NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	88		Excitement	6.8 [431]		MVP	Cuttino Mobley (HOU): +26.5%
Houston Rockets	91		Comeback	1.6 [773]		LVP	Hakeem Olajuwon (HOU): -25.5%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vin Baker	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.09,0,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	16	62%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	7	64%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shammond Williams	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	4	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.04	0.00	8	39%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Emanual Davis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jelani McCoy	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16	-0.06	-0.10	0.00	21	48%	-0.02	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Ewing	-0.18	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.12	-0.05	0.00	6	31%	-0.10	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Ruben Patterson	-0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.25	-0.08	-0.17	0.00	10	48%	-0.16	3	-0.10	5	80%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.08	0.20	0.02	17	57%	0.26	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Kenny Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.22	0.22	0.06	0.16	-0.01	12	65%	0.25	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	0.00	14	54%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walt Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	0.00	4	87%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Steve Francis	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	14	50%	-0.06	4	-0.10	4	50%	-0.02
Hakeem Olajuwon	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.26	-0.17	-0.09	-0.01	14	22%	-0.21	1	-0.04	4	25%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.5	26.3	16.7	23.3	2.5	30.2	127.6
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +56.3%

SEA -6.5%

SEA -18.7%

HOU +14.7%

HOU +4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	HOU	NBA	SEA	HOU	NBA
this game	16.5	16.4	15.5	101.1	103.4	100.9
season	15.2	16.3		103.8	104.6
opponent	14.9	15.7		102.1	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	13.7	17.7	18.2	16.8	16.5
HOU	17.7	16.6	12.5	19.2	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jelani McCoy	30	28	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.08	6	-9	15	15.9	16.9	-0.93	16.2	16.4	-0.24
Shammond Williams	15	16	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.15	2	-5	7	17.7	16.3	1.36	17.1	16.2	0.84
Emanual Davis	50	49	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.13	0	-3	3	15.9	17.5	-1.60	16.6	16.1	0.49
Patrick Ewing	37	38	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.06	-3	0	-3	15.7	17.2	-1.46	15.8	16.8	-1.03
Rashard Lewis	58	56	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.34	5	-8	13	16.1	17.4	-1.31	16.5	16.2	0.34
Brent Barry	41	41	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.33	3	-6	9	17.2	15.9	1.28	17.9	15.0	2.86
Desmond Mason	29	32	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.08	-8	5	-13	17.4	16.1	1.31	16.2	16.5	-0.34
Vin Baker	47	48	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.33	-2	-1	-1	17.3	15.7	1.60	16.8	15.9	0.87
Gary Payton	82	84	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.40	-3	0	-3	16.5	17.4	-0.91	16.1	21.7	-5.63
Ruben Patterson	46	48	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.17	-15	12	-27	16.7	16.3	0.38	15.2	17.7	-2.52

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Francis	80	78	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.42	4	-1	5	16.0	19.7	-3.71	16.6	15.9	0.73
Hakeem Olajuwon	62	61	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.28	8	-5	13	15.8	17.8	-2.09	16.2	17.3	-1.15
Walt Williams	21	20	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.15	8	-5	13	16.0	16.5	-0.43	17.2	16.3	0.86
Kenny Thomas	68	68	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.34	0	3	-3	16.0	17.6	-1.65	16.0	18.4	-2.41
Shandon Anderson	74	73	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.17	5	-2	7	15.9	18.9	-2.95	16.8	15.4	1.41
Cuttino Mobley	75	75	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.42	-4	7	-11	16.7	14.7	1.97	16.1	19.0	-2.85
Moochie Norris	37	37	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.23	-3	6	-9	18.3	15.0	3.27	17.5	15.8	1.65
Kelvin Cato	23	23	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.06	-3	6	-9	18.1	15.8	2.38	17.2	16.3	0.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.69,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.81,0.87,0.92,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.89,0.77,0.74,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.72,0.56,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 80, UTA 83	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.82,0.72,0.85,0.79,0.77,0.83,0.84,0.9,0.91,0.85,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.89,0.81,0.87,0.84,0.83,0.69,0.85,0.68,0.91,1	92.4%
GSW 92, SAC 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.64,0.73,0.65,0.72,0.61,0.55,0.64,0.71,0.8,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.86,0.88,0.79,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.85,0.95,1	92.0%
POR 115, TOR 117	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.54,0.66,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.81,0.74,0.85,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.87,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.72,0.85,0.98,1	91.9%