NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	99		Excitement	7.3 [341]		MVP	Shammond Williams (BOS): +21.1%
Boston Celtics	108		Comeback	1.9 [628]		LVP	Tony Delk (BOS): -13.4%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rod Strickland	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.04	-0.03	6	83%	0.12	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	13	66%	0.09	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Joe Smith	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.00	9	44%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Hudson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	11	57%	0.06	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.04
Anthony Peeler	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	8	44%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	7	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	20	57%	0.03	4	-0.11	7	86%	0.00
Kendall Gill	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.00	-0.00	10	30%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shammond Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.08	0.10	-0.03	7	75%	0.21	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.00	0.08	-0.02	25	62%	0.31	6	-0.21	18	89%	0.11
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	7	78%	0.11	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Bruno Sundov	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	14	43%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Eric Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	5	65%	0.06	3	-0.08	7	100%	0.04
Tony Battie	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	1	25%	-0.03	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Tony Delk	0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.05	-0.06	0.02	13	46%	-0.05	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	2.5	29.0	15.0	30.2	2.4	37.6	138.1
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +24.2%

BOS +25.0%

BOS +17.4%

MIN -18.3%

BOS +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	BOS	NBA	MIN	BOS	NBA
this game	14.8	15.1	15.5	103.1	111.3	101.6
season	14.9	15.6		104.0	99.3
opponent	15.5	15.8		99.9	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.6	12.6	15.6	16.8	14.8
BOS	13.1	15.7	15.0	16.7	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Trent	43	45	0.15	-0.65	0.79	-0.09	8	-17	25	16.2	13.6	2.63	14.6	15.5	-0.90
Troy Hudson	70	70	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.07	-1	-8	7	13.9	17.2	-3.31	14.7	16.0	-1.25
Marc Jackson	15	15	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.06	-8	-1	-7	13.6	15.0	-1.40	17.0	14.7	2.29
Joe Smith	39	38	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.07	-4	-5	1	15.3	14.5	0.80	14.9	15.2	-0.23
Rasho Nesterovic	69	72	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.24	1	-10	11	14.8	14.9	-0.10	14.7	16.0	-1.21
Kendall Gill	51	53	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.21	-2	-7	5	14.9	14.7	0.17	15.4	14.7	0.74
Kevin Garnett	87	85	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.18	-11	2	-13	14.9	13.8	1.11	15.0	15.4	-0.40
Rod Strickland	47	47	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.18	-13	4	-17	14.8	14.8	0.05	15.4	14.7	0.71
Anthony Peeler	59	60	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.21	-15	6	-21	14.6	15.1	-0.58	15.3	14.7	0.62

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Williams	68	66	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.26	11	-2	13	15.5	13.9	1.61	15.2	13.9	1.33
Paul Pierce	91	90	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.24	9	0	9	15.0	15.8	-0.82	14.7	16.3	-1.66
Antoine Walker	81	81	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.26	7	2	5	15.1	14.7	0.37	14.9	14.1	0.85
Shammond Williams	45	45	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.13	6	3	3	15.5	14.7	0.80	15.0	14.6	0.33
Vin Baker	35	34	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.00	6	3	3	13.7	15.8	-2.11	13.6	15.4	-1.76
Walter McCarty	43	43	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.01	5	4	1	14.6	15.5	-0.90	13.9	15.5	-1.63
Tony Delk	66	65	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.04	4	5	-1	14.5	16.2	-1.62	14.4	15.5	-1.09
Tony Battie	55	54	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.22	-2	11	-13	16.2	13.6	2.63	16.1	13.1	2.96
Bruno Sundov	1	2	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.03	-1	10	-11	3.0	15.2	-12.19	11.5	14.9	-3.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.73,0.79,0.79,0.75,0.76,0.64,0.58,0.48,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.54,0.46,0.47,0.66,0.6,0.67,0.86,0.93,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 90, MEM 98	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.78,0.84,0.82,0.87,0.83,0.81,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.62,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.72,0.95,0.96,1,1,1	93.0%
ORL 85, WAS 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.47,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.44,0.56,0.44,0.54,0.62,0.67,0.48,0.58,0.7,0.65,0.67,0.81,0.95,0.99,0.98,1	92.8%
CHH 93, NJN 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.66,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.76,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.52,0.68,0.59,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.93,0.99,1,1	92.7%