NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	117		Excitement	3.7 [1062]		MVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): +14.3%
Oklahoma City Thunder	127		Comeback	1.1 [1230]		LVP	Wesley Johnson (LAL): -8.5%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Clarkson	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.15	0.01	0.05	19	68%	0.15	3	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01
Jeremy Lin	0.07	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	11	68%	0.11	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.02
Ed Davis	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.12	0.00	0.05	5	86%	0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Ryan Kelly	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.12	0.00	0.05	9	73%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Wayne Ellington	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.02	14	54%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tarik Black	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	8	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jabari Brown	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.06	6	54%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Robert Sacre	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	10	37%	-0.03	3	-0.05	4	75%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Russell Westbrook	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.03	-0.00	17	64%	0.17	2	-0.03	8	87%	0.02
Dion Waiters	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.01	0.01	16	68%	0.14	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Steven Adams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.01	0.02	6	89%	0.14	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
Enes Kanter	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	15	71%	0.14	5	-0.08	5	100%	0.01
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	0.01	0.04	8	75%	0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	5	70%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mitch McGary	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.07	0.01	-0.08	6	50%	0.03	4	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Steve Novak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Singler	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	67%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	5	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.6	27.5	16.8	26.1	2.6	25.5	125.3
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +29.6%

OKC +4.2%

OKC +16.4%

LAL -2.7%

OKC +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	OKC	NBA	LAL	OKC	NBA
this game	14.4	14.7	15.1	118.2	128.3	104.2
season	15.5	14.5		101.9	105.7
opponent	15.0	14.7		103.5	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.1	15.9	13.7	12.9	14.4
OKC	13.2	14.7	13.5	17.7	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Sacre	38	36	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.20	3	-13	16	14.6	14.2	0.36	16.1	13.9	2.12
Ed Davis	32	30	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.11	-1	-9	8	14.8	14.2	0.63	15.9	14.2	1.71
Jabari Brown	55	55	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.30	4	-14	18	13.8	15.1	-1.31	16.2	12.9	3.32
Wayne Ellington	48	48	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.03	-9	-1	-8	14.5	14.3	0.27	15.5	14.0	1.54
Wesley Johnson	62	63	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-9	-1	-8	14.3	14.6	-0.34	14.2	15.6	-1.33
Tarik Black	59	61	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.19	-5	-5	0	14.1	14.7	-0.61	13.8	16.1	-2.27
Jordan Clarkson	76	76	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.36	0	-10	10	14.3	14.5	-0.18	14.2	16.5	-2.31
Ryan Kelly	61	63	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.01	-13	3	-16	14.2	14.6	-0.36	13.9	16.1	-2.12
Jeremy Lin	64	63	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.19	-20	10	-30	15.0	13.3	1.65	14.2	15.6	-1.33

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dion Waiters	75	74	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.10	20	-10	30	14.0	17.0	-3.08	14.3	14.6	-0.24
Steven Adams	60	62	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.13	19	-9	28	14.4	15.1	-0.65	16.0	11.7	4.28
Russell Westbrook	66	65	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.05	12	-2	14	13.2	17.7	-4.48	14.4	14.3	0.09
Kyle Singler	54	52	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.06	9	1	8	14.3	15.2	-0.99	14.1	14.7	-0.57
Enes Kanter	61	58	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.00	11	-1	12	13.2	17.1	-3.89	14.5	14.3	0.20
D.J. Augustin	42	42	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.10	4	6	-2	16.9	13.1	3.73	14.6	14.2	0.33
Mitch McGary	52	53	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.31	-3	13	-16	15.7	13.6	2.20	13.4	15.6	-2.21
Jeremy Lamb	21	21	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.26	-6	16	-22	17.0	14.1	2.85	14.1	14.5	-0.37
Anthony Morrow	57	60	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.43	-14	24	-38	16.4	12.5	3.92	14.0	14.9	-0.89
Steve Novak	7	8	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.07	-2	12	-14	14.6	14.7	-0.15	12.6	14.5	-1.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.71,0.76,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.67,0.72,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.83,0.82,0.88,0.88,0.84,0.8,0.78,0.84,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 103, DAL 110	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.83,0.91,0.9,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
UTA 95, GSW 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.72,0.77,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.87,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
PHI 86, SAS 109	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.64,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.78,0.77,0.82,0.81,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.89,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.91,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%