inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Cleveland Cavaliers 78 Excitement3.8 [1034] MVPTim Duncan (SAS): +10.6%
San Antonio Spurs 104 Comeback1.7 [1213] LVPRicky Davis (CLE): -15.3%


Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Michael Stewart0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas-0.010,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.000.021560%0.042-0.041292%0.03
Carlos Boozer-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.000.01343%-0.0200.001100%0.00
DeSagana Diop-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Bimbo Coles-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.010.011150%-0.011-0.022100%0.01
Smush Parker-0.050,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.09-0.00-0.04725%-0.051-0.002100%-0.00
Jumaine Jones-0.060,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.12-0.00-0.061237%-0.062-0.00650%-0.02
Tyrone Hill-0.140,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.01-0.01714%-0.083-0.0700%0.00
Ricky Davis-0.150,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.12-0.030.001453%-0.006-0.15862%-0.04

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tim Duncan0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.060.04-0.011664%0.162-0.057100%0.04
Steve Kerr0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.030.02-0.00462%0.0500.0000%0.00
Kevin Willis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.06-0.000.02586%0.061-0.034100%0.01
Steven Smith0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.000.02-0.021060%0.103-0.0600%0.00
Tony Parker0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.00-0.00-0.02850%0.0200.00450%-0.01
Devin Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.02250%0.0010.0000%0.00
Danny Ferry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.030.00-0.03437%-0.0010.0000%0.00
Stephen Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.120.000.131075%-0.0100.004100%0.00
Manu Ginobili0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.000.00050%-0.0200.00450%-0.02
Bruce Bowen0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.020.000.01837%-0.0300.0000%0.00
David Robinson0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.01337%-0.021-0.03250%-0.01
Malik Rose0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.01837%-0.032-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.61.829.517.030.22.527.3137.0
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +44.6%
SAS +3.6%
CLE -10.9%
SAS +11.7%
SAS +1.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCLESASNBACLESASNBA
this game16.215.315.585.7113.0101.6
season15.115.794.6102.5
opponent15.414.996.9104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CLE16.317.316.215.016.2
SAS15.015.417.213.815.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Carlos Boozer2325-0.11-0.390.280.24-12-14213.617.0-3.4215.015.4-0.49
DeSagana Diop3838-0.16-0.340.180.43-20-6-1415.017.0-2.0514.316.0-1.70
Michael Stewart1819-0.17-0.340.170.01-6-201412.217.1-4.9115.115.4-0.33
Zydrunas Ilgauskas6060-0.19-0.310.12-0.01-6-201417.813.14.7015.714.51.20
Smush Parker4345-0.21-0.290.070.23-15-11-414.317.9-3.6214.815.8-0.97
Tyrone Hill5151-0.37-0.13-0.25-0.11-9-17816.815.31.4515.714.90.83
Bimbo Coles6161-0.39-0.11-0.280.02-14-12-218.112.35.8215.714.61.11
Ricky Davis7879-0.40-0.10-0.290.19-20-6-1416.215.70.5515.613.32.34
Jumaine Jones8382-0.500.00-0.510.32-282-3016.215.50.7315.117.2-2.11

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Malik Rose59580.52-0.020.53-0.4232-63814.516.8-2.3415.317.7-2.45
Bruce Bowen54520.330.170.15-0.031214-215.714.71.0316.515.70.74
Steven Smith54550.290.210.090.03917-815.714.71.0315.517.2-1.80
Steve Kerr37370.290.210.08-0.241881013.816.3-2.5617.915.02.86
Kevin Willis24230.270.230.04-0.291971213.516.0-2.4617.615.71.87
Stephen Jackson43420.240.26-0.03-0.321971214.915.7-0.8516.316.00.27
Tim Duncan55550.230.27-0.040.11422-1816.313.82.4716.915.11.84
Tony Parker52500.200.30-0.10-0.04818-1016.214.12.1115.816.6-0.72
Manu Ginobili16170.150.35-0.200.00521-1615.315.3-0.0017.915.82.18
Danny Ferry20200.010.49-0.49-0.20719-1214.415.6-1.1113.117.0-3.86
Devin Brown13130.000.50-0.50-0.09323-2014.515.5-0.9910.617.1-6.47
David Robinson3333-0.020.52-0.530.16-632-3816.814.52.3417.715.32.45


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.5,0.51,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.8,0.88,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.88,0.88,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.88,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
GSW 106, SAC 1200.5,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.38,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.91,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.5%
IND 107, DEN 1210.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.5%
SAC 104, MIL 1120.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.8,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.4%