inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Charlotte Hornets 93 Excitement7.1 [392] MVPKeith Van Horn (NJN): +17.2%
New Jersey Nets 104 Comeback1.9 [465] LVPDerrick Coleman (CHH): -23.5%


Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chucky Brown0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.01-0.00650%0.0100.00250%-0.01
Baron Davis0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.020.02-0.01545%0.041-0.031100%0.01
Todd Fuller-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Eddie Jones-0.020,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.07-0.050.041864%0.043-0.0600%0.00
Ricky Davis-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Dale Ellis-0.030,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Elden Campbell-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.020.011647%-0.011-0.032100%0.02
Eddie Robinson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.050.00-0.00540%0.002-0.0400%0.00
Anthony Mason-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.020.00260%-0.011-0.036100%0.05
David Wesley-0.180,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19-0.13-0.06-0.001135%-0.084-0.1110%-0.01
Derrick Coleman-0.230,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.13,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23-0.10-0.16-0.021651%-0.134-0.101580%-0.02

New Jersey Nets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Keith Van Horn0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.130.090.051681%0.284-0.11475%0.01
Jamie Feick0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.070.030.003100%0.1000.003100%0.02
Kendall Gill0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.01-0.011757%0.132-0.09683%0.02
Jim McIlvaine0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.020.00450%0.0300.0000%0.00
Evan Eschmeyer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.00-0.000.001100%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Stephon Marbury0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.010.001555%0.022-0.04875%-0.00
Scott Burrell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Lucious Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.09-0.00-0.0130%-0.052-0.0400%0.00
Johnny Newman0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.08-0.02-0.00525%-0.071-0.03250%-0.01
Kerry Kittles0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.19,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.09-0.07-0.021734%-0.1400.00475%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.32.428.615.324.42.529.6129.1
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.7137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NJN +47.5%
CHH -8.9%
NJN +0.2%
NJN +6.3%
NJN +4.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHHNJNNBACHHNJNNBA
this game15.014.415.294.9106.1101.7
season14.915.5101.5102.1
opponent14.715.1103.399.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHH15.515.413.215.715.0
NJN12.712.816.815.614.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Baron Davis27280.14-0.640.780.024-151913.015.7-2.7514.414.4-0.06
Eddie Robinson32320.10-0.600.700.071-121313.315.8-2.5413.314.9-1.57
Dale Ellis20190.00-0.500.50-0.031-121317.714.33.4113.214.7-1.47
Todd Fuller109-0.09-0.410.320.03-4-7314.915.0-0.1012.114.6-2.52
Ricky Davis1112-0.14-0.360.220.09-8-3-514.315.1-0.8112.214.7-2.54
Chucky Brown3737-0.21-0.290.080.05-9-2-714.315.4-1.0714.814.10.71
Eddie Jones8079-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.23-3-8515.114.60.4614.713.21.47
Elden Campbell7171-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.28-2-9715.314.21.0614.613.90.70
Derrick Coleman7879-0.36-0.14-0.23-0.16-7-4-315.114.70.3014.314.9-0.62
Anthony Mason5354-0.640.14-0.78-0.26-132-1515.015.00.0615.513.02.50
David Wesley7170-0.640.14-0.78-0.20-154-1915.713.02.7514.414.40.06

New Jersey Nets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kerry Kittles57580.68-0.180.860.2415-41915.013.61.4416.013.62.39
Keith Van Horn73740.53-0.030.560.2792714.514.00.5915.812.43.41
Jim McIlvaine53530.410.090.320.2465115.712.92.8315.214.70.56
Kendall Gill75770.330.170.160.2147-314.514.00.5815.413.42.05
Stephon Marbury87850.250.250.010.1929-714.414.6-0.2714.120.9-6.84
Johnny Newman44440.250.25-0.00-0.1012-11314.314.5-0.1415.414.70.68
Jamie Feick37370.130.37-0.23-0.0465113.315.0-1.7214.415.3-0.90
Lucious Harris3130-0.010.51-0.53-0.01011-1113.215.0-1.8114.015.4-1.43
Scott Burrell2524-0.030.53-0.56-0.0929-714.014.5-0.5912.415.8-3.41
Evan Eschmeyer88-0.040.55-0.59-0.02-112-1310.714.7-3.9715.914.90.96


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.66,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.76,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.52,0.68,0.59,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.93,0.99,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DAL 109, SAC 1150.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.57,0.56,0.54,0.63,0.68,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.59,0.74,0.75,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.47,0.69,0.71,0.87,0.96,0.93,0.97,0.96,192.9%
VAN 92, CHH 980.5,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.75,0.71,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.56,0.59,0.88,0.83,0.81,0.89,0.98,0.99,192.8%
IND 87, MIA 940.5,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.59,0.53,0.67,0.86,0.93,0.96,1,192.8%