NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	101		Excitement	6.3 [528]		MVP	Nick Van Exel (DAL): +17.9%
New York Knicks	90		Comeback	2.7 [598]		LVP	Charlie Ward (NYK): -16.9%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Van Exel	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.05	0.07	-0.05	14	61%	0.20	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	0.16	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.04,0.01,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.07	0.08	-0.01	17	56%	0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Adrian Griffin	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.04	0.09	-0.00	8	61%	0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Shawn Bradley	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.09	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Raja Bell	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.02	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raef LaFrentz	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	69%	0.03	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.02
Antoine Rigaudeau	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Walt Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.06	-0.05	0.07	20	59%	-0.01	1	-0.05	11	91%	0.04
Steve Nash	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.18	-0.02	-0.04	9	17%	-0.13	2	-0.03	5	80%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Howard Eisley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.01	12	58%	0.11	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04	0.04	0.03	-0.00	-0.02	14	59%	0.12	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	7	43%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	67%	0.05	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	8	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.03	0.02	17	57%	0.02	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Allan Houston	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	0.01	0.01	15	45%	0.03	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	5	17%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.14	-0.06	-0.03	6	0%	-0.10	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.3	27.6	17.5	25.4	2.4	28.5	128.9
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +28.6%

DAL +17.4%

NYK -12.6%

DAL +16.2%

DAL +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	NYK	NBA	DAL	NYK	NBA
this game	16.0	15.8	15.5	112.2	98.9	101.6
season	15.1	15.6		108.6	102.6
opponent	15.5	15.3		104.0	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.2	15.4	15.6	18.8	16.0
NYK	15.8	17.3	17.1	13.3	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Finley	72	73	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.09	21	-10	31	16.0	16.0	-0.03	16.3	14.1	2.16
Nick Van Exel	62	62	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.21	14	-3	17	16.3	15.3	1.00	15.2	17.2	-2.00
Shawn Bradley	44	45	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.11	17	-6	23	15.7	16.2	-0.49	15.8	15.9	-0.18
Adrian Griffin	40	41	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.07	14	-3	17	15.8	16.1	-0.32	15.0	16.5	-1.45
Raef LaFrentz	57	57	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.21	6	5	1	16.4	15.2	1.16	15.3	16.7	-1.42
Dirk Nowitzki	71	72	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.00	7	4	3	15.7	17.2	-1.50	16.3	13.9	2.40
Steve Nash	54	53	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.10	-1	12	-13	16.1	15.8	0.29	16.5	15.0	1.45
Raja Bell	24	26	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.01	-3	14	-17	15.7	16.1	-0.37	16.3	15.7	0.65
Antoine Rigaudeau	17	17	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.05	-10	21	-31	15.5	16.1	-0.55	16.0	15.8	0.19
Walt Williams	10	11	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	0.03	-10	21	-31	17.3	15.8	1.49	13.2	16.2	-3.03

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kurt Thomas	44	45	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.04	3	-14	17	15.5	16.2	-0.76	16.2	15.8	0.44
Charlie Ward	40	40	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.15	0	-11	11	14.7	16.8	-2.09	17.3	14.9	2.33
Michael Doleac	30	29	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.06	-5	-6	1	15.6	16.0	-0.42	15.6	16.2	-0.58
Shandon Anderson	30	30	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.12	-3	-8	5	15.9	15.8	0.03	17.0	15.5	1.53
Latrell Sprewell	72	72	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.10	-6	-5	-1	15.8	16.1	-0.33	15.8	16.6	-0.79
Clar. Weatherspoon	58	55	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.11	-7	-4	-3	15.7	16.1	-0.34	16.6	15.0	1.60
Howard Eisley	51	50	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.03	-11	0	-11	16.8	14.7	2.09	14.9	17.3	-2.33
Allan Houston	80	78	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.13	-13	2	-15	15.9	15.5	0.45	15.7	17.6	-1.85
Othella Harrington	50	51	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.15	-13	2	-15	16.5	15.0	1.45	15.3	16.8	-1.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.38,0.18,0.33,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.07,0.1,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 98, LAC 92	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.64,0.54,0.46,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.52,0.44,0.47,0.52,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.21,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0	92.6%
MIN 97, CHH 92	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.7,0.64,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.54,0.38,0.25,0.33,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0	92.5%
SEA 101, TOR 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.58,0.45,0.62,0.55,0.59,0.44,0.56,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.41,0.23,0.08,0.09,0.03,0.05,0.01,0,0,0	92.3%