inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 101 Excitement7.5 [365] MVPJoe Smith (MIL): +19.4%
Milwaukee Bucks 105 Comeback4.1 [682] LVPErick Strickland (MIL): -8.2%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tyronn Lue0.170,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.05,-0.05,0.08,0.08,0.170.120.060.011967%0.222-0.062100%0.01
Predrag Drobnjak0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.020.05-0.011043%0.0400.00367%-0.00
Al Harrington0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.040.08-0.011753%0.154-0.12250%-0.01
Josh Smith0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.010.040.00650%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Michael Stewart0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Royal Ivey-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.010.000100%0.021-0.032100%0.02
Tom Gugliotta-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02-0.04-0.02-0.03837%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Obinna Ekezie-0.030,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.03,-0.030.06-0.070.01874%0.071-0.10367%-0.01
Josh Childress-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.060.03-0.090.001057%-0.0600.00333%-0.02
Donta Smith-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.01233%-0.032-0.042100%0.02
Boris Diaw-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.02-0.00333%-0.012-0.0600%0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Joe Smith0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.190.190.060.140.00970%0.221-0.02978%-0.01
Mo Williams0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.160.160.120.060.021379%0.232-0.072100%0.03
Desmond Mason0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.010.03-0.011259%0.082-0.061392%0.06
Dan Gadzuric0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.02-0.010.01275%0.0000.00450%-0.05
Toni Kukoc0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.02-0.00450%0.041-0.042100%0.01
Zaza Pachulia0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Michael Redd0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02-0.02-0.040.030.002441%-0.0200.00367%0.01
Marcus Fizer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.02-0.06-0.00759%0.032-0.11367%-0.02
Erick Strickland0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.0140%-0.071-0.0100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.41.431.60.125.62.633.2118.9
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL +3.0%
MIL +28.9%
MIL +2.4%
MIL +13.3%
MIL +2.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLMILNBAATLMILNBA
this game14.715.815.5107.4110.5104.0
season15.616.098.1104.4
opponent15.015.1107.4108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL14.015.114.015.814.7
MIL18.713.215.516.215.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Josh Smith42440.32-0.821.140.069-132215.414.21.2317.714.13.52
Royal Ivey12120.29-0.791.090.097-111813.714.9-1.1919.515.24.27
Michael Stewart44-0.03-0.470.44-0.00-1-3214.714.70.055.516.2-10.72
Obinna Ekezie4949-0.16-0.340.17-0.222-6813.915.6-1.7217.414.03.43
Donta Smith2221-0.17-0.330.160.00-62-815.214.50.6914.016.3-2.33
Boris Diaw2827-0.18-0.320.140.06-84-1214.015.0-1.0015.415.9-0.45
Tom Gugliotta5859-0.34-0.16-0.17-0.392-6814.614.8-0.1715.316.6-1.36
Predrag Drobnjak4546-0.34-0.16-0.17-0.16-62-815.613.91.7214.017.4-3.43
Al Harrington8081-0.40-0.10-0.29-0.37-1-3214.615.1-0.4315.715.9-0.19
Josh Childress6464-0.680.18-0.85-0.50-62-814.315.6-1.2716.215.01.19
Tyronn Lue6668-0.830.33-1.15-0.48-128-2015.113.71.3615.317.0-1.67

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mo Williams66660.91-0.411.320.5014-102415.416.5-1.0814.714.8-0.12
Joe Smith68670.60-0.100.700.4840416.314.41.9514.216.0-1.82
Michael Redd83810.490.010.470.4613-216.212.93.2614.317.5-3.20
Desmond Mason84840.440.060.390.3822015.716.0-0.2615.012.32.69
Marcus Fizer35360.270.230.050.1931214.716.4-1.7116.413.72.73
Dan Gadzuric47470.260.240.020.2313-216.515.11.4314.015.4-1.45
Zaza Pachulia26260.030.47-0.45-0.0631214.716.2-1.4814.814.60.20
Toni Kukoc3735-0.090.59-0.68-0.1522014.816.4-1.6615.214.40.75
Erick Strickland2928-0.410.91-1.32-0.12-1014-2416.515.41.0814.814.70.12


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.28,0.32,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.2,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.62,0.53,0.32,0.41,0.4,0.6,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.92,1
GameSimilarity Score
HOU 93, NOH 1010.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.35,0.26,0.24,0.19,0.21,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.21,0.15,0.17,0.25,0.36,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.59,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.53,0.42,0.47,0.31,0.41,0.66,0.75,0.72,0.91,0.85,192.3%
ORL 84, PHX 870.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.45,0.38,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.27,0.26,0.37,0.45,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.41,0.4,0.53,0.61,0.55,0.45,0.92,191.2%
NYK 89, LAC 960.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.33,0.38,0.4,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.42,0.36,0.59,0.78,0.81,0.93,0.69,0.92,191.1%