NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	85		Excitement	4.2 [981]		MVP	Emeka Okafor (CHA): +16.3%
Charlotte Bobcats	104		Comeback	1.1 [900]		LVP	Zaza Pachulia (ATL): -13.8%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Childress	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.11	0.02	0.02	9	75%	0.14	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.03
Dijon Thompson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Marvin Williams	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.09	-0.01	0.04	16	59%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lorenzen Wright	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Esteban Batista	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.07	-0.02	0.07	14	61%	0.03	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.02
Royal Ivey	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.04	8	67%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Shelden Williams	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	-0.01	4	20%	-0.04	4	-0.09	2	0%	-0.02
Zaza Pachulia	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.15	-0.04	-0.05	8	12%	-0.06	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Emeka Okafor	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.12	0.06	0.02	9	90%	0.24	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.14	0.06	0.06	12	81%	0.16	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.06
Adam Morrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.03	0.00	14	64%	0.12	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	0.00	0.02	11	65%	0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Walter Herrmann	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	2	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.03	0.03	7	55%	0.03	1	-0.02	8	50%	-0.05
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	6	50%	0.00	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	2.3	33.0	15.8	28.4	1.8	26.6	134.6
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +45.5%

ATL -1.1%

ATL -4.1%

CHA +9.0%

CHA +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	CHA	NBA	ATL	CHA	NBA
this game	16.0	18.5	15.4	100.0	126.8	104.5
season	16.1	15.7		101.1	101.7
opponent	15.0	15.3		105.6	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	16.8	13.9	16.4	17.2	16.0
CHA	17.6	18.9	17.9	19.8	18.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marvin Williams	71	68	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.01	-1	-18	17	15.5	18.5	-2.95	19.0	16.3	2.67
Shelden Williams	31	30	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.12	0	-19	19	14.6	16.9	-2.24	17.3	19.2	-1.84
Dijon Thompson	13	12	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.02	-5	-14	9	14.5	16.3	-1.86	19.2	18.4	0.78
Esteban Batista	12	10	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.03	-7	-12	5	18.7	15.6	3.16	16.7	18.7	-2.05
Lorenzen Wright	24	24	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.00	-7	-12	5	17.9	15.3	2.56	18.8	18.4	0.47
Zaza Pachulia	37	37	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.05	-10	-9	-1	15.4	16.6	-1.21	19.1	18.0	1.11
Royal Ivey	59	56	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.16	-14	-5	-9	16.0	16.2	-0.23	19.1	17.3	1.80
Josh Smith	30	30	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.06	-12	-7	-5	17.1	15.5	1.65	18.0	18.8	-0.79
Joe Johnson	77	74	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.01	-18	-1	-17	16.3	13.1	3.21	18.1	22.1	-4.02
Josh Childress	71	69	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	0.08	-21	2	-23	16.0	16.3	-0.30	18.4	18.8	-0.41

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Emeka Okafor	59	60	0.59	-0.09	0.68	-0.09	23	-4	27	18.8	17.6	1.24	17.3	13.0	4.36
Jeff McInnis	71	73	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.14	21	-2	23	18.8	16.4	2.47	16.6	12.6	4.02
Gerald Wallace	55	58	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.13	20	-1	21	18.5	18.4	0.08	17.2	13.5	3.74
Derek Anderson	53	54	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.03	14	5	9	17.8	19.7	-1.89	16.2	15.8	0.36
Matt Carroll	65	67	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.08	13	6	7	18.8	17.2	1.60	16.3	14.9	1.45
Adam Morrison	56	57	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.02	10	9	1	18.6	18.2	0.45	14.8	18.6	-3.89
Walter Herrmann	6	8	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.03	3	16	-13	20.2	18.4	1.80	13.1	16.3	-3.21
Jake Voskuhl	27	29	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.07	-1	20	-21	17.5	19.0	-1.46	13.7	17.2	-3.51
Othella Harrington	5	6	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.00	1	18	-17	14.6	18.8	-4.15	17.3	15.9	1.40
Ryan Hollins	13	13	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.11	-9	28	-37	18.2	18.6	-0.32	11.5	16.9	-5.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.73,0.63,0.68,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.66,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.84,0.9,0.95,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 93, MIA 105	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.64,0.73,0.8,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.77,0.84,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
DEN 88, CLE 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.77,0.68,0.67,0.81,0.77,0.73,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.74,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.0%
BOS 90, SAS 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.8,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.77,0.69,0.7,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.61,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.95,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.9%