inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Indiana Pacers 107 Excitement4.1 [1032] MVPCarmelo Anthony (DEN): +21.7%
Denver Nuggets 121 Comeback1.8 [1093] LVPDarren Collison (IND): -16.1%


Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tyler Hansbrough0.100,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.130.000.031763%0.121-0.02978%0.00
Jeff Foster0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.010.00380%0.071-0.034100%0.02
Brandon Rush0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.080.000.044112%0.081-0.0300%0.00
Paul George0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.13-0.000.101077%0.0200.00250%0.00
Solomon Jones0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01233%0.0000.002100%0.00
James Posey-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.00437%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Mike Dunleavy-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.01-0.010.03671%0.033-0.072100%0.00
Roy Hibbert-0.040,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.06-0.00-0.031537%-0.041-0.0120%-0.01
Danny Granger-0.050,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.011033%-0.0500.004100%0.02
A.J. Price-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.08-0.01-0.03640%-0.014-0.053100%0.01
Darren Collison-0.160,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.13,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.14-0.02-0.011024%-0.093-0.071100%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.22,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.220.220.200.040.022761%0.2200.00540%-0.03
Nene0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.070.02-0.011165%0.121-0.021100%0.01
Ty Lawson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.110.010.03681%0.0900.004100%0.01
Al Harrington0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.07-0.010.051170%0.072-0.051100%0.00
J.R. Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.06-0.00-0.07942%0.013-0.0010%-0.00
Chauncey Billups0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.00957%0.052-0.043100%0.02
Anthony Carter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02275%0.0000.0000%0.00
Gary Forbes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.03217%0.0000.00250%0.00
Melvin Ely0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.0210%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Shelden Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.020.000.02267%-0.0000.002100%0.00
Kenyon Martin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.050.01-0.02540%0.022-0.0400%0.00
Arron Afflalo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.04-0.000.06756%-0.0200.002100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.91.830.215.728.21.727.2128.8
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +46.2%
IND -3.7%
IND -2.4%
DEN +9.4%
DEN +0.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsINDDENNBAINDDENNBA
this game15.113.915.5108.1121.0105.7
season14.714.3103.1110.7
opponent15.515.4106.1104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
IND15.315.515.913.615.1
DEN12.912.814.815.213.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Solomon Jones1516-0.00-0.500.50-0.217-212813.715.3-1.6315.013.71.31
Jeff Foster3839-0.13-0.370.25-0.04-3-11815.015.1-0.0813.814.0-0.17
A.J. Price5557-0.14-0.360.23-0.08-2-121014.615.6-1.0114.413.31.05
Mike Dunleavy5957-0.17-0.330.150.09-9-5-414.016.6-2.6413.914.0-0.09
James Posey2830-0.21-0.290.08-0.09-4-10615.914.71.1212.614.5-1.90
Brandon Rush4345-0.21-0.290.07-0.07-5-9414.915.2-0.3413.913.90.02
Tyler Hansbrough6462-0.24-0.260.02-0.18-2-121014.516.1-1.5614.512.91.54
Paul George5154-0.27-0.23-0.03-0.21-2-121015.914.11.7614.113.60.54
Darren Collison4443-0.36-0.14-0.23-0.01-12-2-1015.614.61.0113.314.4-1.05
Roy Hibbert4645-0.37-0.13-0.240.16-184-2215.514.60.9213.614.1-0.55
Danny Granger5252-0.40-0.10-0.300.19-206-2615.814.21.6413.714.1-0.31

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Al Harrington52510.430.070.36-0.1620-62613.314.5-1.1914.215.9-1.68
Arron Afflalo67690.350.150.20-0.2621-72814.313.11.2115.314.60.69
Ty Lawson39390.340.160.17-0.1918-42213.614.1-0.5114.815.2-0.38
J.R. Smith53510.320.180.150.0695413.913.90.0914.715.4-0.67
Carmelo Anthony66650.320.180.140.0886213.814.1-0.3715.813.52.32
Nene54570.220.28-0.070.0177013.714.1-0.3915.015.1-0.04
Chauncey Billups60590.210.29-0.080.09410-613.314.8-1.5815.814.01.76
Kenyon Martin51510.180.32-0.130.0168-214.013.80.1215.514.60.87
Melvin Ely22200.130.37-0.250.13014-1415.613.42.2314.615.2-0.56
Shelden Williams13120.000.50-0.500.15-519-2415.413.71.7114.715.1-0.44
Anthony Carter12110.000.50-0.500.23-822-3015.213.71.5313.515.2-1.69
Gary Forbes11100.000.50-0.500.29-1024-3413.214.0-0.8111.915.4-3.50


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NYK 95, NJN 1040.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,196.8%
LAL 102, DET 1210.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.75,0.67,0.69,0.84,0.87,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.3%
OKC 89, SAS 1170.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.88,0.92,0.85,0.86,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.2%