NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	78		Excitement	5.0 [853]		MVP	Carlos Delfino (MIL): +19.8%
Milwaukee Bucks	102		Comeback	1.2 [1020]		LVP	Randy Foye (LAC): -11.6%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Gomes	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.01	0.05	-0.03	3	62%	0.09	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Al-Farouq Aminu	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	5	33%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rasual Butler	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.07	-0.03	0.04	15	65%	0.09	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Brian Cook	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	5	33%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Ike Diogu	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	19	42%	0.03	3	-0.06	7	71%	-0.02
DeAndre Jordan	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	5	43%	0.01	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Eric Bledsoe	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	-0.04	-0.07	2	50%	0.00	5	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.02	-0.05	0.05	14	47%	-0.03	2	-0.09	6	100%	0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Delfino	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.21	0.07	0.08	15	81%	0.23	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.02	0.01	4	81%	0.11	0	0.00	8	87%	0.01
Jon Brockman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.04	0.06	3	92%	0.08	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.02
John Salmons	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.01	13	50%	0.06	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Ersan Ilyasova	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	6	43%	-0.00	2	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	9	45%	-0.00	3	-0.07	4	0%	-0.10
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.06,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	17	56%	0.07	5	-0.15	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.5	28.2	15.6	27.4	2.4	29.6	132.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +45.4%

LAC -10.2%

LAC -7.6%

MIL +21.5%

MIL +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	MIL	NBA	LAC	MIL	NBA
this game	17.3	15.5	15.5	88.6	115.9	105.7
season	15.4	16.2		104.4	100.1
opponent	15.4	15.3		100.9	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	19.0	14.6	16.3	19.4	17.3
MIL	12.9	16.7	17.2	15.0	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ike Diogu	12	13	0.24	-0.74	0.98	0.24	0	-24	24	10.5	18.3	-7.84	12.4	16.0	-3.60
Rasual Butler	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.21	-7	-17	10	16.2	17.3	-1.07	11.5	15.6	-4.14
Ryan Gomes	54	55	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.04	-4	-20	16	17.2	17.4	-0.18	15.7	15.1	0.63
Randy Foye	67	68	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.06	-10	-14	4	17.1	17.9	-0.77	15.1	16.7	-1.68
Blake Griffin	76	76	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.03	-9	-15	6	17.1	18.2	-1.04	15.3	16.4	-1.11
Baron Davis	64	65	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.01	-12	-12	0	17.5	16.8	0.66	16.2	13.3	2.97
Brian Cook	25	25	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.25	-21	-3	-18	17.6	17.1	0.46	15.7	15.4	0.31
Eric Bledsoe	41	39	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.15	-19	-5	-14	17.4	17.2	0.22	15.2	15.6	-0.40
Al-Farouq Aminu	34	33	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.16	-20	-4	-16	17.4	17.2	0.18	15.1	15.7	-0.63
DeAndre Jordan	63	62	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.11	-18	-6	-12	18.6	13.9	4.68	16.2	13.7	2.50

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luc Mbah a Moute	70	68	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.22	27	-3	30	15.9	13.9	1.97	17.8	15.3	2.49
John Salmons	81	82	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.11	21	3	18	16.0	8.9	7.17	17.4	16.2	1.19
Keyon Dooling	35	35	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.02	14	10	4	15.6	15.3	0.29	17.8	16.9	0.88
Jon Brockman	49	46	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.28	22	2	20	14.0	17.2	-3.19	17.0	17.6	-0.62
Carlos Delfino	77	76	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.26	21	3	18	14.9	19.1	-4.16	17.4	16.7	0.70
Andrew Bogut	51	55	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.09	5	19	-14	16.5	14.1	2.42	17.1	17.6	-0.48
Brandon Jennings	64	63	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.02	5	19	-14	15.2	16.1	-0.86	16.5	19.2	-2.64
Garrett Temple	11	11	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.25	8	16	-8	14.2	15.6	-1.45	15.5	17.5	-2.08
Ersan Ilyasova	2	4	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.05	-3	27	-30	18.5	15.4	3.12	22.2	17.0	5.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.75,0.77,0.77,0.76,0.7,0.64,0.51,0.63,0.6,0.51,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.9,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 76, DET 97	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.81,0.82,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%
ATL 85, CHA 104	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.73,0.63,0.68,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.66,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.84,0.9,0.95,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%
DEN 88, CLE 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.77,0.68,0.67,0.81,0.77,0.73,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.74,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.3%