NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	95		Excitement	7.4 [327]		MVP	Jalen Rose (CHI): +32.0%
Chicago Bulls	97		Comeback	1.9 [451]		LVP	Ray Allen (MIL): -14.5%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Cassell	0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.17	0.00	0.15	-0.01	18	56%	0.19	1	-0.02	16	87%	0.05
Dan Gadzuric	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	7	57%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ervin Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	13	43%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Anthony Mason	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	8	37%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Michael Redd	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.00	9	17%	-0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	-0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.14	0.01	-0.15	-0.00	23	53%	0.02	2	-0.16	9	100%	0.05

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Rose	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.32	0.32	0.04	0.27	-0.00	20	65%	0.46	5	-0.14	6	83%	0.01
Jay Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1	0.10	-0.00	0.09	-0.02	14	48%	0.10	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.02
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	16	49%	0.03	0	0.00	5	100%	0.04
Eddy Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Fizer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	0.00	9	55%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	0.00	3	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	9	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	7	29%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	1	70%	-0.00	3	-0.08	8	87%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	523.5	1.8	27.2	14.8	24.2	1.8	34.9	628.1
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +47.6%

MIL -0.1%

CHI +2.5%

MIL -2.0%

CHI +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	CHI	NBA	MIL	CHI	NBA
this game	15.0	15.0	15.5	99.0	101.0	101.6
season	15.4	15.0		106.3	98.3
opponent	15.1	15.8		103.3	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	13.6	16.9	14.7	14.9	15.0
CHI	14.6	13.8	15.9	15.8	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joel Przybilla	54	53	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.31	8	-10	18	14.8	15.2	-0.38	16.2	13.6	2.65
Dan Gadzuric	45	45	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.15	0	-2	2	15.4	14.6	0.88	14.6	15.4	-0.71
Ervin Johnson	11	11	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.02	-8	6	-14	16.9	14.7	2.18	11.8	15.4	-3.62
Sam Cassell	73	74	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.15	-3	1	-4	15.3	14.0	1.29	15.3	14.2	1.03
Tim Thomas	56	55	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.38	4	-6	10	14.6	15.5	-0.85	15.7	14.1	1.61
Michael Redd	50	49	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.25	-2	0	-2	14.6	15.4	-0.83	14.0	16.1	-2.04
Ray Allen	80	82	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.44	3	-5	8	14.7	16.2	-1.52	15.3	13.4	1.86
Kevin Ollie	38	37	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.29	-3	1	-4	14.9	15.0	-0.14	14.4	15.4	-0.96
Anthony Mason	73	74	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.26	-9	7	-16	15.1	14.7	0.43	14.8	15.8	-1.03

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Rose	96	96	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.44	2	0	2	15.0	0.0	15.02	15.0	0.0	14.98
Donyell Marshall	67	68	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.42	2	0	2	14.9	15.3	-0.37	14.5	16.2	-1.79
Trenton Hassell	56	55	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.52	-2	4	-6	15.2	14.7	0.46	14.7	15.4	-0.67
Jay Williams	61	61	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.40	-1	3	-4	15.4	14.4	1.02	14.2	16.4	-2.19
Eddy Curry	38	37	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.04	9	-7	16	14.1	15.7	-1.60	15.7	14.5	1.18
Fred Hoiberg	41	42	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.04	4	-2	6	14.4	15.5	-1.06	15.0	15.0	0.04
Jamal Crawford	35	35	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.04	3	-1	4	14.4	15.4	-1.02	16.4	14.2	2.19
Marcus Fizer	45	45	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.22	-5	7	-12	16.1	14.1	2.05	15.9	14.2	1.67
Tyson Chandler	41	41	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.08	-2	4	-6	15.2	14.9	0.39	14.6	15.3	-0.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.64,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.81,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.73,0.64,0.76,0.91,0.69,0.85,0.94,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 101, ATL 109	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.5,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.64,0.67,0.78,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.89,0.86,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.73,0.83,0.79,0.7,0.82,0.82,0.71,0.68,0.79,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.89,0.98,1,1	93.1%
NOP 111, DEN 116	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.84,0.89,0.79,0.85,0.92,0.88,0.87,0.93,0.93,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.79,0.77,0.83,0.76,0.6,0.75,0.93,0.97,0.92,1	92.8%
DAL 93, MIN 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.44,0.5,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.73,0.73,0.79,0.72,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.81,0.73,0.78,0.85,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.83,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.93,0.91,0.98,1	92.8%