NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	84		Excitement	9.1 [121]		MVP	Amar'e Stoudemire (PHX): +12.9%
Phoenix Suns	87		Comeback	5.1 [454]		LVP	Darrell Armstrong (ORL): -48.4%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pat Garrity	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11	0.07	0.03	-0.01	16	66%	0.19	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Olumide Oyedeji	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	6	56%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.04
Pat Burke	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Humphrey	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	4	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shawn Kemp	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	7	56%	0.03	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Jacque Vaughn	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	6	43%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jeryl Sasser	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19	-0.05	-0.13	0.00	12	45%	-0.15	1	-0.04	7	86%	0.01
Grant Hill	-0.28	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.28	-0.14	-0.16	-0.02	15	32%	-0.24	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	-0.48	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.24,-0.24,-0.18,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.34,-0.42,-0.48	-0.21	-0.28	-0.00	19	25%	-0.37	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.07

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.04	0.10	0.01	6	68%	0.13	0	0.00	10	70%	-0.03
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	4	83%	0.08	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Langhi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	0.00	-0.00	7	14%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21,-0.16,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	14	53%	0.12	5	-0.20	2	100%	0.01
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	6	38%	-0.04	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	24	39%	-0.06	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	11	50%	-0.04	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Casey Jacobsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.06	-0.15	0.00	3	60%	0.02	3	-0.22	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	2.3	32.4	14.7	28.0	1.8	31.4	136.2
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +70.3%

PHX +20.4%

ORL -17.7%

ORL -22.1%

ORL -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	PHX	NBA	ORL	PHX	NBA
this game	17.9	15.6	15.5	96.6	102.4	101.6
season	14.6	15.0		102.7	101.1
opponent	15.9	15.8		100.1	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	16.9	16.9	16.0	22.7	17.9
PHX	17.4	13.7	16.0	15.2	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jacque Vaughn	30	28	0.20	-0.70	0.91	0.09	4	-7	11	18.9	17.4	1.56	13.1	16.7	-3.59
Andrew DeClercq	38	38	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.11	7	-10	17	18.8	17.2	1.52	15.5	15.6	-0.14
Ryan Humphrey	30	28	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.07	-2	-1	-1	16.5	18.6	-2.10	14.3	16.2	-1.84
Olumide Oyedeji	1	1	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.03	-3	0	-3	0.0	18.1	-18.12	6.0	15.7	-9.67
Pat Burke	5	5	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.00	-4	1	-5	15.8	18.0	-2.24	12.8	15.7	-2.93
Grant Hill	78	75	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.44	4	-7	11	18.1	16.4	1.63	15.8	13.8	1.99
Darrell Armstrong	80	78	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.45	1	-4	5	18.1	16.1	1.92	15.8	13.3	2.47
Shawn Kemp	48	46	-0.55	0.04	-0.59	-0.34	-7	4	-11	17.6	18.3	-0.68	15.8	15.2	0.60
Jeryl Sasser	61	61	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.43	-6	3	-9	18.5	16.6	1.90	16.3	13.7	2.57
Pat Garrity	64	65	-0.74	0.24	-0.97	-0.47	-9	6	-15	17.3	19.6	-2.31	16.1	13.6	2.49

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anfernee Hardaway	59	60	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.49	8	-5	13	15.2	16.4	-1.25	17.6	18.5	-0.83
Bo Outlaw	77	80	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.37	8	-5	13	15.8	13.0	2.82	18.3	13.7	4.56
Stephon Marbury	68	67	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.44	4	-1	5	14.3	20.6	-6.29	17.8	18.4	-0.64
Shawn Marion	80	81	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.44	2	1	1	14.9	25.8	-10.89	18.0	17.0	0.98
Amar'e Stoudemire	54	54	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.45	1	2	-1	13.7	18.8	-5.17	17.4	18.7	-1.32
Jake Voskuhl	23	24	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.05	-1	4	-5	20.5	13.7	6.81	18.8	17.6	1.22
Casey Jacobsen	21	24	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	-0.09	0	3	-3	18.2	14.7	3.50	20.4	17.0	3.46
Dan Langhi	13	13	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.02	-4	7	-11	17.9	15.1	2.80	15.2	18.4	-3.15
Joe Johnson	30	32	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	-0.01	-3	6	-9	16.9	14.8	2.08	17.0	18.4	-1.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.45,0.38,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.27,0.26,0.37,0.45,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.41,0.4,0.53,0.61,0.55,0.45,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 82, SAS 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.24,0.28,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.33,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.73,0.68,0.54,0.66,0.47,0.62,0.68,0.53,0.34,0.46,0.75,0.63,0.43,0.98,1	92.1%
ATL 101, MIL 105	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.28,0.32,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.2,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.62,0.53,0.32,0.41,0.4,0.6,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.92,1	91.2%
CHI 86, WAS 90	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.39,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.45,0.39,0.32,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.41,0.6,0.61,0.68,0.63,0.57,0.73,1	91.1%