NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	101		Excitement	7.1 [380]		MVP	Paul Millsap (ATL): +31.8%
Atlanta Hawks	109		Comeback	1.9 [827]		LVP	Pero Antic (ATL): -11.1%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Harris	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.11	0.06	0.00	7	81%	0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tristan Thompson	0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.08	0.02	12	62%	0.17	1	-0.02	5	0%	-0.10
James Jones	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.06	-0.01	10	45%	0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Lou Amundson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
A.J. Price	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0,0,0,0.09,0.06,0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	27	57%	0.16	8	-0.21	7	86%	0.01
Kevin Love	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	8	35%	-0.03	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Dion Waiters	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	10	39%	0.03	4	-0.12	3	67%	-0.01
Matthew Dellavedova	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.00	-0.09	0.01	6	50%	-0.03	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Millsap	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.19,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.15	0.17	0.00	17	65%	0.32	0	0.00	6	100%	0.06
Kyle Korver	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.14	0.14	0.00	11	86%	0.31	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.05	-0.03	9	60%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,0,0.08,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.04	-0.00	7	73%	0.17	4	-0.13	1	100%	0.01
Kent Bazemore	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	8	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	6	43%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.06	-0.00	13	64%	0.06	5	-0.11	10	60%	-0.04
Pero Antic	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	0.01	7	31%	-0.08	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.5	29.3	15.8	27.0	2.5	35.3	137.8
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +23.6%

ATL +7.2%

CLE -1.1%

ATL +19.9%

ATL +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	ATL	NBA	CLE	ATL	NBA
this game	14.9	14.2	15.1	102.0	110.1	104.2
season	15.9	14.9		108.7	106.7
opponent	15.4	14.9		101.8	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.5	16.6	13.9	13.6	14.9
ATL	14.5	12.2	14.9	15.2	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Miller	39	38	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.08	3	-11	14	14.8	14.9	-0.10	15.7	13.2	2.44
Lou Amundson	11	10	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.02	-5	-3	-2	15.5	14.8	0.61	12.1	14.4	-2.32
Matthew Dellavedova	45	43	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.01	-4	-4	0	14.7	15.1	-0.40	14.2	14.2	0.05
James Jones	51	52	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.29	5	-13	18	14.2	15.7	-1.51	15.8	12.4	3.38
Kevin Love	52	50	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.06	-6	-2	-4	15.7	14.1	1.57	12.9	15.5	-2.55
A.J. Price	16	17	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.00	-9	1	-10	16.7	14.6	2.12	12.8	14.5	-1.71
Dion Waiters	52	53	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.18	-3	-5	2	14.6	15.3	-0.66	13.6	14.9	-1.28
Kyrie Irving	88	87	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.32	-1	-7	6	14.8	15.5	-0.72	14.6	10.9	3.72
Joe Harris	56	57	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.18	-10	2	-12	15.1	14.7	0.37	13.4	15.3	-1.96
Tristan Thompson	85	88	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.22	-10	2	-12	14.8	15.6	-0.77	14.2	13.6	0.61

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Teague	70	71	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.25	9	-1	10	14.4	13.7	0.70	15.0	14.7	0.27
DeMarre Carroll	56	58	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.23	7	1	6	14.7	13.6	1.10	14.5	15.5	-1.03
Paul Millsap	75	75	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.24	6	2	4	14.6	13.0	1.56	14.9	15.0	-0.12
Thabo Sefolosha	53	51	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.15	8	0	8	13.2	15.3	-2.06	14.7	15.1	-0.34
Kyle Korver	83	83	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.27	3	5	-2	14.7	11.2	3.50	14.6	16.7	-2.12
Mike Scott	44	42	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.02	7	1	6	14.2	14.2	0.04	15.7	14.3	1.44
Pero Antic	51	52	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.09	1	7	-6	13.8	14.6	-0.74	14.6	15.2	-0.58
Dennis Schroder	32	32	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.00	2	6	-4	13.4	14.5	-1.10	15.9	14.4	1.47
Kent Bazemore	11	11	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.04	-1	9	-10	14.8	14.1	0.72	15.8	14.8	1.02
Elton Brand	20	20	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.05	-2	10	-12	12.6	14.6	-1.98	14.7	15.0	-0.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.5,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.64,0.67,0.78,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.89,0.86,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.73,0.83,0.79,0.7,0.82,0.82,0.71,0.68,0.79,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.89,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 111, DEN 116	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.84,0.89,0.79,0.85,0.92,0.88,0.87,0.93,0.93,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.79,0.77,0.83,0.76,0.6,0.75,0.93,0.97,0.92,1	93.5%
MIL 95, CHI 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.64,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.81,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.73,0.64,0.76,0.91,0.69,0.85,0.94,0.84,1	93.1%
WAS 90, MIL 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.41,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.36,0.43,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.66,0.65,0.75,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.88,0.83,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.82,0.76,0.73,0.78,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.96,0.98,1	93.0%