NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	76		Excitement	5.3 [741]		MVP	Jerry Stackhouse (DET): +9.6%
Detroit Pistons	97		Comeback	1.2 [822]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (NJN): -24.8%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenyon Martin	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.02	8	61%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Lucious Harris	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.00	10	55%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Soumaila Samake	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	62%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Kendall Gill	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	8	41%	-0.04	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Evan Eschmeyer	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Johnny Newman	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	2	33%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Stephen Jackson	-0.10	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.05	0.02	8	56%	-0.02	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Aaron Williams	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.14	-0.04	-0.02	9	30%	-0.06	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Stephon Marbury	-0.25	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.23,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.24	-0.06	-0.05	17	43%	-0.06	8	-0.19	12	67%	-0.03

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.03	0.03	-0.10	24	53%	0.10	3	-0.00	11	91%	0.07
Dana Barros	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.08	0.02	0.06	14	60%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	7	61%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.03	5	80%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	82%	0.07	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Eric Montross	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
John Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mateen Cleaves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	9	40%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.12	-0.04	-0.01	4	20%	-0.06	3	-0.09	2	0%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	2.5	26.4	15.6	29.4	2.5	26.4	128.6
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +23.7%

DET +5.7%

DET +3.0%

DET +16.1%

DET +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	DET	NBA	NJN	DET	NBA
this game	15.4	15.4	15.5	81.7	103.2	100.9
season	15.5	14.3		97.8	97.9
opponent	15.4	15.1		99.6	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	15.8	14.8	12.6	19.4	15.4
DET	14.2	18.6	13.1	16.6	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Soumaila Samake	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-19	17	18.7	15.3	3.37	12.3	15.5	-3.16
Evan Eschmeyer	60	60	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-20	19	15.2	15.8	-0.59	15.6	15.0	0.57
Kendall Gill	55	57	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.15	-10	-11	1	14.6	16.6	-2.02	15.5	15.2	0.34
Stephen Jackson	48	50	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.02	-6	-15	9	13.0	18.0	-5.06	15.0	15.8	-0.76
Stephon Marbury	70	72	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.16	-14	-7	-7	14.2	19.0	-4.77	16.0	13.4	2.65
Kevin Ollie	23	22	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.05	-7	-14	7	19.0	14.2	4.77	13.4	16.0	-2.65
Johnny Newman	28	27	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.13	-4	-17	13	17.9	14.3	3.55	14.9	15.6	-0.71
Kenyon Martin	70	70	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.10	-14	-7	-7	14.2	19.0	-4.77	15.8	14.3	1.48
Lucious Harris	55	54	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.20	-22	1	-23	17.1	12.9	4.16	15.8	14.8	1.03
Aaron Williams	53	55	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	0.10	-25	4	-29	17.0	13.3	3.74	14.9	16.2	-1.30

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jud Buechler	51	49	0.57	-0.07	0.65	-0.22	27	-6	33	15.2	15.6	-0.35	16.7	14.0	2.72
Ben Wallace	65	63	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.04	15	6	9	15.7	14.8	0.92	14.4	17.4	-2.99
Jerry Stackhouse	77	79	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.07	16	5	11	15.4	15.4	0.05	15.1	16.9	-1.79
Joe Smith	48	46	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.13	18	3	15	16.4	14.4	2.01	16.3	14.6	1.73
Dana Barros	46	45	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.20	19	2	17	16.8	14.1	2.68	15.9	15.0	0.89
Mikki Moore	43	44	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.01	9	12	-3	13.9	16.7	-2.78	17.4	13.6	3.80
Mateen Cleaves	52	51	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.02	4	17	-13	14.2	16.8	-2.60	15.2	15.7	-0.47
Michael Curry	46	46	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.06	-1	22	-23	15.0	15.7	-0.73	14.0	16.8	-2.79
Eric Montross	32	32	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.01	0	21	-21	15.4	15.4	-0.03	13.8	16.3	-2.48
John Wallace	10	10	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.01	-2	23	-25	17.6	15.1	2.47	15.2	15.4	-0.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.81,0.82,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 93, CLE 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.76,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.55,0.52,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.61,0.75,0.78,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
LAC 78, MIL 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.75,0.77,0.77,0.76,0.7,0.64,0.51,0.63,0.6,0.51,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.9,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%
BOS 95, WAS 112	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.77,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.59,0.61,0.5,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.62,0.75,0.85,0.82,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%