NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	101		Excitement	2.9 [1175]		MVP	Mike Bibby (SAC): +9.7%
Milwaukee Bucks	76		Comeback	1.1 [1047]		LVP	Tim Thomas (MIL): -8.7%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Bibby	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.01	-0.02	13	65%	0.10	1	-0.01	5	80%	0.01
Doug Christie	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	9	60%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	5	50%	0.01	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Damon Jones	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	0.01	0.06	3	125%	0.03	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Webber	0.01	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.09	0.01	-0.09	20	43%	0.05	3	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02
Keon Clark	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	4	58%	0.01	2	-0.00	4	75%	0.01
Vlade Divac	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	8	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Lawrence Funderburke	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mateen Cleaves	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.03	8	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	-0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	5	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	-0.03	13	57%	0.05	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Flip Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	56%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Marcus Haislip	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	7	29%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	-0.05	11	43%	0.03	3	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	7	52%	-0.00	2	-0.02	7	71%	-0.00
Michael Redd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.01	8	56%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Mason	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	8	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.13	-0.01	-0.05	16	35%	-0.04	2	-0.04	5	80%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.7	28.7	8.8	23.4	1.7	24.0	112.3
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +25.1%

SAC +4.0%

SAC +6.5%

SAC +15.5%

MIL -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	MIL	NBA	SAC	MIL	NBA
this game	14.0	18.0	15.5	112.2	84.4	101.6
season	14.0	15.4		104.4	106.3
opponent	15.8	15.7		106.5	98.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	12.1	14.0	15.8	14.1	14.0
MIL	18.4	17.3	17.8	18.6	18.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vlade Divac	46	47	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.11	23	2	21	13.9	14.1	-0.16	19.6	16.3	3.27
Mike Bibby	54	55	0.46	0.04	0.41	-0.16	21	4	17	13.4	14.9	-1.45	18.0	18.0	0.06
Peja Stojakovic	43	45	0.46	0.04	0.41	-0.07	18	7	11	14.0	14.0	0.02	19.2	16.8	2.38
Doug Christie	61	62	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.16	19	6	13	14.0	14.0	-0.07	17.3	19.5	-2.16
Chris Webber	62	63	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.22	21	4	17	14.3	13.4	0.87	17.6	19.0	-1.47
Hedo Turkoglu	35	34	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.12	8	17	-9	13.9	14.0	-0.12	19.3	17.2	2.06
Jim Jackson	41	39	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.13	6	19	-13	14.4	13.7	0.69	17.0	18.8	-1.83
Damon Jones	36	35	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.07	4	21	-17	14.9	13.4	1.45	18.0	18.0	-0.06
Keon Clark	45	44	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.06	3	22	-19	14.8	13.2	1.53	16.9	19.1	-2.16
Gerald Wallace	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	22	-19	10.5	14.3	-3.83	17.7	18.0	-0.32
Lawrence Funderburke	13	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	27	-29	12.8	14.2	-1.43	18.2	18.0	0.26
Mateen Cleaves	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	24	-23	11.3	14.2	-2.85	15.8	18.2	-2.33

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joel Przybilla	32	32	0.03	-0.53	0.55	0.06	-1	-24	23	14.7	19.8	-5.16	13.5	14.2	-0.71
Flip Murray	7	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-22	19	17.7	18.0	-0.32	10.5	14.3	-3.83
Marcus Haislip	23	23	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.10	-4	-21	17	18.8	17.7	1.04	13.6	14.1	-0.57
Jason Caffey	46	47	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-24	23	15.9	20.2	-4.34	15.6	12.2	3.41
Dan Gadzuric	25	25	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.02	-6	-19	13	19.4	17.5	1.92	12.0	14.8	-2.81
Michael Redd	56	55	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.03	-8	-17	9	16.9	19.9	-3.01	14.2	13.7	0.50
Tim Thomas	59	60	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.24	-18	-7	-11	18.3	17.4	0.90	14.7	12.6	2.08
Ervin Johnson	23	23	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.03	-11	-14	3	20.9	17.0	3.90	14.0	14.0	0.01
Ray Allen	65	64	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.13	-19	-6	-13	17.2	20.0	-2.81	13.9	14.2	-0.29
Anthony Mason	43	42	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.17	-23	-2	-21	20.1	16.1	4.08	13.6	14.3	-0.65
Kevin Ollie	71	71	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	0.31	-31	6	-37	19.3	13.2	6.09	13.9	14.3	-0.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.32,0.35,0.26,0.34,0.38,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.25,0.18,0.12,0.14,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 123, TOR 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.44,0.38,0.33,0.3,0.28,0.29,0.31,0.32,0.28,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.27,0.24,0.3,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%
IND 105, CHI 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.24,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.22,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%
SAS 115, PHX 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.25,0.23,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.35,0.27,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.2,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%