NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	115		Excitement	6.8 [478]		MVP	Damian Lillard (POR): +37.9%
Toronto Raptors	117		Comeback	1.3 [929]		LVP	Meyers Leonard (POR): -9.9%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damian Lillard	0.38	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.27,0.37,0.39,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.38	0.31	0.13	0.06	28	72%	0.47	4	-0.09	13	92%	0.03
CJ McCollum	0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07	0.12	-0.02	0.03	17	63%	0.10	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Ed Davis	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	4	60%	0.03	0	0.00	7	43%	-0.06
Noah Vonleh	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Brian Roberts	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.00	9	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Crabbe	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	8	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	0.00	1	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Mason Plumlee	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	5	50%	0.00	3	-0.07	6	67%	-0.01
Meyers Leonard	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.19	0.19	0.11	0.08	-0.00	19	60%	0.29	4	-0.09	25	96%	0.12
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.05	0.00	8	77%	0.17	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.03
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.04	0.01	15	62%	0.20	3	-0.08	15	60%	-0.09
Norman Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	0.01	5	83%	0.11	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.00	6	58%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	4	75%	0.07	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Jason Thompson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.4	0.7	33.5	15.7	28.8	1.5	45.3	155.8
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +23.7%

TOR +14.6%

TOR +6.5%

POR -1.2%

TOR +6.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	TOR	NBA	POR	TOR	NBA
this game	14.4	15.3	14.9	117.3	121.9	105.1
season	15.0	16.1		107.1	107.2
opponent	14.8	14.6		104.6	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.3	15.2	15.9	12.3	14.4
TOR	15.1	14.8	16.1	15.3	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Roberts	2	2	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.03	2	-4	6	15.0	14.4	0.65	14.0	15.4	-1.36
Ed Davis	42	38	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.04	-3	1	-4	14.9	13.9	0.98	15.5	15.2	0.32
Maurice Harkless	38	37	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.24	4	-6	10	14.3	14.4	-0.04	15.9	15.0	0.95
Noah Vonleh	21	21	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.05	-3	1	-4	15.3	14.1	1.23	16.2	15.1	1.10
Meyers Leonard	26	25	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.14	0	-2	2	13.1	14.8	-1.76	13.5	16.0	-2.45
Gerald Henderson	68	66	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.46	8	-10	18	13.5	16.3	-2.74	15.0	16.0	-1.02
Al-Farouq Aminu	33	33	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.01	-9	7	-16	16.1	13.5	2.64	15.5	15.3	0.23
Allen Crabbe	50	50	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.17	-4	2	-6	13.6	15.2	-1.61	14.6	16.1	-1.45
Damian Lillard	81	80	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.42	1	-3	4	14.0	15.9	-1.90	15.1	16.5	-1.40
Mason Plumlee	50	53	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.24	-6	4	-10	15.2	13.5	1.66	16.5	13.9	2.63
CJ McCollum	79	75	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.44	0	-2	2	14.5	13.6	0.91	15.4	15.0	0.49

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonas Valanciunas	51	52	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.21	18	-16	34	15.7	14.9	0.84	15.5	13.1	2.33
Kyle Lowry	71	73	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.42	9	-7	16	15.5	14.8	0.72	14.8	13.0	1.78
DeMar DeRozan	75	76	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.37	2	0	2	15.2	15.9	-0.73	13.8	16.4	-2.63
Luis Scola	27	27	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.05	12	-10	22	16.5	14.9	1.60	16.6	13.5	3.07
Norman Powell	40	42	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.09	6	-4	10	16.0	14.8	1.23	15.4	13.6	1.77
Patrick Patterson	62	63	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.48	-9	11	-20	15.0	15.9	-0.94	13.6	15.8	-2.27
Cory Joseph	63	64	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.39	-7	9	-16	15.2	15.7	-0.51	13.8	15.5	-1.73
Jason Thompson	2	2	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	4	-6	14.0	15.4	-1.36	15.0	14.4	0.65
Terrence Ross	46	47	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.06	-5	7	-12	14.7	15.9	-1.22	14.3	14.4	-0.05
Bismack Biyombo	43	44	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	0.20	-14	16	-30	14.9	15.7	-0.73	13.0	15.4	-2.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.54,0.66,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.81,0.74,0.85,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.87,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.72,0.85,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 100, DEN 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.78,0.87,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.87,0.95,0.95,0.91,0.94,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.9,0.72,0.97,1,1	93.6%
NJN 95, MIA 104	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.66,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.79,0.83,0.76,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.78,0.9,0.85,0.99,1,1	93.3%
DAL 88, POR 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.77,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.96,0.9,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.94,0.93,0.88,0.83,0.71,0.67,0.81,0.83,1,1,1	93.3%