inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Utah Jazz 98 Excitement7.4 [320] MVPDeShawn Stevenson (UTA): +9.1%
Portland Trail Blazers 103 Comeback1.7 [715] LVPRasheed Wallace (POR): -26.4%


Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
DeShawn Stevenson0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.010.01875%0.0900.0000%0.00
Mark Jackson0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.020.04-0.003100%0.102-0.0400%0.00
Calbert Cheaney0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.01475%0.0400.0000%0.00
Tony Massenburg0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.00-0.00260%0.0100.001100%0.01
Andrei Kirilenko-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.040.011245%0.011-0.025100%0.07
John Amaechi-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.010.0010%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Scott Padgett-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07-0.05-0.03-0.01737%-0.061-0.01250%-0.01
John Stockton-0.080,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08-0.06-0.000.021152%-0.003-0.08580%0.06
Greg Ostertag-0.120,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.08-0.04-0.00240%-0.072-0.05667%-0.04
Karl Malone-0.120,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12-0.11-0.010.00950%-0.024-0.091080%0.06
Matt Harpring-0.130,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.13,-0.13-0.00-0.14-0.011753%-0.072-0.064100%0.02

Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jeff McInnis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.01-0.00585%0.092-0.053100%0.01
Ruben Patterson0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.020.020.03-0.010.001259%0.041-0.02367%-0.03
Derek Anderson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.05,00.00-0.110.08-0.041129%0.052-0.042100%0.05
Qyntel Woods0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.00-0.02-0.02856%0.011-0.0020%-0.05
Antonio Daniels00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dale Davis0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.01-0.00367%0.022-0.0300%0.00
Arvydas Sabonis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.03854%0.012-0.05887%0.04
Scottie Pippen0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.11,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.050.021657%0.013-0.088100%0.06
Rasheed Wallace0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.26-0.26-0.09-0.170.001645%-0.162-0.111070%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.21.531.415.422.41.743.0140.6
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
POR +10.5%
UTA -1.8%
POR +42.3%
UTA -2.7%
POR +1.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsUTAPORNBAUTAPORNBA
this game15.315.315.5105.4108.4101.6
season16.316.0103.1104.3
opponent15.715.3101.8101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
UTA15.016.616.913.215.3
POR16.313.416.615.015.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mark Jackson34340.06-0.560.61-0.095-101516.914.42.4715.415.20.14
Tony Massenburg2526-0.00-0.500.49-0.062-7915.215.4-0.2013.915.8-1.89
John Amaechi88-0.17-0.330.170.01-61-714.515.4-0.9212.115.6-3.46
Calbert Cheaney2931-0.18-0.320.15-0.00-61-714.515.7-1.2014.915.5-0.63
DeShawn Stevenson2728-0.20-0.300.10-0.08-4-1-316.914.72.1816.414.91.51
Greg Ostertag5859-0.24-0.260.02-0.271-6715.914.41.5616.712.93.78
Andrei Kirilenko5553-0.27-0.23-0.05-0.301-6715.315.30.0014.516.4-1.90
Scott Padgett2424-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.05-83-1115.915.10.7714.115.7-1.57
Karl Malone7173-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.341-6714.817.0-2.2315.415.10.27
Matt Harpring7578-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.32-1-4315.116.3-1.2315.713.62.01
John Stockton5961-0.560.06-0.61-0.26-105-1514.416.9-2.4715.215.4-0.14

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Arvydas Sabonis43430.67-0.170.840.409-41314.016.4-2.4115.715.10.61
Scottie Pippen69690.490.010.480.2010-51515.614.51.0915.614.60.97
Rasheed Wallace72720.450.050.410.257-2915.614.51.0815.514.70.81
Derek Anderson80770.410.090.320.3814-315.414.90.4315.116.6-1.55
Ruben Patterson60590.390.110.280.3323-115.914.31.6015.814.61.15
Jeff McInnis37350.220.28-0.070.25-16-714.116.1-1.9914.615.8-1.15
Antonio Daniels660.090.41-0.32-0.0341317.515.12.3517.815.22.66
Qyntel Woods4040-0.060.56-0.62-0.0605-514.216.1-1.8514.615.9-1.35
Dale Davis6864-0.160.66-0.820.04-712-1916.013.42.6415.215.6-0.40


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.51,0.64,0.75,0.74,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.67,0.77,0.85,0.82,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.83,0.64,0.55,0.85,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 80, UTA 830.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.82,0.72,0.85,0.79,0.77,0.83,0.84,0.9,0.91,0.85,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.89,0.81,0.87,0.84,0.83,0.69,0.85,0.68,0.91,192.4%
MIA 91, BOS 920.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.66,0.75,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.79,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.88,0.93,0.81,0.54,0.67,0.84,192.2%
SEA 88, HOU 910.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.69,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.81,0.87,0.92,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.89,0.77,0.74,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.72,0.56,0.84,191.8%