inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Memphis Grizzlies 106 Excitement12.7 [11] MVPKevin Martin (SAC): +38.1%
Sacramento Kings 107 Comeback3.2 [645] LVPFrancisco Garcia (SAC): -30.1%


Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Hakim Warrick0.150,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.07,0.150.130.040.031763%0.191-0.04786%0.07
Juan Carlos Navarro0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.020.030.00950%0.062-0.0400%0.00
Jason Collins-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.00-0.010.001100%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Brian Cardinal-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Mike Conley-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.00-0.00945%0.012-0.04250%-0.01
Javaris Crittenton-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.01-0.060.00965%0.104-0.162100%0.02
Mike Miller-0.070,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.07,-0.070.04-0.100.011164%-0.012-0.0600%0.00
Kyle Lowry-0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.15-0.01-0.140.001350%-0.073-0.08667%-0.16
Darko Milicic-0.190,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.07-0.12-0.00533%-0.042-0.1520%-0.04
Rudy Gay-0.210,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.06,-0.16,-0.16,-0.25,-0.17,-0.04,-0.21-0.10-0.110.001152%0.146-0.353100%0.01

Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Martin0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.08,0.380.380.140.260.032064%0.633-0.2516100%0.24
Brad Miller0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.3,0.30.300.020.26-0.021160%0.373-0.083100%0.05
Mikki Moore0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.27,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.100.090.01783%0.302-0.12475%-0.05
Spencer Hawes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Quincy Douby0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.05-0.020.00333%-0.032-0.0500%0.00
John Salmons0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.05-0.030.00233%-0.032-0.062100%0.01
Anthony Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.07,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.03-0.100.02837%-0.121-0.0400%0.00
Metta World Peace0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.02,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.18-0.02-0.16-0.012348%-0.103-0.084100%0.03
Francisco Garcia0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.21,-0.21,-0.3-0.30-0.13-0.160.001325%-0.252-0.052100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game27.93.527.415.328.53.435.21.618.3161.2
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.31.917.1140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MEM -14.3%
SAC +52.4%
SAC +6.5%
SAC +8.1%
MEM -2.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMEMSACNBAMEMSACNBA
this game15.114.215.497.299.1105.7
season14.914.9103.3105.6
opponent15.014.9108.0109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
MEM14.015.215.015.915.415.1
SAC15.314.812.214.714.614.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brian Cardinal670.10-0.600.690.013-4712.715.2-2.5413.714.3-0.56
Javaris Crittenton53540.01-0.510.51-0.083-4714.515.6-1.1913.914.6-0.67
Darko Milicic69680.00-0.500.51-0.2910-112115.913.72.1614.613.61.06
Rudy Gay7473-0.15-0.350.20-0.4410-112115.614.01.6114.813.01.79
Mike Conley4646-0.22-0.280.050.01-87-1515.614.70.9813.914.5-0.61
Kyle Lowry6362-0.28-0.22-0.05-0.487-81514.715.6-0.9814.513.90.61
Mike Miller6463-0.35-0.15-0.21-0.06-109-1916.013.82.1514.613.80.79
Jason Collins4040-0.40-0.10-0.31-0.08-1110-2113.715.9-2.1613.614.6-1.06
Juan Carlos Navarro3938-0.48-0.02-0.47-0.45-10-113.216.1-2.8913.614.6-1.06
Hakim Warrick9189-0.710.21-0.93-0.48-87-1515.313.71.6114.115.1-0.99

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Metta World Peace91920.73-0.230.970.479-81714.314.20.0815.413.32.10
Anthony Johnson71710.69-0.190.870.458-71513.914.8-0.8715.514.31.15
Kevin Martin88910.65-0.150.790.389-81714.015.3-1.3015.612.43.14
Brad Miller77810.350.150.190.0510-91914.513.50.9715.214.70.42
Mikki Moore66680.330.170.150.0310-91913.715.0-1.2815.614.21.31
John Salmons37350.110.39-0.270.35-89-1714.214.20.0014.115.5-1.44
Spencer Hawes2019-0.070.57-0.640.02-34-714.614.20.4413.715.3-1.61
Quincy Douby2423-0.230.73-0.95-0.02-78-1514.214.3-0.1013.415.5-2.07
Francisco Garcia5655-0.561.06-1.610.15-2425-4915.013.41.6114.116.1-2.00


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.63,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.27,0.31,0.26,0.31,0.3,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.77,0.71,0.82,0.78,0.87,0.88,0.8,0.81,0.59,0.65,0.53,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.84,0.46,0.69,0.72,0.43,0.58,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 104, PHI 1070.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.51,0.48,0.59,0.65,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.72,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.73,0.7,0.72,0.47,0.54,0.67,0.72,0.46,0.69,0.46,0.66,0.92,189.0%
CHA 108, BOS 1100.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.49,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.65,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.83,0.59,0.54,0.69,0.9,0.89,0.96,0.54,0.61,0.29,0.32,0.47,188.0%
LAL 111, MIA 1140.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.43,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.66,0.73,0.67,0.62,0.74,0.74,0.85,0.86,0.77,0.74,0.81,0.66,0.8,0.89,0.85,0.58,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.68,0.83,187.9%