NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	93		Excitement	6.2 [338]		MVP	Tom Hammonds (MIN): +9.8%
Minnesota Timberwolves	100		Comeback	1.5 [617]		LVP	Michael Finley (DAL): -21.2%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	6	75%	0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
A.C. Green	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.02	-0.03	4	100%	0.09	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Samaki Walker	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	4	78%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.01	8	70%	0.06	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Hubert Davis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.03	0.01	17	62%	0.06	4	-0.10	8	100%	0.04
Steve Nash	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12	-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	10	60%	0.01	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19	-0.13	-0.07	-0.01	7	25%	-0.15	1	-0.04	6	50%	-0.04
Michael Finley	-0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.24,-0.24,-0.23,-0.21	-0.17	-0.03	0.01	13	25%	-0.13	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tom Hammonds	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.01	0.00	10	70%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Scott	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	6	75%	0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Andrae Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	6	61%	0.02	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Sam Mitchell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	14	49%	0.01	0	0.00	9	89%	0.02
Terrell Brandon	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	3	64%	0.01	2	-0.03	8	87%	0.03
Bill Curley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dean Garrett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	19	45%	-0.04	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.13	-0.13	-0.13	0.00	-0.00	11	46%	0.01	5	-0.14	6	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	1.8	31.4	15.7	24.1	2.6	39.3	140.0
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +9.5%

MIN +2.2%

MIN +18.6%

MIN +19.1%

MIN +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	MIN	NBA	DAL	MIN	NBA
this game	15.4	15.7	15.8	101.1	107.5	99.6
season	15.9	15.0		99.7	98.6
opponent	15.9	15.6		98.6	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	16.7	15.5	17.0	12.8	15.4
MIN	17.6	13.9	15.7	16.0	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Samaki Walker	39	40	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.14	7	-14	21	15.1	15.7	-0.63	17.7	14.2	3.43
A.C. Green	32	33	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.04	-4	-3	-1	17.1	14.5	2.53	14.5	16.4	-1.96
Erick Strickland	32	32	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.13	1	-8	9	12.5	17.0	-4.47	15.6	15.8	-0.24
Hubert Davis	42	42	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.19	-1	-6	5	14.0	16.6	-2.56	15.3	16.1	-0.79
Shawn Bradley	54	55	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.08	-9	2	-11	16.8	13.5	3.30	15.7	15.7	0.06
Michael Finley	72	72	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.23	-6	-1	-5	15.5	14.9	0.59	15.6	16.3	-0.73
Gary Trent	71	72	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.23	-8	1	-9	15.8	14.1	1.71	14.8	18.7	-3.87
Dirk Nowitzki	47	47	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.23	-8	1	-9	14.1	16.8	-2.67	17.3	14.1	3.15
Steve Nash	71	72	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.29	-7	0	-7	16.3	12.4	3.93	15.5	16.3	-0.79

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Jordan	43	43	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.14	16	-9	25	14.6	16.7	-2.08	14.2	16.4	-2.22
Kevin Garnett	81	78	0.45	0.06	0.39	0.27	6	1	5	15.6	16.8	-1.28	15.3	16.0	-0.69
Tom Hammonds	59	57	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.25	6	1	5	15.2	16.6	-1.37	14.1	17.6	-3.53
Bobby Jackson	54	55	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.29	2	5	-3	15.9	15.4	0.49	14.9	16.2	-1.30
Sam Mitchell	53	54	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.25	3	4	-1	15.7	15.7	0.04	16.3	14.2	2.09
Andrae Patterson	28	29	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.03	6	1	5	16.2	15.5	0.71	13.4	16.3	-2.87
Terrell Brandon	40	38	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.01	5	2	3	15.0	16.2	-1.18	16.0	15.0	1.00
Bill Curley	32	33	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	7	-7	14.8	16.2	-1.34	18.5	13.7	4.79
Dean Garrett	20	18	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.04	0	7	-7	19.2	14.8	4.43	16.1	15.2	0.87
Dennis Scott	55	55	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.17	-9	16	-25	16.6	14.4	2.24	16.1	14.4	1.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.44,0.5,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.73,0.73,0.79,0.72,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.81,0.73,0.78,0.85,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.83,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.93,0.91,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 86, CLE 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.79,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.81,0.85,0.75,0.83,0.84,0.68,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.96,0.92,0.89,0.96,1,1	94.2%
NYK 123, IND 132	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.72,0.82,0.83,0.73,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.79,0.77,0.85,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.98,1,1,1	94.1%
GSW 98, LAC 110	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.73,0.75,0.69,0.77,0.75,0.81,0.86,0.84,0.81,0.87,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.89,0.94,0.89,0.88,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.95,1,1,1	93.6%