NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	104		Excitement	11.9 [17]		MVP	Brian Shaw (LAL): +6.2%
Philadelphia 76ers	107		Comeback	2.5 [516]		LVP	Shaquille O'Neal (LAL): -78.7%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Shaw	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	1	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,0.07,0	0.02	-0.03	-0.00	11	57%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Rick Fox	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,-0.06	0.03	-0.07	0.02	6	75%	0.17	2	-0.23	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.08,-0.12	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	3	50%	-0.02	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.05
Devean George	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18	-0.13	-0.06	-0.01	7	0%	-0.14	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.18	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.27,-0.27,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.18	0.00	-0.20	-0.02	35	55%	-0.04	5	-0.14	10	100%	0.13
Samaki Walker	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.18,-0.18	-0.06	-0.13	-0.00	9	33%	-0.03	1	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.79	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.09,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.14,-0.36,-0.36,-0.65,-0.79,-0.79,-0.79,-0.79,-0.79	-0.23	-0.55	0.01	18	47%	-0.53	7	-0.25	19	42%	-0.51

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.07	0.10	0.00	6	57%	0.11	4	-0.08	2	0%	-0.03
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Todd MacCulloch	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.07	0.00	10	62%	-0.03	0	0.00	9	89%	0.03
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	9	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Aaron McKie	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	18	39%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.06	0.02	16	59%	0.10	4	-0.19	2	100%	0.01
Allen Iverson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.03,0,-0.05,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.23,-0.29,-0.57,-0.51,-0.51,-0.3,-0.38,-0.61	-0.61	-0.17	-0.44	-0.00	33	41%	-0.50	2	-0.11	13	54%	-0.30

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	26.1	2.7	31.9	15.7	28.5	2.6	37.2	2.5	27.1	174.3
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	1.9	17.2	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +6.4%

PHI +7.2%

LAL -6.3%

PHI +47.6%

LAL -4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	PHI	NBA	LAL	PHI	NBA
this game	15.4	14.5	15.5	97.2	100.9	101.6
season	15.4	15.3		105.0	102.1
opponent	15.5	15.1		99.9	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
LAL	15.3	16.2	15.5	15.7	13.5	15.4
PHI	14.1	16.5	13.9	16.3	9.5	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Shaw	20	19	0.29	-0.79	1.08	0.17	4	-7	11	19.6	14.4	5.17	16.6	14.0	2.58
Devean George	28	29	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.18	10	-13	23	14.9	15.6	-0.73	14.2	14.5	-0.30
Rick Fox	63	61	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.27	5	-8	13	15.8	14.8	0.98	14.0	15.1	-1.17
Shaquille O'Neal	81	79	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.11	-3	0	-3	15.2	15.8	-0.60	14.7	13.6	1.12
Robert Horry	74	73	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.37	-1	-2	1	15.0	16.3	-1.32	14.5	14.5	-0.03
Samaki Walker	51	51	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.25	-8	5	-13	16.0	14.9	1.09	15.0	13.9	1.07
Kobe Bryant	104	104	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.43	-4	1	-5	15.1	24.0	-8.86	14.4	19.0	-4.62
Derek Fisher	90	89	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.56	-6	3	-9	14.7	18.8	-4.08	14.1	16.3	-2.18

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenny Thomas	44	43	0.91	-0.41	1.32	0.59	11	-8	19	14.7	14.3	0.41	15.2	15.5	-0.35
Derrick Coleman	57	57	0.79	-0.29	1.07	0.32	16	-13	29	14.6	14.3	0.25	14.2	16.8	-2.57
Eric Snow	89	89	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.36	2	1	1	13.7	18.3	-4.56	15.1	16.9	-1.80
Allen Iverson	97	99	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.43	-1	4	-5	14.2	17.8	-3.62	15.3	16.2	-0.93
Aaron McKie	89	90	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.33	-1	4	-5	14.5	14.3	0.20	15.6	14.2	1.45
Greg Buckner	9	9	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.04	2	1	1	16.1	14.3	1.80	13.9	15.5	-1.64
Todd MacCulloch	36	36	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.01	-3	6	-9	13.6	14.9	-1.33	14.9	15.7	-0.80
Keith Van Horn	75	78	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.03	-5	8	-13	14.7	13.9	0.84	16.0	13.8	2.24
Brian Skinner	34	34	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.04	-6	9	-15	16.6	13.4	3.17	17.6	14.4	3.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.51,0.48,0.59,0.65,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.72,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.73,0.7,0.72,0.47,0.54,0.67,0.72,0.46,0.69,0.46,0.66,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 111, MIA 114	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.43,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.66,0.73,0.67,0.62,0.74,0.74,0.85,0.86,0.77,0.74,0.81,0.66,0.8,0.89,0.85,0.58,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.68,0.83,1	89.4%
SAS 84, CHH 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.45,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.83,0.77,0.64,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.84,0.42,0.46,0.55,0.45,0.57,0.85,1	89.3%
MEM 106, SAC 107	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.63,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.27,0.31,0.26,0.31,0.3,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.77,0.71,0.82,0.78,0.87,0.88,0.8,0.81,0.59,0.65,0.53,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.84,0.46,0.69,0.72,0.43,0.58,1	89.0%