NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	115		Excitement	3.0 [1172]		MVP	Tony Parker (SAS): +13.9%
Phoenix Suns	99		Comeback	1.0 [350]		LVP	Steve Nash (PHX): -7.2%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Parker	0.14	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.21	0.01	0.08	26	69%	0.17	3	-0.04	7	86%	0.01
Manu Ginobili	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.11	0.01	0.05	11	83%	0.11	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Tim Duncan	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	15	64%	0.09	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Fabricio Oberto	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.02	7	41%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Brent Barry	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	2	75%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ime Udoka	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	9	47%	0.02	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	-0.00	0.00	17	57%	0.07	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	6	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.06	-0.01	0.06	23	56%	0.00	2	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	0.04	11	49%	-0.03	1	-0.02	17	53%	-0.08
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	9	50%	-0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.03	8	41%	-0.04	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.3	3.8	39.0	19.8	24.2	3.7	30.0	148.8
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +39.0%

SAS +15.3%

SAS +0.3%

PHX -3.5%

PHX -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	PHX	NBA	SAS	PHX	NBA
this game	18.6	12.2	15.4	123.7	105.3	105.7
season	16.5	13.8		104.7	111.1
opponent	15.6	15.3		106.5	100.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	17.3	16.0	19.0	22.9	18.6
PHX	13.5	11.7	12.3	11.4	12.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Parker	76	78	0.52	-0.02	0.53	-0.22	25	-9	34	18.9	17.5	1.34	12.7	10.1	2.59
Tim Duncan	68	71	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.09	15	1	14	19.4	16.4	3.04	12.6	10.9	1.78
Kurt Thomas	42	42	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.34	23	-7	30	19.7	17.7	1.99	12.8	11.7	1.12
Michael Finley	58	59	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.10	8	8	0	17.8	19.9	-2.12	12.2	12.3	-0.07
Bruce Bowen	52	54	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.26	20	-4	24	19.8	17.2	2.60	13.9	9.9	3.98
Manu Ginobili	57	56	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.06	12	4	8	17.9	19.7	-1.75	11.7	13.0	-1.37
Fabricio Oberto	49	48	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.33	-6	22	-28	18.0	19.3	-1.23	11.8	12.6	-0.78
Brent Barry	19	18	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.15	-1	17	-18	15.7	19.4	-3.69	9.5	12.9	-3.36
Ime Udoka	26	28	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.22	-6	22	-28	19.2	18.4	0.79	11.6	12.5	-0.86
Robert Horry	3	3	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	16	-16	13.3	18.8	-5.47	2.3	12.5	-10.21
Damon Stoudamire	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	20	-24	21.7	18.5	3.14	8.5	12.3	-3.79
Jacque Vaughn	12	11	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.17	-6	22	-28	17.1	18.9	-1.77	9.5	12.6	-3.02

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Skinner	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-16	16	11.5	12.2	-0.74	21.2	18.5	2.74
Gordan Giricek	20	20	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.07	1	-17	18	8.1	13.3	-5.22	18.2	18.7	-0.48
Boris Diaw	63	64	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.22	4	-20	24	11.8	13.0	-1.22	19.3	17.1	2.16
Shaquille O'Neal	59	59	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.06	-5	-11	6	12.2	12.2	0.02	19.9	16.3	3.63
Leandro Barbosa	66	64	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.20	-3	-13	10	11.9	12.9	-1.02	18.1	19.9	-1.80
Grant Hill	42	41	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.09	-13	-3	-10	11.1	13.1	-1.93	17.9	19.2	-1.29
Raja Bell	75	74	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.07	-19	3	-22	13.1	8.5	4.62	18.5	19.0	-0.47
Amar'e Stoudemire	79	79	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	0.02	-19	3	-22	12.7	9.6	3.11	18.3	20.6	-2.29
Steve Nash	62	60	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	0.23	-26	10	-36	13.3	10.2	3.12	18.2	19.4	-1.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.25,0.23,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.35,0.27,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.2,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 103, CLE 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.28,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.33,0.24,0.2,0.27,0.28,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	96.9%
DET 105, NYK 79	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.29,0.22,0.26,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.36,0.27,0.2,0.12,0.09,0.16,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%
PHX 108, MIN 79	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.27,0.38,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.24,0.29,0.25,0.18,0.12,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%