-3.74
Nene	66	67	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.03	17	10	7	13.5	13.3	0.26	16.0	19.2	-3.25
Earl Boykins	37	35	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.16	15	12	3	12.0	14.4	-2.40	19.1	15.6	3.48
Ryan Bowen	23	22	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.16	11	16	-5	15.2	12.9	2.33	19.0	16.3	2.68
Voshon Lenard	43	44	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.09	1	26	-25	14.8	12.4	2.43	15.1	18.5	-3.32
Michael Doleac	44	42	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.18	8	19	-11	13.2	13.7	-0.53	18.5	15.7	2.80
Francisco Elson	9	8	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.02	1	26	-25	13.9	13.4	0.49	18.9	16.7	2.15
Jon Barry	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	26	-25	15.6	13.2	2.37	18.9	16.7	2.15
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	11	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	25	-23	15.4	13.2	2.16	18.9	16.7	2.23
Rodney White	31	30	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.13	4	23	-19	14.1	13.1	0.96	18.0	16.4	1.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.85,0.78,0.84,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 82, MIA 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.77,0.83,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.89,0.83,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
NJN 77, LAC 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
WAS 79, TOR 101	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.82,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%