NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	80		Excitement	5.0 [811]		MVP	Ira Newble (ATL): +12.8%
Atlanta Hawks	98		Comeback	1.6 [725]		LVP	Sam Cassell (MIL): -10.3%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Redd	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.02	-0.01	13	52%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Ray Allen	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.04	0.00	13	62%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Flip Murray	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.02	-0.04	13	57%	0.07	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.03
Kevin Ollie	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Haislip	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jason Caffey	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	8	45%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Anthony Mason	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	8	37%	-0.06	1	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Sam Cassell	-0.10	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	12	46%	-0.01	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ira Newble	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.04	0.00	7	87%	0.16	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Theo Ratliff	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	6	72%	0.07	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Jason Terry	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.02	-0.01	15	59%	0.08	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	100%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Matt Maloney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amal McCaskill	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dion Glover	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.02	-0.04	6	42%	0.00	1	-0.00	7	71%	-0.02
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	13	54%	0.06	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.02	0.04	24	46%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.9	2.6	27.0	18.8	26.2	3.5	30.5	130.6
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +44.9%

ATL +2.8%

ATL +7.6%

MIL -1.6%

MIL -3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	ATL	NBA	MIL	ATL	NBA
this game	16.6	15.9	15.5	89.9	111.4	101.6
season	15.4	15.1		106.3	99.5
opponent	15.7	15.8		103.1	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	15.6	15.3	18.7	16.9	16.6
ATL	12.6	19.0	14.0	19.1	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Flip Murray	3	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-17	16	14.3	16.7	-2.35	5.0	16.2	-11.19
Joel Przybilla	3	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-17	16	14.3	16.7	-2.35	5.0	16.2	-11.19
Jason Caffey	29	30	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.12	3	-21	24	16.9	16.4	0.48	19.0	14.3	4.66
Marcus Haislip	14	15	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.04	-4	-14	10	15.6	16.8	-1.23	12.6	16.6	-4.02
Kevin Ollie	33	30	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.15	-10	-8	-2	15.9	17.0	-1.11	16.7	15.5	1.22
Dan Gadzuric	45	45	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.03	-7	-11	4	16.5	16.7	-0.15	13.1	18.9	-5.82
Michael Redd	57	54	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.01	-7	-11	4	17.1	15.7	1.39	16.9	14.3	2.62
Tim Thomas	56	58	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.07	-12	-6	-6	16.6	16.7	-0.14	16.4	14.9	1.51
Ervin Johnson	30	27	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.03	-10	-8	-2	17.3	16.3	1.05	16.0	15.9	0.15
Sam Cassell	56	58	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.13	-8	-10	2	17.0	15.9	1.11	15.5	16.7	-1.22
Ray Allen	51	50	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.01	-15	-3	-12	16.5	16.7	-0.23	17.2	14.3	2.89
Anthony Mason	68	69	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.07	-18	0	-18	16.3	17.5	-1.20	15.6	17.0	-1.36

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Terry	80	80	0.57	-0.07	0.65	-0.01	20	-2	22	16.0	15.5	0.48	16.6	16.6	0.06
Glenn Robinson	78	76	0.54	-0.04	0.57	-0.05	20	-2	22	15.9	16.4	-0.53	16.5	17.4	-0.91
Alan Henderson	27	27	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.09	10	8	2	17.3	15.3	2.02	18.0	16.0	2.00
Theo Ratliff	67	66	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.02	13	5	8	15.9	16.1	-0.28	16.4	17.2	-0.82
Ira Newble	60	62	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.11	7	11	-4	14.8	18.3	-3.50	16.6	16.5	0.13
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	71	73	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.05	9	9	0	16.0	15.8	0.21	16.6	16.8	-0.25
Dion Glover	34	35	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.12	11	7	4	17.6	14.9	2.75	16.6	16.6	0.04
Amal McCaskill	2	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	17	-16	5.0	16.2	-11.19	14.3	16.7	-2.35
Darvin Ham	13	14	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.04	1	17	-16	15.9	15.9	-0.01	16.1	16.7	-0.55
Matt Maloney	8	9	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	-0.02	-2	20	-22	15.5	16.0	-0.48	16.6	16.6	-0.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.69,0.71,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.66,0.57,0.64,0.61,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.63,0.68,0.81,0.89,0.88,0.83,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 95, WAS 112	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.77,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.59,0.61,0.5,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.62,0.75,0.85,0.82,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.2%
DAL 105, DEN 117	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.68,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.6,0.72,0.62,0.82,0.82,0.92,0.94,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.1%
NJN 76, DET 97	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.81,0.82,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.5%